National Board of Review: What do Tuesday’s winners mean for the 2018 Oscars for nominations and wins?

What do Tuesday’s winners for the National Board of Review mean for the 2018 Oscars race? Let’s take a look back at their champions during the 21st century for each major category to see which of their champions went on to nominations and wins at the Academy Awards.

BEST PICTURE:

The 2017 winner is “The Post,” directed by Steven Spielberg. The last Spielberg film to win this category was “Schindler’s List” (1993). He also had two other victories for “The Color Purple” (1985) and “Empire of the Sun” (1987). As for this century, 15 of the 17 Best Picture champs have gone on to similar nominations at the Oscars. The only ones not to do so were “Quills” (2000) and “A Most Violent Year” (2014). Just two were Best Picture winners at the Academy Awards: “No Country for Old Men” (2007) and “Slumdog Millionaire” (2008).

BEST DIRECTOR:

The 2017 winner is Greta Gerwig for “Lady Bird.” Only seven of the past 17 champs have then received Oscar nominations. The misses were for Todd Field (“In the Bedroom,” 2001), Philip Noyce (“The Quiet American,” “Rabbit-Proof Fence,” 2002), Edward Zwick (“The Last Samurai,” 2003), Michael Mann (“Collateral,” 2004), Tim Burton (“Sweeney Todd,” 2007), Clint Eastwood (“Invictus,” 2009), Kathryn Bigelow (“Zero Dark Thirty,” 2012), Spike Jonze (“Her,” 2013), Eastwood (“American Sniper,” 2014), and Ridley Scott (“The Martian,” 2015). The three directors winning with both groups were Steven Soderbergh (“Traffic,” 2000), Ang Lee (“Brokeback Mountain,” 2005), and Martin Scorsese (“The Departed,” 2006).

BEST ACTRESS:

The 2017 winner is Meryl Streep for “The Post.” She has only prevailed in this category one other time for “Sophie’s Choice” (1982). She also had a supporting actress win for the 1979 trio of films “Kramer vs. Kramer,” “Manhattan,” and “The Seduction of Joe Tynan.” As for this century, 13 of the 17 Best Actress champs have gone on to Oscar noms. The only ones omitted were Lesley Manville (“Another Year,” 2010), Tilda Swinton (“We Need to Talk About Kevin,” 2011), Emma Thompson (“Saving Mr. Banks,” 2013), and Amy Adams (“Arrival”). There have been five winners with both groups: Julia Roberts (“Erin Brockovich,” 2000), Halle Berry (“Monster’s Ball,” 2001), Helen Mirren (“The Queen,” 2006), Julianne Moore (“Still Alice,” 2014), and Brie Larson (“Room,” 2015).

BEST ACTOR:

The 2017 winner is Tom Hanks for “The Post.” He only has one past victory at NBR with “Forrest Gump” (1994). As for this century, 14 of the 17 Best Actor champs have then received Oscar bids. The only ones missing out were Billy Bob Thornton (“Bandits,” “The Man Who Wasn’t There,” and “Monster’s Ball,” 2001), Campbell Scott (“Roger Dodger,” 2002), and Clint Eastwood (“Gran Torino,” 2008); also note that Oscar Isaac (“A Most Violent Year”) tied with Michael Keaton (“Birdman”) in 2014. The five men winning with both groups were Sean Penn (“Mystic River,” 2003), Jamie Foxx (“Ray,” 2004), Philip Seymour Hoffman (“Capote,” 2005), Forest Whitaker (“The Last King of Scotland,” 2006), and Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea,” 2016).

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

The 2017 winner is Laurie Metcalf for “Lady Bird.” This category is by far the worst among acting for NBR in predicting eventual Oscar nominees with just nine of the past 17 this century making it. The ones missing were Lupe Ontiveros (“Chuck and Buck,” 2000), Cate Blanchett (“Lord of the Rings,” The Man Who Cried,” “The Shipping News,” 2001), Gong Li (“Memoirs of a Geisha,” 2005), Catherine O’Hara (“For Your Consideration,” 2006), Shailene Woodley (“The Descendants,” 2011), Ann Dowd (“Compliance,” 2012), Octavia Spencer (“Fruitvale Station,” 2013), and Jessica Chastain (“A Most Violent Year,” 2014). Only one lady — Penelope Cruz (“Vicky Cristina Barcelona,” 2008) — has won with both groups.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

The 2017 winner is Willem Dafoe for “The Florida Project.” For this century, 15 of the 17 champs have gone on to Oscar nominations. The only two misses were Leonardo DiCaprio (“Django Unchained,” 2012) and Will Forte (“Nebraska,” 2013). Winners for both groups were the following four men: Jim Broadbent (“Iris,” 2001), Chris Cooper (“Adaptation,” 2002), Christian Bale (“The Fighter,” 2010), and Christopher Plummer (“Beginners,” 2011).

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