Oscar nominations cliffhanger: Which ACE Awards contenders will be recognized by film editors branch?

Tom Cross won the Oscar for Best Film Editing two years ago for Whiplash” and collaborates again with that film’s writer/director Damien Chazelle on “La La Land.” Cross is heavily favored to win a bookend Academy Award for this return engagement. That’s no surprise, given the ingenious way he which he edits the dance routines throughout the film and, in particular, the closing sequence. Cross has been nominated in the Comedy/Musical category at the ACE Eddies as well as at the BAFTAs.

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 “Arrival,” “Hacksaw Ridge,”and “Manchester by the Sea” are all in contention at both those awards as well and, with “La La Land,” all number among the top five contenders on our Oscar odds chart for Best Film Editing. Sitting in second place is “Moonlight,” which was nominated at the ACE Eddies but snubbed by BAFTA in favor of “Nocturnal Animals.”

Silence” and “Jackie,” which are not nominated at the ACE Eddies, sit 6th and 7th, respectively on our chart. Don’t count out longtime Martin Scorsese collaborator and three-time Oscar champ Thelma Schoonmaker for her work on his passion project “Silence.”

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Deadpool” and “The Jungle Book” were nominated in the Comedy category at ACE Eddies and our, theoretically, viable contenders – one is an action-comedy with an inventive narrative structure and fourth-wall breaks, while the other is a visual-effects extravaganza.

Let’s take a look into the significance of the ACE Eddies, though. Perhaps  that snub of “Nocturnal Animals” by the editors guild is made up for by that bid from BAFTA. Or are our five predicted Oscar contenders, all of whom were nominated by the Eddies, locks?

ACE-Eddie-Awards-Oscars

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Every one of the last 10 Best Film Editing Oscar winners were nominated for an Eddie, with seven out them also winning the guild award. That stat put “Moonlight’s” Eddie nomination in a much more favorable light. Sure, there are films who didn’t get an Eddie nomination but then did go on to to earn an Oscar nomination but a) that’s a rarity and b) the important thing here is showing the importance of the Eddies. So, when you predict the Oscars here at Gold Derby, don’t bet against the odds in this category.

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