More than 2,500 predictors at Gold Derby believe that “La La Land” will win Best Film Editing at the Oscars. Are they right? If not, what are the biggest rivals to the whimsical musical comedy that could potentially take it down on Oscar night? Besides “La La Land,” let’s take a look at the other four potential movies that are predicted to earn Oscar nominations for Best Film Editing on Tuesday, January 24.
These official racetrack odds below are derived from the predictions of Expert film journalists along with the Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the top scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations and the thousands of Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
The Experts strongly favor “La La Land” for the win, with 22 out of 26 backing it: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Erik Davis (Fandango), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Ent.Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Ent. Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
The remaining four Experts are split four ways: “Sully” is backed by Tim Gray (Variety), “Arrival” is the choice for Tariq Khan (Fox News), “The Jungle Book” is forecasted by Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), and “Moonlight” is predicted by Kevin Polowy (Yahoo).
Meanwhile, our Editors are nearly unanimous with six predicting an easy victory for “La La Land”: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Matt Noble, O’Neil and Sheehan. The lone holdout is Daniel Montgomery, who thinks “Hacksaw Ridge” will prove victorious.
The Top 24 Users strongly favor “La La Land” as well, with 16 of those elite predictors giving it best odds. That number includes JasonOsia, who had the highest accuracy predicting last year’s Oscar nominations (83%).
Our All-Star users are also betting on “La La Land” as the Best Film Editing frontrunner. Twenty of them think it will prevail, while the others are split between “Moonlight” and “Silence.”
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.