Does the fact that “La La Land” is a musical automatically make composer Justin Hurwitz the frontrunner to win Best Score at the Oscars? Yes, say more than 2,600 people who’ve made their picks at Gold Derby. Besides “La La Land,” let’s take a look at the other four potential films that are predicted to earn Oscar nominations for Best Score on Tuesday, January 24.
These official racetrack odds below are derived from the predictions of Expert film journalists along with the Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the top scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations and the thousands of Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
The Experts strongly favor “La La Land” for the win, with 25 out of 25 backing it: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Erik Davis (Fandango), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Tim Gray (Variety), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Ent.Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Ent. Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
If our Experts are correct, this would be the first Oscar nomination and win for Hurwitz, who’s coming off double victories at the Golden Globes earlier this month for both Best Score and Best Song (“City of Stars”).
Meanwhile, our Editors are unanimous with all seven predicting an easy victory for “La La Land”: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, O’Neil and Sheehan.
The Top 24 Users strongly favor “La La Land” as well, with 18 of those elite predictors giving it best odds. That number includes JasonOsia, who had the highest accuracy predicting last year’s Oscar nominations (83%).
Our All-Star users are also betting on “La La Land” as the Best Score frontrunner. Twenty-two of them think it will prevail, with “Jackie” being the only other film to earn a first-place vote.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.