Our Experts (journalists who cover film awards year-round) are predicted that Oscar frontrunner “O.J.: Made in America” will win Best Documentary Feature at the Producers Guild of America Awards on Saturday, Jan. 28. This extraordinarily in-depth look at the rise and fall of football great O.J. Simpson has overwhelming odds of 1/10.
The guild didn’t introduce this prize until 2007. Over the past nine years, the PGA has previewed just four of the Oscar winners for Best Documentary Feature. That success rate of 44% pales next to the 70% that the guild has achieved in predicting the Best Picture Oscar champ.
This year, only one of the other four Oscar nominees for Best Documentary Feature –“Life Animated” — numbers among the PGA contenders. It has odds of 50/1 to pull off an upset at the PGA Awards.
So do two of other three PGA nominees — “Tower” and “The Eagle Huntress” — while “Dancer” has odds of 100/1. Instead of this trio, the documentary branch of the academy opted for “Fire at Sea,” “I Am Not Your Negro” and “13th” to round out that Oscar race.
Besides our experts, we also canvas four other groups for predictions: our in-house panel of Editors, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s PGA winners, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years, and thousands of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors. All of them agree that “O.J.: Made in America” is certain to win.
Be sure to make your PGA Awards predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how this film is faring in our PGA odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on January 28 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.