NBC’s drama “This Is Us” just won the guest actor Emmy for Gerald McRaney at this weekend’s Creative Arts ceremony, which bodes well for Sterling K. Brown heading into the Primetime kudos on Sunday night. The exact same acting branch of the TV academy that anointed McRaney also voted in the race for Best Drama Actor, where Brown leads Gold Derby’s Emmy predictions with an impressive margin of 8/13 racetrack odds.
Brown is still in the Emmy honeymoon phase as he won last year for FX’s “The People v. O.J. Simpson.” He now contends for playing family man Randall Pearson on NBC’s popular drama. A triumph for Brown would be significant for several reasons, including winning Emmys for different roles in two consecutive years, overcoming a split vote with co-star Milo Ventimiglia, and becoming the first black actor to win Best Drama Actor since Andre Braugher (“Homicide: Life on the Street”) in 1998.
This year Brown faces off against Anthony Hopkins (“Westworld”), Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”), Matthew Rhys (“The Americans”), Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”), Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) and Ventimiglia. As a reminder, last year’s Best Drama Actor winner Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”) was snubbed for the sophomore season of his USA show, so we’ll have a brand new winner in this category.
Coming in second place in our Emmy odds is Odenkirk at 14/5 for “Better Call Saul.” Odenkirk plays Jimmy McGill/Saul Goodman on the AMC legal drama. Though he has lost both of his bids for this popular spinoff of “Breaking Bad,” Odenkirk has a pair of Best Variety Writing trophies for “Saturday Night Live” (1989) and “The Ben Stiller Show” (1993).
Hopkins is next with 22/1 odds for “Westworld.” He portrays Dr. Robert Ford, the puppet-master at the center of HBO’s sci-fi/western series. Remember, Sir Anthony is an Oscar champ for “The Silence of the Lambs” (1991), something that never hurts with TV academy members who would love to see a film legend take to the Emmy stage.
Spacey portrays the duplicitous President Underwood on the Netflix political thriller. The two-time Oscar champ now has a combined 10 nominations for “House of Cards”: five for Best Drama Actor and five for Best Drama Series as a producer. He has 33/1 odds to win for “House of Cards.”
Schreiber plays the titular character of a Hollywood fixer in this Showtime drama. The “Ray Donovan” star previously scored an Emmy bid as Best Movie/Mini Actor for “RKO 281” (2000) but has yet to take home a trophy. He has 50/1 odds to win for “Ray Donovan.”
Ventimiglia is heart-breaking as patriarch Jack Pearson, Randall’s adoptive father, on “This Is Us.” This is Ventimiglia’s first Emmy notice after years starring on water-cooler TV shows like “Gilmore Girls” and “Heroes.” He has 50/1 odds to win for “This Is Us.”
Rhys is a stand-out as conflicted KGB agent Philip Jennings on FX’s Russian spy drama. It took four years for him to finally be nominated for this role last year and he now contends for his second consecutive time. He has 66/1 odds to win for “The Americans.”
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on September 17. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.