2018 Art Directors Guild Awards: Look for Oscar winner among nominees [UPDATING LIVE]

The 21st annual Art Directors Guild Awards took place on Saturday (Jan. 27). These kudos have a stellar record at previewing the outcome of the Best Production Design race at the Academy Awards. Over the first two decades of these prizes, the eventual Oscar winner has always numbered among the ADG nominees in the various categories.

Period film contender “The Shape of Water” is locked in a tight race with fantasy film nominee “Blade Runner 2049” to win the Oscar for Best Production Design according to our predictions. Two other period film nominees that are set in WWII — “Darkest Hour” and “Dunkirk” — sit in third and fourth place respectively — while fantasy contender “Beauty and the Beast” rounds out our top five predicted Oscar nominees.

Already the frontrunner for Best Production Design at the Oscars, “The Shape of Water” won in period over fellow Oscar nominees “Darkest Hour” and “Dunkirk.” That race was rounded out by “Murder on the Orient Express” and “The Post.” The other two Oscar nominees for Best Production Design – “Beauty and the Beast” and “Blade Runner 2049” – contended for the fantasy award alongside “Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” “War for the Planet of the Apes,” and “Wonder Woman.” That prize was won by “Blade Runner 2049.”

In the contemporary category, “Logan” beat out “Downsizing,” “Get Out,” “Lady Bird,” and “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.” And the guild presented its very first prize in animation to “Coco” over “Cars 3,” “Despicable Me 3,” “The Lego Batman Movie,” and “Loving Vincent.”

FILM

Period Film
“Darkest Hour” – Sarah Greenwood
“Dunkirk” – Nathan Crowley
“Murder on the Orient Express” – Jim Clay
“The Post” – Rick Carter
X – “The Shape of Water” – Paul Denham Austerberry

Fantasy Film
“Beauty and the Beast” – Sarah Greenwood
X – “Blade Runner 2049” – Dennis Gassner
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” – Rick Heinrichs
“War for the Planet of the Apes” – James Chinlund
“Wonder Woman” – Aline Bonetto

Contemporary Film
“Downsizing” – Stefania Cella
“Get Out” – Rusty Smith
“Lady Bird” – Chris Jones
X – “Logan” – François Audouy
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” – Inbal Weinberg

Animated Film
“Cars 3” – William Cone, Jay Shuster
X – “Coco” – Harley Jessup
“Despicable Me 3” – Oliver Adam
“The Lego Batman Movie” – Grant Freckelton
“Loving Vincent” – Matthew Button

SEE 2018 Art Directors Guild Awards: Full list of nominations

Last year’s Oscar winner for Best Production Design — “La La Land” — first won Best Contemporary Design at these guild awards. One of its Oscar rivals, “Passengers” took the fantasy film prize over, among others, the Oscar-nominated “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” and “Arrival.” The fifth Oscar nominee, “Hail, Caesar!,” lost the period film race to “Hidden Figures.”

The 2015 Oscar champ — “Mad Max: Fury Road” — was coming off a win for Best Fantasy Design at the ADG Awards. Of the other four Oscar nominees, “The Revenant” won Best Period Design over two of its Oscar rivals — “Bridge of Spies” and “The Danish Girl.” And the fifth Oscar nominee, “The Martian,” pulled off an upset in Best Contemporary Design over “Ex Machina.”

SEE 2018 Oscar nominations: Full list of Academy Awards nominees in all 24 categories

In 2014, four out of five Oscar nominees first contended at the ADG Awards. Eventual Oscar champ “The Grand Budapest Hotel” won Best Period Film with the ADG over Oscar rival “The Imitation Game.” Best Fantasy Film nominees “Interstellar” and “Into the Woods” also contended at the Oscars. The only Oscar nominee that didn’t make the cut with the ADG last year was another period film, “Mr. Turner.”

In 2013, all five Oscar nominees first contended at the ADG Awards. Eventual Oscar champ “The Great Gatsby” won Best Period Film with the ADG over, among others, Oscar rivals “12 Years a Slave” and “American Hustle.” “Gravity” won Best Fantasy Film and “Her” won Best Contemporary Film.

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Likewise, in 2012, all five Oscar nominees were cited first by the ADG. “Anna Karenina” won Best Period Film over “Les Miserables” and “Lincoln,” but it was “Lincoln” that won the Oscar. “Life of Pi” won Best Fantasy Film against the fifth Oscar nominee, “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.”

In 2011, three of the five Oscar nominees first contended at the ADG Awards. “Hugo” won Best Period Film over, among others, “The Artist,” before taking home the Oscar while “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2” won Best Fantasy Film. The other Oscar nominees were “Midnight in Paris” and “War Horse.”

In 2010, all five Oscar nominees were cited by the ADG Awards: “The King’s Speech” took Best Period Film while “Inception” edged out eventual Oscar champ “Alice in Wonderland” as Best Fantasy Film. “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I” contended in fantasy while “True Grit” was nominated in period. The Contemporary winner was “Black Swan.”

DISCUSS All the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums

In 2009, one of the ADG fantasy film nominees — “Avatar” — won the Oscar while just one of the ADG period picture picks — “Sherlock Holmes” — also contended at the Academy Awards. Three films snubbed by the ADG — “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus,” “Nine” and “The Young Victoria” — filled out the Oscar roster.

The 2008 Oscar nominees included only two of the five ADG choices for period production design — “Changeling” and “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” — and just one of the five fantasy nominees — “The Dark Knight.” “Benjamin Button” won with both groups.

In 2007, the Oscar slate included four of the ADG period nominees and one from the fantasy front. “Sweeney Todd” won the Oscar while “There Will Be Blood” took the ADG period prize.

The guild also handed out prizes tonight for achievements in television. “Game of Thrones” and “The Handmaid’s Tale” won for One Hour Period/Fantasy and Contemporary, respectively, while “GLOW” and “Will & Grace” took the Half Hour awards for Single- and Multi-Camera programs. “Black Mirror” triumphed in the Limited Series/TV Movie category, and “Portlandia” won for Variety, Competition, or Special. “Star Wars Battlefront II” received their prize for Short Format.

TELEVISION

One Hour Period or Fantasy Single-Camera Series
“A Series of Unfortunate Events” – “The Bad Beginning: Part One,” “The Reptile Room: Part One,” “The Wide Window: Part One” (Bo Welch)
“The Crown” – “A Company of Men,” “Beryl,” “Dear Mrs. Kennedy” (Martin Childs)
X – “Game of Thrones” – “Dragonstone,” “The Queen’s Justice,” “East Watch” (Deborah Riley)
“Mindhunter” – “S1: E1,” “S1:E4,” “S1:E9” (Steve Arnold)
“Stranger Things” – “Chapter 6: The Spy,” “Chapter 8: The Mind Flyer,” “Chapter 9: The Gate” (Chris Trujillo)

One Hour Contemporary Single-Camera Series
“American Gods” – “The Bone Orchard,” “The Secret of Spoons,” “Head Full of Snow” (Patti Podesta)
X – “The Handmaid’s Tale” – “Pilot,” “Birth Day,” “Nolite Te Bastardes Carborundorum” (Julie Berghoff)
“The Handmaid’s Tale” – “The Bridge” (Andrew Stearn)
“Mr. Robot” – “eps.3.0_power-saver-mode.h,” “eps.3.1_undo.gz,” “eps.3.2_legacy.so” (Anastasia White)
“Twin Peaks” – “Ep. 1 – Part 1,” “Ep. 1 – Part 8,” “Ep. 15 – Part 15” (Ruth De Jong)

Television Movie or Limited Series
“American Horror Story: Cult” – “Election Night,” “Winter of Our Discontent” (Jeff Mossa)
“Big Little Lies” – “Somebody’s Dead,” “Living the Dream,” “You Get What You Need” (John Paino)
X – “Black Mirror” – “USS Callister” (Joel Collins)
“Fargo” – “The Narrow Escape Room,” “The Law of Inevitability,” “Who Rules the Land of Denial?” (Elisabeth Williams)
“Feud: Bette and Joan” – “Pilot,” “And the Winner Is…” “You Mean All This Time We Could Have Been Friends?” (Judy Becker)

Half Hour Single-Camera Series
“Future Man” – “Pandora’s Mailbox,” “Beyond the Truffledome,” “A Date with Destiny” (Jessica Kender)
X – “GLOW” – “Pilot,” “The Wrath of Kuntar,” “The Dusty Spur” (Todd Fjelsted)
“Master of None” – “Le Nozze,” “Thanksgiving,” “Amarsi Un Po” (Amy Williams)
“Silicon Valley” – “Hooli-Con,” “Server Error” (Richard Toyon)
“Veep” – “Omaha” (Jim Gloster)

Multi-Camera Series
“9JKL” – “Pilot,” “Lover’s Getaway,” “Set Visit” (Stephan Olson)
“The Big Bang Theory” “The Romance Recalibration,” “The Separation Agitation,” “The Explosion Implosion” (John Shaffner)
“The Ranch” – “My Best Friend,” “Last Dollar (Fly Away),” “Wrapped Up in You” (John Shaffner)
“Superior Donuts” – “Pilot,” “Crime Time,” “Arthur’s Day Off” (Stephan Olson)
X – “Will & Grace” – “Eleven Years Later,” “A Gay Olde Christmas” (Glena Rovello)

Short Format
“Apple” – “Bulbs” (James Chinlund)
“Channel” – “Gabriel” (Shane Valentino)
“Katy Perry” – “Bon Appetite” (Natalie Groce)
“Nike” – “Equality” (Ruth De Jong)
X – “Star Wars Battlefront II” – “Rivalry/PS4” (Jason Edmonds)

Variety, Competition Series, or Special Event
“Bill Nye Saves the World” – “Earth Is A Hot Mess” (James Pearse Connolly)
“74th Annual Golden Globe Awards”  (Brian Stonestreet)
X – “Portlandia” – “Portland Secedes,” “Ants,” “Fred’s Cell Phone Company” (Schuyler Telleen)
“Saturday Night Live” – “Aziz Ansari + Big Sean,” “Alec Baldwin + Ed Sheeran,” “Larry David + Miley Cyrus” (Keith Ian Raywood, Eugene Lee, Akira Yoshimura, N. Joseph DeTullio)
“Superbowl Halftime Show” – “Starring Lady Gaga” (Bruce Rogers)

PREDICT the Oscar winners now; change them until March 4

Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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