2018 Cinema Audio Society Awards nominations: Oscar frontrunner ‘Dunkirk,’ ‘Star Wars,’ ‘Wonder Woman’ …

The Cinema Audio Society Awards nominees for Best Sound Mixing are: “Baby Driver,” “Dunkirk,” “Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” “The Shape of Water” and “Wonder Woman.” Of these five films, “Dunkirk” is our overwhelming frontrunner to win the equivalent Oscar. Historically, only about two-thirds of the CSA nominees go on to contend at the Oscars.

However, this year we are predicting that four of the CAS contenders will go on to reap Oscar bids. The exception will be “Wonder Woman,” which we predicted will be dropped by the sound branc of the academy in favor of “Blade Runner 2049.”

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This year’s CAS nominees for sound mixing in an animated feature are: “Cars 3,” “Coco,” “Despicable Me 3,” “Ferdinand” and “The LEGO Batman Movie.” And the documentary feature contenders are: “An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power,” “Eric Clapton: Life in 12 Bars,” “Gaga: Five Feet Two,” “Jane” and “Long Strange Trip.”

On the TV front, the drama nominees are: ““Better Call Saul,” “Game of Thrones,” “Stranger Things,” “The Crown” and “The Handmaid’s Tale.” Comedy contenders are: “Ballers,” “black-ish,” “Modern Family,” “Silcon Valley” and “Veep.” The movies and miniseries in the running are: “Big Little Lies” “Black Mirror,” “Fargo,” “Sherlock” and “Twin Peaks.” And the non-fiction nominees are “American Experience,” “Anthony Boudrain: Parts Unknown,” “Deadliest Catch,” “Rolling Stone” and “Who Killed Tupac?”

The 54th annual Cinema Audio Society Awards will be presented on Feb. 24 at the Omni Hotel in Los Angeles. The lifetime achievement honor will be given to re-recording mixer Anna Behlmer while Joe Wright will get the filmmaker award.

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Last year, “La La Land” won with the guild over “Doctor Strange,” “Hacksaw Ridge,” “La La Land,” “Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” and “Sully.” At the Oscars, “Arrival” and “13 Hours” bumped “Doctor Strange” and “Sully” from the line-up and “Hacksaw Ridge” prevailed.

In 2016, “The Revenant” won Best Sound Mixing here over three of its Oscar rivals — “Bridge of Spies,” “Mad Max: Fury Road” and “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” — as well as “The Hateful Eight.” The academy snubbed the latter in favor of “The Martian” and “Mad Max: Fury Road” won the Oscar.

In 2014, “Birdman” bested three of its Oscar rivals — “American Sniper,” “Interstellar” and “Unbroken” — at these awards. The fifth Oscar contender, “Whiplash,” was snubbed here in favor of “Guardians of the Galaxy.” However, it was “Whiplash” that won the Oscar.

In 2013, “Gravity” won here, beating Oscar rivals “Captain Phillips,” “Inside Llewyn Davis,” and “Lone Survivor” as well as “Iron Man 3.” At the Oscars, “Iron Man” lost out to “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” for the fifth Sound Mixing slot. “Gravity” repeated at the Oscars.

In 2012, only three of the five CAS nominees — “Les Miserables,”  “Lincoln” and “Skyfall” — went on to reap Oscar bids. “Les Miserables” won both awards. The rest of the CAS slate — “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”and “Zero Dark Thirty” — was replaced at the Oscars by “Argo” and “Life of Pi.”

In 2011, “Hugo” won over “Hanna,” “Moneyball,” “Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides” and “Super 8” at the CAS. It went on to claim the Oscar as well with only “Moneyball” also contending there. The other Oscar nominees were: “The Girl with the Dragon Tatttoo,” “Transformers: Dark of the Moon” and “War Horse.”

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In 2010, “True Grit” edged out “Black Swan,” “Inception,” “Shutter Island” and “The Social Network” for the CAS award. “Inception” beat it as well as “The Social Network,” “Salt” and “The King’s Speech” at the Oscars.

In 2009, the CAS bestowed its top prize on “The Hurt Locker” which went on to win the Oscar as well. Four of the five Cinema Audio Society nominees for sound mixing also contended at the Oscars with just “District 9” being replaced by “Inglourious Basterds.”

In both 2008 and 2007 three of the five CAS picks for sound mixing were Oscar nominees as well. “Slumdog Millionaire” won with both the CAS and the Oscars in 2008. The 2007 CAS champ was “No Country for Old Men” and the Oscar went to “The Bourne Ultimatum.”

And though “Dreamgirls” took both prizes in 2006, in each of the previous four years the CAS winner lost at the Oscars. (In 2002, CAS winner “Master and Commander” lost the sound-mixing Oscar to “Lord of the Rings: Return of the King,” but it won the prize for sound editing.)

Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23.

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