2018 Golden Globe predictions: Can Nicole Kidman (‘Big Little Lies’) hold off a strong challenge from Jessica Biel (‘The Sinner’)?

Nicole Kidman won the Emmy for Best Movie/Limited Series Actress last September for her role in “Big Little Lies,” and the seven-part HBO drama earned a leading six nominations at the Golden Globes, so it makes sense that she would be the frontrunner at this event as well, especially since she’s already a three-time Globe winner for her film roles in “To Die For” (1995), “Moulin Rouge!” (2001), and “The Hours” (2002). But this may not be a cakewalk for her. She faces stiff competition from Jessica Biel (“The Sinner”).

As of this writing Kidman gets leading odds of 2/3 to win the Globe based on the combined predictions of more than 1,200 users. That includes support from four of the six Expert TV journalists we’ve polled: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Chris Harnick (E!), and Adnan Virk (ESPN). However Biel is close behind with 2/1 odds, and the backing of our other two Experts: Joyce Eng (Gold Derby) and Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby).

Our Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby are also split four-to-two — but in favor of Biel. Four of us are predicting a victory for the first-time Globe nominee: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, O’Neil, and myself. The other two Editors, Rob Licuria and Matt Noble, agree with the overall consensus that Kidman will win.

The Globes showed their strong admiration for Biel by not just nominating her, but also “The Sinner” itself for Best TV Movie/Limited Series. And though many actors have won this category right after winning the Emmy, like Sarah Paulson last year for “The People v. O.J. Simpson,” other times the Hollywood Foreign Press Association that decides the Globes like to go their own way. They did just that in recent years by picking Drew Barrymore (“Grey Gardens,” 2009), Elisabeth Moss (“Top of the Lake,” 2013), Maggie Gyllenhaal (“The Honorable Woman,” 2014), and Lady Gaga (“American Horror Story: Hotel,” 2015).

So will this be one of those years where the Globes agree with the television academy, or will they go for a fresh choice?

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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