There are two new female-led comedies that made a big splash at the Golden Globe Awards this year: Amazon’s “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” and Showtime’s “SMILF.” Both contend for the same two awards: Best TV Comedy Series and Best TV Comedy Actress (Rachel Brosnahan for “Mrs. Maisel,” Frankie Shaw for “SMILF”). They’re both brand new shows that premiered in November, and the Globes have shown a strong bias towards first-year shows in general, but as of this writing “Mrs. Maisel” has the overwhelming lead in our predictions for Comedy Series with 2/9 odds. Might we be underestimating “SMILF” in the top category? Yes, according to a few of our top predictors.
The six Expert TV journalists we’ve polled are unanimous that “Mrs. Maisel” will prevail, and five of our six Gold Derby Editors agree, but one of our Editors, Matt Noble, says “SMILF” will win. One of our Top 24 Users, Philip, is also backing ‘SMILF.’ Our Top 24 got the highest scores predicting last year’s Globe winners, so keep their forecasts in mind when making your own picks. Philip also happens to be one of our All-Star Top 24, who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ predictions. That means he’s not just savvy, but consistent over time.
No Showtime series has ever won the Golden Globe for Best Comedy despite past nominations for “Weeds,” “Californication,” “The Big C,” “Nurse Jackie,” and “Episodes.” But “SMILF” stands out from those in that Shaw not only stars in the show as a working-class single mom, but also created, writes, and directs it. That’s not unlike other auteurist comedies that have won in the past like Tina Fey‘s “30 Rock” (2009) Lena Dunham‘s “Girls” (2013), and Donald Glover‘s “Atlanta” (2017). Will that be enough to distinguish “SMILF” and overcome the odds?
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.