On the eve of the 90th Academy Awards, let’s look back at how the Oscar contenders have been doing at the precursor prizes. Breaking down these early awards — by both nominations and winners — as well as the top Oscar nominations by categories gives us 35 key categories that determine the strongest contenders. These races range from the early bird Golden Globes and Critics Choice nominations all the way to the Academy Awards, with stops along the way for the guilds and the BAFTAS.
Different films will have different strengths: some will do well with acting, others with writing and directing and some will pop up here and there. To be a strong Oscar contender, a film needs to be represented across a range of races.
This year’s counting started with the Critics’ Choice, Golden Globes nominations and SAG Awards nominations in December, continued when the producers, writers and directors guilds announced their winners and ended with the BAFTA Awards.
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” swept those British version of the Oscars and ended the awards season with check marks in 26 of the 35 boxes. Its closest rival for Best Picture at the Academy Awards is “The Shape of Water,” which is at an even two dozen ticks.
Other films to reap rewards at the BAFTAs were “Darkest Hour” and “Call Me By Your Name.” The former finishes with 10 boxes ticked after Gary Oldman‘s Best Actor win, while the latter ends on 14 after James Ivory‘s Adapted Screenplay win.
Last year, Damien Chazelle‘s “La La Land” was the leader of the pack, with a total of 31 boxes ticked out of 35; it only missed out on the nomination and win boxes for SAG Film Ensemble and a writing win at BAFTA and WGA for Chazelle. It was the heavy favorite, of course, but Barry Jenkins “Moonlight” shocked us all and won Best Picture after ticking 26 boxes (the second highest total) while Denis Villeneuve‘s “Arrival” had a tally of 17.
ACE – American Cinema Editors
DGA – Directors Guild of America
PGA – Producers Guild of America
SAG – Screen Actors Guild
WGA – Writers Guild of America
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.