Odds are that three of the four individual film winners at the SAG Awards on Sunday will be collecting Oscars on March 4. However, it is not so certain that the ensemble champ will go on to take the Best Picture at the Academy Awards. Over the past 23 years, 67 of the 92 Oscar winners in the four acting races had first collected SAG Awards. However, only 11 of the academy’s choice for the best film of the year had previously won over the Screen Actors Guild.
That individual success rate of 73% breaks down as follows:
Best Actor: 18 of the SAG winners went on to win Oscars (plus Benicio del Toro who won in supporting at Oscars for “Traffic”). Denzel Washington ended a 12-year streak last year by winning at SAG for “Fences” but losing at the Oscars to Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”).
Best Actress: 17 of the SAG winners went on to victory at the Academy Awards, including the last five in a row.
Best Supporting Actor: 14 of the SAG champs also added an Oscar to their mantle, including last year’s double dipper Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”).
Best Supporting Actress: 16 of the SAG choices were also those of the academy, including the last eight in a row (plus Kate Winslet who won in lead at Oscars for “The Reader”).
Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.