Less than a week after finding itself in a near deadlock tie with “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” “Get Out” has opened up a lead in the Oscar race for Best Original Screenplay. According to our latest predictions, Jordan Peele now has a 11/10-odd edge over Martin McDonagh (8/5 odds). It’s not a comfortable lead, but it’s a lot bigger than last week’s.
“Get Out” has the support of 13 of our Experts, six Editors and eight Top 24 Users, who topped last year’s predictions, while “Three Billboards” counts 12 Experts, two Editors and 14 Top 24 Users in its corner. “Lady Bird (17/2 odds) is the only other nominee with predictions to win, getting the votes of two Experts and two Top 24 Users. “The Shape of Water” (50/1 odds) and “The Big Sick” (80/1) are well behind the pack.
“Lady Bird” was in front post-nominations until it lost the Writers Guild Award to “Get Out.” Since then, it’s been a back-and-forth battle between “Get Out” and WGA-ineligible “Three Billboards,” which pocketed the BAFTA a week later.
There’s been a strong correlation between Best Picture and screenplay as of late, with the last five Best Picture champs taking a writing award. “Three Billboards” recently dethroned “The Shape of Water” for the top spot in our Best Picture predictions, while “Get Out” still sits in third.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.