Since the 2018 Grammy nominations were announced last November we’ve had more than 1,900 users make their predictions in 32 categories here at Gold Derby, and according to our collective forecasts it’s going to be a big night for Kendrick Lamar when trophies are handed out on Sunday, January 28. Not just big — historic.
Lamar is the second most nominated artist of the year with seven, and he’s projected to win six of those. That would not only be the most awards won by a single artist this year, it would be one of the biggest hauls for any artist in a single year. He would tie for third place on the list of the most awarded artists in a single evening. Also with six trophies were Roger Miller (1966), Toto (1983), Quincy Jones (1991), Eric Clapton (1993), Beyonce (2010), and Adele (2012). That would put Lamar just two wins behind the all-time record-holders, Michael Jackson (1984) and Santana (2000), who won eight in one night.
As you can probably see from that list there are no rap artists currently on that list so Lamar would set a new record for the most awards won by a rap artist in a single night. When added to the 7 trophies Lamar has previously won it would bring his all-time total to 13 — and he’s only 30-years-old.
But despite the near-sweep we’re forecasting, he’s not the only multiple-winner we’re expecting at these awards. We’re also projecting three wins for Oscar winning composer Justin Hurwitz, who is out front for Best Visual Media Compilation, Best Visual Media Score, and Best Visual Media Song (“City of Stars”), all for his work on the romantic musical “La La Land.” He could even win a fourth as he’s also nominated for Best Arrangement for the “La La Land” song “Another Day of Sun”; that category isn’t in our predictions center.
Also predicted to win three is Bruno Mars, who has six nominations and is out front in R&B categories: Best R&B Performance and Best R&B Song (“That’s What I Like”), as well as Best R&B Album (“24K Magic”). Not bad for an artist who has actually never competed in the R&B field before. He has typically been considered in pop categories, but it sounds like his R&B throwback album is about to pay off.
But perhaps surprisingly, the artist with the most nominations this year is nowhere to be found on our list of predicted winners. Jay-Z has a leading eight noms, but our users are expecting his rap rival Lamar to steamroll over him in all of their categories. If we’re right and Jay-Z leaves empty handed it will tie him with Rihanna and Kanye West (2017) as the second worst shut-out in Grammy history. The only person who ever lost more was Paul McCartney, who went zero-fornine in 1966.
Below, see who else we’re predicting for awards on Sunday night. There’s still time to make or update your own predictions right here before this weekend’s festivities.
Album of the Year — “Damn”
Best Rap Performance — “Humble”
Best Rap/Sung Performance — “Loyalty” (with Rihanna)
Best Rap Song — “Humble”
Best Rap Album — “Damn”
Best Music Video — “Humble”
Best Visual Media Compilation — “La La Land”
Best Visual Media Score — “La La Land”
Vest Visual Media Song — “City of Stars” from “La La Land”
Best R&B Performance — “That’s What I Like”
Best R&B Song — “That’s What I Like”
Best R&B Album — “24K Magic”
Song of the Year — “1-800-273-8255” (with Logic and Khalid)
Best New Artist
Best Traditional R&B Performance — “Redbone”
Best Urban Contemporary Album — “Awaken, My Love”
LUIS FONSI, DADDY YANKEE, JUSTIN BIEBER
Record of the Year — “Despacito”
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance — “Despacito”
LITTLE BIG TOWN
Best Country Duo/Group Performance — “Better Man”
Best Country Song — “Better Man” (written by Taylor Swift)
BENJ PASEK, JUSTIN PAUL
Best Musical Theater Album — “Dear Evan Hansen”
Best Visual Media Song — “City of Stars” from “La La Land” (with Justin Hurwitz)
Best Pop Solo Performance — “Shape of You”
Best Pop Album — “Divide”
Best Traditional Pop Album — “Nobody But Me”
Best Comedy Album — “The Age of Spin & Deep in the Heart of Texas”
Best Rock Performance — “You Want it Darker”
Best Spoken Word Album — “The Princess Diarist”
Best Rock Song — “Run”
Best Country Solo Performance — “Body Like a Back Road”
Best Alternative Album — “American Dream”
Best Rock Album — “Hardwired…To Self-Destruct”
Best Country Album — “From A Room: Volume 1”
Be sure to make your Grammy predictions so that Hollywood record executives and top name stars can see how their songs and albums are faring in our Grammy odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 28. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Grammys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.