2018 Oscars: ‘The Shape of Water’ will tie record with 14 Academy Awards nominations, but how many will it win?

The Shape of Water” will tie the record for the most Oscar nominations in the 90-year history of the Academy Awards according to our predictions. We’re forecasting a whopping 14 bids for this fantasy film which would equal the benchmark set by “All About Eve” in 1951 and then matched by “Titanic” in 1998 and “La La Land” last year. While the first two of those films went on to win Best Picture, “La La Land” lost. And we are predicting the same fate to befall “The Shape of Water.” Indeed, our official odds have Guillermo del Toro‘s film winning just three Academy Awards: Best Director, Production Design and Original Score.

Our racetrack odds for all 24 categories are derived from the predictions of film Experts, Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years, and thousands of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.

SEE 2018 Oscars: Predictions in all 24 categories at the 90th annual Academy Awards

Expected to finish second in the nominations count is the WWII epic “Dunkirk,” which is projected to net nine, including Picture and Director (Christopher Nolan). We have it winning three as well: Film Editing and both sound awards. Another film set against the same backdrop, “Darkest Hour,” will reap seven bids, with wins for Gary Oldman as Winston Churchill and the makeup and hairstylists who transformed him into this wartime leader.

While “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” will only contend in six categories, we are predicting it will prevail in three of those, including Best Picture. Also look for Frances McDormand to take home her second Best Actress Oscar and Sam Rockwell to succeed on his first nomination.

Find out who else we’re betting on below. And there’s still time to make or edit your own predictions before the nominations are announced on January 23.

PREDICT the Oscar nominees now; change them until January 23

14 NOMINATIONS

“The Shape of Water”
Best Picture
Best Director — Guillermo del Toro
Best Actress — Sally Hawkins
Best Supporting Actor — Richard Jenkins
Best Supporting Actress — Octavia Spencer
Best Original Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Production Design
Best Score
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects

SEE 2018 Oscar nominations: How to watch 90th Academy Awards announcement live online on January 23

9 NOMINATIONS

“Dunkirk”
Best Picture
Best Director — Christopher Nolan
Best Cinematography
Best Film Editing
Best Production Design
Best Score
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects

7 NOMINATIONS

“Darkest Hour”
Best Picture
Best Actor — Gary Oldman
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Production Design
Best Score

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6 NOMINATIONS

“Blade Runner 2049”
Best Cinematography
Best Film Editing
Best Production Design
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects

“Call Me By Your Name”
Best Picture
Best Actor — Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actor — Armie Hammer
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Original Song

“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Best Picture
Best Director — Martin McDonagh
Best Actress —  Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor — Sam Rockwell
Best Original Screenplay
Best Film Editing

5 NOMINATIONS

“Lady Bird”
Best Picture
Best Director — Greta Gerwig
Best Actress — Saoirse Ronan
Best Supporting Actress — Laurie Metcalf
Best Original Screenplay

“Get Out”
Best Picture
Best Director — Jordan Peele
Best Actor — Daniel Kaluuya
Best Original Screenplay
Best Film Editing

3 NOMINATIONS

“Beauty and the Beast”
Best Costume Design
Best Original Song
Best Production Design

“I, Tonya”
Best Picture
Best Actress — Margot Robbie
Best Supporting Actress — Allison Janney

“Phantom Thread”
Best Actor – Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Costume Design
Best Original Score

“The Post”
Best Picture
Best Actress — Meryl Streep
Best Original Score

2 NOMINATIONS

“Baby Driver”
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing

“The Big Sick”
Best Supporting Actress – Holly Hunter
Best Original Screenplay

“The Disaster Artist”
Best Actor – James Franco
Best Adapted Screenplay

“The Florida Project”
Best Picture
Best Supporting Actor – Willem Dafoe

“The Greatest Showman”
Best Costume Design
Best Original Song

“Wonder”
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1 NOMINATION

“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2”
Best Makeup and Hairstyling

“Marshall”
Best Original Song

“Molly’s Game”
Best Adapted Screenplay

“War for the Planet of the Apes”
Best Visual Effects”

Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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