What do Golden Globes wins (and losses) mean for Oscars?

The Golden Globes, now in its 75th year, offers one of the best previews of what will win at the Academy Awards. These precursor prizes, bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn.,were handed out on Sunday (Jan. 7), two days after Oscar nominations voting began. With that balloting continuing until Jan. 12, the results of the Golden Globes (see the complete list of winners) may well make a difference in how the members of the academy vote.

And with all of the surprises on Sunday, so you may be tempted to change your Oscar predictions before those nominations are announced on Jan. 23. But should you bow to temptation? Let’s take a closer look at the Golden Globe results and see what films are up, down and doing about the same in the Oscar race.

SEE How were Golden Globe winners decided by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association?


“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
This searing character study won a leading four Golden Globes: Best Drama, Best Drama Actress (Frances McDormand), and Best Supporting Actor (Sam Rockwell) and Best Screenplay for director Martin McDonagh.

Lady Bird
With her charming coming-of-age film winning Best Comedy/Musical, Greta Gerwig could well ride her snub in both the directing and writing races to Oscar nominations, if not wins. Her leading lady Saoirse Ronan certainly passed her Oscar audition with her heartfelt acceptance speech for Best Comedy/Musical Actress. The only disappointment was Laurie Metcalf’s loss in the Supporting Actress race.

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“Call Me by Your Name”
The romantic drama lost all three of its bids: Best Film Drama and for leading man Timothee Chalamet and supporting player Armie Hammer. Chalamet had been doing well with the critics and Hammer was thought to have mounted a charm offensive that might have won over Globe voters.

It too lost its three races. While this WWII epic was considered a longshot for Best Drama, helmer Christopher Nolan was expected to make a play for his first Golden Globe win. And composer Hans Zimmer, who had won two of his previous 13 Globe bids, was a strong contender for Best Score.

The Post
Steven Spielberg‘s docudrama was shut out, losing all six of its races. That marked the worst performance by a film with at least that many nominations since “The Godfather Part III” went 0 for 7 in 1990.

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“Darkest Hour”
As expected, Oscar frontrunner Gary Oldman won Best Drama Actor for his transformation into British Prime Minister Winston Churchill. He remains on track to take home the Academy Awards, especially after besting his closest rival, Chalamet, here.

“Get Out”
That Jordan Peele‘s social satire was classified as a comedy turned out not to be a laughing matter. It was outflanked in both its bids, with Daniel Kaluuya losing Comedy/Musical Actor as predicted to James Franco (“The Disaster Artist”).

“The Disaster Artist”
Sixteen years after winning for the telefilm “James Dean,” Franco claimed his second career Golden Globe for playing another real-life actor. However, while he called Tommy Wiseau up onstage, he didn’t allow this offbeat performer to speak.

“The Shape of Water”
While this sci-fi fantasy went only two for seven, one of those was, as expected, for director Guillermo Del Toro, who could benefit from a bounce. The other was for composer Alexandre Desplat who picked up his second Golden Globe and might well do the same at the Oscars.

PREDICT Oscar nominations now; change them till January 23

Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23.

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