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DE: which actor with lowest odds will win in their category?

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  • FreemanGriffin
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    #429003

    Each of these actors has the lowest odds to win in their respective categories; who do you think is the most likely to defy the odds and win on Sunday? Or do you think the odds are low because none of these actors will win on Sunday?

    In case you need to know which category they are each in:
    Lead Actor: Christian LeBlanc, Y&R
    Lead Actress: Peggy McCay, Days
    Supporting Actor: Jacob Young, B&B
    Supporting Actress: Linsey Godfrey, B&B
    Younger Actor: Tequan Richmond, GH
    Younger Actress: Haley Pullos, GH
    Guest Performer: Linda Elena Tovar, GH

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #429005

    Apparently, I am going way out on a limb in three categories this year, because I am predicting Christian LeBlanc, Tequan Richmond and Haley Pullos! (: I’m either going to get a ton of points or (more likely) be way off the leaderboard! (;

    In this poll I voted for Tequan Richmond because I think everybody is underestimating him and his is BY FAR the best of the four reels in his category. I remain puzzled by all the love for Bryan Craig, an inconsistent actor who gives imo a very whiney repetitive performance in his reel; I am amazed that so many “experts” are predicting Max Ehrich will win for such a poor Emmy reel submission (how did he ever even get nominated for such an emotionless dull performance? I think this is the key to my being wrong, of course, if this panel was so dopey they nominated this work then they would be dopey enough to give him the Emmy!), and I am rooting for Freddie Smith – I love him and he is by far the best actor of these four overall, but his submission wasn’t very good – very one-note performance. He had his best material last year after his 26th birthday and should have submitted in either Lead or Supporting.

    Younger Actress feels quite wide open. I could see any of the four winning. The best reels were delivered by Camila Banus and Haley Pullos. Ms. Banus has two minuses: she was on Days, which has historically NEVER won the Younger Actress Emmy, and also she is no longer on her show. I disliked Hunter King’s reel the most, but that was true last year and she won. I’m fearful that she will repeat. I enjoyed Kristen Alderson’s reel very much. I wouldn’t mind if she won a second Emmy but I definitely feel that Ms. Banus and Ms. Haley had better reels and were both more consistent throughout 2014.

    Lead Actor is wide open imo. I simply don’t want Tony Geary to win Emmy #8 and perhaps my heart is ruling my head. I also felt his reel was incredibly expository and fell flat for me.  I want Jason Thompson to win but I’m not sure this reel is going to push him over the finish line. It’s really solid work but I guess I’m penalizing him for not submitting the episode from the day before or the Gabriel’s death episode, both of which I thought displayed his talents better and would have gotten him the Emmy on Sunday hands down. I had problems that apparently nobody else had with Billy Miller’s reel: so dark I couldn’t see his facial expressions so for me it was a vocal performance but not a full one; I thought Michael Muhney gave the Emmy-worthy performance in the reel; and also: perhaps the panelists are aware that he was only on Y&R for one month in 2014 and will get that this is category fraud. He really belongs in the Supporting Actor race. I guess I’m the only one who thinks Mr. LeBlanc’s reel will be the one to resonate the most with voters and pull him across the finish line.  

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    PoweR
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    #429006

    I agree that Bryan Craig is being overestimated. I can see any of the other males winning over him. Someone brought up the fact that Black actors have a good history here in this category, and Tequan Richmond arguably has the best reel. Max Ehrich is a mainstay in this category, so he could definitely win on his third try. Freddie Smith is a good actor and Days has had a resurgence in these categories, so I can certainly see him taking it, too. His reel is a lot similar to Kevin Mambo’s reel for his first win (when Marcus confronted Dinah about Roger and yepped at her about him being her drug of choice). Bryan Craig can certainly win it, but I’m surprised at the underestimation of Freddie Smith here. I can see him taking it right after his screen partner Chandler Massey.

    I think in general, General Hospital is being overestimated this year. Yes, they landed the most nominations, but that does not mean that they will sweep every category or that they ranked #1 or even #2 everywhere. They could have very well been #3 or #4 in the votes/ranking, and just managed to luck up with nominations. Y&R is just right behind them in nominations.

    I can also see Jacob Young winning Supporting Actor. He’s not that great of an actor, but Jacob has been a mainstay nominee like 1999. He’s obviously a favorite. I just don’t get the love for Scott Clifton, and I can’t see Chad Duell losing Younger Actor and then jumping right into the Supporting Actor race and beating these past winners. Then again, Steve Burton and Shemar Moore were able to transition from one category to the other, winning the latter. Kristoff St. John is also being underestimated.

    I’m sorry, but I find it hard to believe the voters would rank Haley Pullos high enough for a win, but Brittany Allen’s win happened.

    I would not be surprised at Christian LeBlanc pulling through with a win. The voters love him, they love sickness and they love theatrics, and he brings it. Jason Thompson is always the bridesmaid, so why would that change this year? Even if Anthony Geary loses this year, they’ll make it up to him next year with the whole Luke killing his parents thing. Billy Miller should never be discounted because they suck up to him too.

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    EmmyLoser
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    #429007

    Cripes, I misread the top of the thread and voted for the person I thought have the worst chance of winning, Peggy McCay, rather than the best.  I would have voted Tequan Richmond also.  I agree that his reel is the strongest, but who knows what will happen there.  I think some of the Max Ehrich predicting is to alleviate the thought of Y&R not winning enough Emmys, or possibly any Emmys, on Sunday.  The younger categories tend to be less predictable, since nobody saw Brittany Allen or Drew Tyler Bell winning, for example, so it’s a good place to slip in a win that makes you feel better about your overall ballot, regardless of the reel.  

    It’s funny how my opinions have changed somewhat over the last few weeks.  All of the younger actress reels are good, but Camila Banus has one of the best reels submitted this year in any category, IMO.  I think the category that’s most open is lead actor.  I could see any of the guys winning that one, mostly because, in some ways, none of them feel like they’re going to win it.   It’s like the opposite of lead actress, where you could watch almost any of the reels and see it as a winner.  You could watch any one of the guys’ reels and it as an also-ran.

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    Ryan Lapierre
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    #429008

    People are underestimating Tequan Richmond!!!!

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #429009

    Cripes, I misread the top of the thread and voted for the person I thought have the worst chance of winning, Peggy McCay, rather than the best.  I would have voted Tequan Richmond also.  I agree that his reel is the strongest, but who knows what will happen there.  I think some of the Max Ehrich predicting is to alleviate the thought of Y&R not winning enough Emmys, or possibly any Emmys, on Sunday.  The younger categories tend to be less predictable, since nobody saw Brittany Allen or Drew Tyler Bell winning, for example, so it’s a good place to slip in a win that makes you feel better about your overall ballot, regardless of the reel.  

    It’s funny how my opinions have changed somewhat over the last few weeks.  All of the younger actress reels are good, but Camila Banus has one of the best reels submitted this year in any category, IMO.  I think the category that’s most open is lead actor.  I could see any of the guys winning that one, mostly because, in some ways, none of them feel like they’re going to win it.   It’s like the opposite of lead actress, where you could watch almost any of the reels and see it as a winner.  You could watch any one of the guys’ reels and it as an also-ran.

    EmmyLoser, when the poll closes on Saturday I will simply add one for Tequan Richmond and subtract one for Peggy McCay! (:

    I love Camila’s reel and would love for her to win; do you honestly think she will be the first ever Days winner in the category?? We’ll know on Sunday! (Gawd, I would love for there to be a tie, so Camila and Haley could BOTH win!) (:

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    EmmyLoser
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    #429010

    Thanks, Freeman.  I do think Camila will break through for DAYS and finally win this category, but these categories can be so unpredictable.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #429011

    Tequan Richmond was the clear winner of this poll with 7 votes (this includes a vote that was cast erroneously for Peggy McCay!). Haley Pullos had two votes. One each for Christian LeBlanc, Jacob Young, Linda Elena Tovar (that didn’t happen). It’s going to be really interesting to see what the voters have decided tonight! (I hope it’s the same in the big 5 categories as the Goldies: Days, Thompson, Sweeney, Duell and LoCicero!) 

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    EmmyLoser
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    #429012

    Looks like none of these guys ended up winning after all!

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