December 10, 2014 at 6:58 am #168553December 10, 2014 at 7:09 am #168555
Ensemble: Didn’t see Immitation Game or The Theory of Everything coming. Would be happy to see Birdman or The Grand Budapest Hotel win they are true ensemble pieces.
Actress: I predicted Jennifer Anniston so I feel pretty good about this! On the other hand I bumped Felicity Jones and SAG bumped Adams which could spell trouble for the latter.
Actor: Gyllenhaal gets the fifth spot…will he get a globe nomination. Also can anyone tell me of the last incident at the Oscars in the Best Actor category where three or four of the nominees were British (and for argument sake lets include Day Lewis since he was knighted afterall) I know it did happen in 1997 on the ladies side when Helen Hunt claimed the trophy. I could not find one in the past 20 years which should improve his odds of this being a repeat at the Oscars.
Went pretty much as planned. The fifth slot seems to be open and I’m not confident Duvall can pull this one out. As for Watts if this were for Birdman I would almost be willing to change my Oscar predictions.
December 10, 2014 at 7:33 am #168556
1 was 20 for 25 – I had 2 nominations (ensemble and David Oyelowo) for Selma; was it ineligible? The only category i got all five was Supporting Actor – 4 for 5 in Actor, Actress, and Supporting Actress, and 3 for 5 in Ensemble (didn’t think The Imitation Game or The Theory Of Everything had strong enough ensemble casts).
The biggest shock for me was The Theory Of Everything and Naomi Watts for St. Vincent – didn’t see either of them as even a remote possibility! But SAG always has some unusual choices.
I am looking forward to seeing Cake – it sounds wonderful and a very different role for Ms. Aniston. This is the problem with nominations coming out before you can get a chance to see the actual performances.
Biggest happy surprise: JAKE GYLLENHAAL!!!!!! (: Yeah!
Actress: Julianne Moore, Still Alice (haven’t seen Jennifer Aniston, though)
Actor: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory Of Everything
Supporting Actor: Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Ensemble: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Actress: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Actor: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Ensemble: BirdmanDecember 10, 2014 at 7:39 am #168557
Big boosts for The Grand Budapest Hotel after an already strong week, and it just confirms what I suspect about the warm love for The Theory of Everything. It’s hard to read into the weird acting nominations because Oscars haven’t gone along with SAG’s weird choices in recent years (also the lack of Selma, which we know wasn’t able to send out screeners to the voting commitee in time). It depends a lot on how Gyllenhaal, Aniston, Duvall and Watts (I mean…) capitalize on whatever cachet this gives them in the later season. It’s still so early, but they’ll look a lot better if the Globes go for them as well. If it helps anyone the most I imagine it’s Carell, who had been completely absent from the precursors so far (aside from “honorary,” aka consolation, ensemble prizes).
As far as the wins go, it’d be hard to imagine Birdman doesn’t win Ensemble. But if something like The Imitation Game or Boyhood picks this up, look out for them for the BP win. I think it’s also a must-win for Keaton, who would have a much harder path to the Oscar if he loses this to Benedict or Eddie (especially if they go on to win the BAFTA). I think Arquette and Simmons (especially) are solid bets.December 10, 2014 at 7:40 am #168558
Other than Watts, I am happy with the nominees. Nothing against Watts but not really sure what made her performance so great in that film.December 10, 2014 at 8:22 am #168559
Pretty good selections throughout. I just have small problems with Aniston and Watts getting nominated, and how is Get on Up “Stunt Ensemble”? I mean seriously.December 10, 2014 at 8:23 am #168560
Anniston’s hard work off-screen sure paid off.
Glad Budapest got a major nod.December 10, 2014 at 8:36 am #168561
How can you have a “problem” with performaces you haven’t even seen yet?December 10, 2014 at 8:46 am #168562
Ugh why the hell is Naomi Watts here? Happy to see Gyllenhaal and Budapest Hotel inDecember 10, 2014 at 8:51 am #168563
I expected that Foxcatcher and Into the Woods would made it to Best Ensemble. I was shocked when Marion Cotillard was snubbed for Aniston.December 10, 2014 at 9:08 am #168564
The biggest shock must be Get On Up for stunt. And it got in over Interstellar, the only category it has a chance in. 🙁
Very happy for Gyllenhaal. Anniston and Watts were shocking, so were Theory of Everything and perhaps Imitation Game. Expected Foxcatcher and Into the Woods.December 10, 2014 at 9:14 am #168565
Ugh why the hell is Naomi Watts here? Happy to see Gyllenhaal and Budapest Hotel in
She’s not a great choice imo. Why is she here? Lol. Wtfks. Must have been that thick, unconvincing accent. And I generally love her work.
At least Aniston worked hard for her nom. Kudos to her. If either of them show up on that final ballot….well, would we be as surprised by then? LolDecember 10, 2014 at 9:42 am #168566
SAG likes to go for their veterns in showy roles so I personally don’t expect Duvall or Watts (I guess she’s a veteran) to repeat. Watts reminds me a lot of Kidman for the Paperboy. Baity role on paper in a movie that no one’s really talking about. And Duvall seems very much like a Garner in The Notebook or even James Gandolfini in Enough Said. I don’t think he’ll get through. Aniston however I think this is a very good sign for. If she gets in at globes too I think I might switch Blunt out for her.December 10, 2014 at 10:24 am #168567
Would have preferred Rene Russo (Nightcrawler) over Naomi Watts (St Vincent)December 10, 2014 at 11:28 am #168568
– I haven´t seen St. Vincent, but its always great to see Watts recognized for anything. If she had to be nominated though, Birdman would´ve been nice.
– Gyllenhaal was the best nominee. Period. He is probably in for globe and broadcast critis nominations. Oscar might slip away, but he is officially a threat!
– Jennifer Aniston was a nice surprise, and probably a lock for globe nomination at this point. No oscar for her though…
– Someone please tell me that Chastains snub was because they had little time to watch the screeners and not because she cancelled herself out.