2018 Oscars Nominations (Predictions Center Now Open)

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  • Anonymous
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    #1202183450

    Also I think the academy members are more likely to be on “we already awarded a gay-themed film let’s try something else” mindset than to be on “let’s award another gay-themed film as BP” mindset.

    I don’t think that matters on the preferential ballot.

    Prideful
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    #1202183454

    All the reviews have highlighted the performances and are backed up with the perfect RT and near perfect metacritic score as of now for CMBYN. The only thing being overestimated right now is movies like mother! where y’all lost ur shit on pfeiffer in the trailer and claiming she’s getting nominated and win where all she does in the trailer is say 3 lines and get felt up by ed harris something an extra can do. Least u guys would’ve had a better argument for j-law being nominated/winning since she’s doing her typical overacting that’s gotten her a nom and we can actually see her doing something on the trailer.

    Anonymous
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    #1202183457

    I am not comfortable in predicting mother but I put it where I had space. I have 3 categories of the BP nominees I’m predicting:

    Safe bets: Call me by your name, The Papers, The Phantom Thread, Dunkirk
    Wildcards: Get Out, Loving Vincent, mother!
    Depending on quality: The shape of Water, The Best of Enemies

    Potential 10th nominee: The Disaster Artist, Mundbound

    jasonface
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    #1202183460

    Also if we want to talk up and coming directors.. Barry Jenkins, Lenny Abrahamson, Morten Tyldum, Behn Zeitlin, Lee Daniels, Julian Schnabel, Bennett Miller, Fernando Meirelles, Spike Jonze, Atom Egoyan, etc all say hi.

    naughtydog123
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    #1202183497

    Its like Moonlight, where Barry Jenkins was unknown before it, the cast was not that famous and it done well enough at the oscars, i am not saying that CMBYN looks bad, its just any movie stands a chance this year, even if the production team is not that known.

    MarBob
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    #1202183499

    Do not see Dunkirk as a BP nominee at all, but I see Call Me By Your Name, The Papers, Loving Vincent, Shape of Water etc. I wish I could see a trailer for You Were Never Really Here, I’ve been so pumped about Lynne Ramsay’s new movie since Cannes

    MarBob
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    #1202183500

    Also if we want to talk up and coming directors.. Barry Jenkins, Lenny Abrahamson, Morten Tyldum, Behn Zeitlin, Lee Daniels, Julian Schnabel, Bennett Miller, Fernando Meirelles, Spike Jonze, Atom Egoyan, etc all say hi.

    Not really new because Tangerine was a masterpiece but I’m really hoping Sean Baker makes a splash

    MarBob
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    #1202183501

    Andrew Haigh also badly deserves his due.

    Eric Close
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    #1202183502

    The only film so far this year with a better Metacritic score (which I consider more telling than Rotten Tomatoes) is Call Me By Your Name. How is Dunkirk (war film, Oscar-fave genre) not a lock for a nomination when Mad Max (pure action flick, Oscar rarity)got one two years ago?

    annieholl
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    #1202183503

    All the reviews have highlighted the performances and are backed up with the perfect RT and near perfect metacritic score as of now for CMBYN. The only thing being overestimated right now is movies like mother! where y’all lost ur shit on pfeiffer in the trailer and claiming she’s getting nominated and win where all she does in the trailer is say 3 lines and get felt up by ed harris something an extra can do. Least u guys would’ve had a better argument for j-law being nominated/winning since she’s doing her typical overacting that’s gotten her a nom and we can actually see her doing something on the trailer.

    Been trying to figure out what the trailer reminded me of. Looks like a cross between Stoker and The Descent lol (only the latter was a good movie imo)

    MarBob
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    #1202183505

    The only film so far this year with a better Metacritic score (which I consider more telling than Rotten Tomatoes) is Call Me By Your Name. How is Dunkirk (war film, Oscar-fave genre) not a lock for a nomination when Mad Max (pure action flick, Oscar rarity)got one two years ago?

    I agree with you on Metacritic being way better than RT. I’m not saying Dunkirk can’t happen, but it’d be as surprising to me as Mad Max if it does. It got great reviews but also some controversy (The Baffler called it Tory Porn lol…rude). I dunno…The Big Sick and Baby Driver have higher Metacritic scores than Detroit and The Beguiled but I see the latter two as more likely than the former. I feel like enthusiasm may peter out, but maybe I’m wrong.

    Eric Close
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    #1202183507

    Oh, I don’t disagree. Believe me, if I was a voter, my ballot would include Dunkirk, The Big Sick, Baby Driver, War for the Planet of the Apes and Logan (deserves it more than Wonder Woman). Genre films are terribly biased, but war films aren’t really considered genre films and, in fact, have proven to be an Oscar preference, at least where filling up the ballots are concerned. Dunkirk has some of the best reviews for a war film in years, and I can’t imagine it’ll nab a ton of technical awards (which it will) without also being nominated for Best Picture. Their recent history just won’t allow that.

    Anonymous
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    #1202183510

    If I was a voter the only sure things on my ballot that came out so far are Get Out and Logan. Girls Trip will probably make my top 9. Baby Driver might if the year is week.

     

    I am expecting my top 10 to be: Logan, Get Out, Private Life, Girls Trip, Call me By Your Name, The Papers, The Shape of Water, Downsizing, mother!, and The Best of Enemies.

    Lets see how well I know myself. Those are actually similar to my predictions and my personal list is usually similarish to the actual lineup.

    no one
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    #1202183535

    21stc 90s Metascore, box office US at least $50 mil:

    12 Years a Slave – BP win

    (well, almost $50 mil) Manchester by the Sea – BP/BD nom, Actor win

    Gravity – BD win

    Social Network – probably BP runner-up

    Zero Dark Thirty – surprise BD snub, but still BP/Actress/Wtg/Edit noms

    Dunkirk – ?

    Sideways – BP/BD nom, wtg win

    Return of the King – BP win

    Crouching Tiger – BP/BD nom, DGA winner

    (sorta almost $50 mil) Spotlight – BP winner

    La la Land – BD/Actress winner

    Fellowship of the Ring – BP/BD nominee

    Toy Story 3 – BP nominee

    The Queen – Actress winner, BP nom

    No Country for Old Men – BP win

    Fury Road – BP/BD nom

    American Hustle – BP/BD nom

     

    …Ratatouille,  WallE, Inside Out, Finding Nemo, Incredibles – Pixar animation

    zkrons
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    #1202183727

    I am expecting my top 10 to be: Logan, Get Out, Private Life, Girls Trip, Call me By Your Name, The Papers, The Shape of Water, Downsizing, mother!, and The Best of Enemies.

    I sincerely doubt that Best of Enemies is coming out this year. As far as I know, it has yet to complete filming.

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