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Best Picture
The RevenantActor in a Leading Role
Leonardo DiCaprio – The RevenantActor in a Supporting Role
Sylvester Stallone – CreedActress in a Leading Role
Brie Larson – RoomActress in a Supporting Role
Alicia Vikander – The Danish GirlAnimated Feature Film
Inside OutCinematography
Emmanuel Lubezki – The RevenantCostume Design
Jenny Beavan – Mad Max: Fury RoadDirecting
Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The RevenantDocumentary (Feature)
AmyDocumentary (Short Subject)
Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the ShoahFilm Editing
Margaret Sixel – Mad Max: Fury RoadForeign Language Film
Son of Saul (Hungary)Makeup and Hairstyling
Mad Max: Fury RoadMusic (Original Score)
Ennio Morricone – The Hateful EightMusic (Original Song)
Diane Warren and Lady Gaga – “Til It Happens To You” from The Hunting GroundProduction Design
Mad Max: Fury RoadShort Film (Animated)
Sanjay’s Super TeamShort Film (Live Action)
Shok
Sound Editing
The RevenantSound Mixing
The RevenantVisual Effects
Star Wars: The Force AwakensWriting (Adapted Screenplay)
Charles Randolph and Adam McKay – The Big ShortWriting (Original Screenplay)
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Josh Singer & Tom McCarthy – SpotlightFINAL PREDICTIONS, February 26th 2016
It’s been a wild year, and thanks to Sasha Stone again for being the most fluid and poetic writer in the awards circuit. I always love to just read her thoughts, it’s like slipping into awards dream land.
Here are my final predictions, with commentary. Some are REALLY out on a limb! But I don’t like going with the consensus all the time; I’m never boring. But don’t take my word for all of these.
BEST PICTURE
The Big ShortI’m going with Sasha and my original PGA pick. Voters are going to be too divisive with The Revenant and Mad Max, and with a preferential ballot I think it’s gonna be either Spotlight, or Big Short. I am saying the latter because of PGA, and because there seemed to be more life in that movie. But stats are meant to be broken, and Revenant is the movie of the hour right now. It’s really gonna be close.
BEST DIRECTOR
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The RevenantAnother split year for me, but the DGA has spoken and I don’t want to steer away from that. Inarritu tackles different genres very well, and he’s consistently unique. George Miller, whilst I respect, has been absent for years and even though Mad Max might be showered with all those tech awards, it’s even more divisive then Leo’s film.
BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, The RevenantFinally.
BEST ACTRESS
Brie Larson, RoomA very middle of the road selection, but Larson is helped by the fact that her movie is a lot more intense and interesting then the likes of her fellow competition; Rampling is the true standout, but the small impact of her film on top of her controversial comments mean people (sigh) will have to discover this brilliance in future years. Saoirse Ronan would be my other personal pick, but subtle never wins here. Blanchett and Lawrence are the biggest stars in arguably underwhelming roles (the former being something I am in the minority on).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sylvester Stallone, CreedMolds are going to be broken with this category Sunday- Stallone will win despite being absent from both SAG and BAFTA’s shortlist. I still don’t buy the whole “voters didn’t get the screeners” excuse. Creed was a box-office smash, so those voters easily could have seen this one in theaters. Which makes me wonder if there is an alternative. But who? Rylance was easily taking BAFTA since the Brits love honoring their own. Bale and Ruffalo both give showy performances in movies tackling political issues but easily cancel each other out. And Hardy (my pick) is in the “swept up with Leo” club (eg Jonah Hill). Stallone easily wins, it’s a career honor, he’s Rocky. Moving on.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Alicia Vikander, The Danish GirlShe’s breathtaking, fresh and in every frame. Kate Winslet did win the BAFTA and Globe, but she defeated Vikander because the SAG winner was nodded instead for Ex Machina, as her Danish Girl performance was properly placed in the lead. So Winslet, essentially, was a default choice. It could happen that voters decide to honor Jack and Rose the same night, but my gut says that Steve Jobs tanked with expectations (even Sorkin failed a nod) and Vikander is luminous. Mara, Leigh and McAdams don’t stand a chance in my book.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Big ShortA fantastic lineup. I think this is the academy’s chance to honor McKay, but don’t be surprised if an inspired pic like Room upsets.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
SpotlightDitto for Tom McCarthy; he won’t win director so this is his consolation prize. As great as the lineup is here, I think Spotlight by far is the best written piece.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The RevenantWatch out for Mad Max– John Seale’s photography is STUNNING.
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Mad Max: Fury RoadIn homage to sci-fi genrea like Avatar winning here, I say this one easily trumps.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
CarolNot confident at all. The designs Powell make here are not loud but certainly plush; I already made my prediction video and can’t go back with this, otherwise I would be certain to change to the traditional safe pick of The Danish Girl; many are saying Cinderella but it only got 1 nod, and recently voters aren’t keen on picking Disney movies tackling fairy tales here (eg Into the Woods, Maleficent). Mad Max could do it, but was it really a costume movie? Not in my eyes.
BEST FILM EDITING
The Big ShortLike Argo, I think Big Short wins 3 Sunday- Picture, Adapted Screenplay and Editing. Like Affleck’s fast-paced flick, this movie also centers around a quick-talking ensemble with fancy cuts and sharp transitions. But it’s a clusterfuck because we have seen recently the voters going for action movies here, in which case Mad Max or Star Wars could prevail.
BEST SOUND MIXING
The RevenantIt’s a coin toss between this and Max; I think the nature and water sounds will appeal to voters LOOKING for the sounds. And that battle scene in the beginning was very loud.
BEST SOUND EDITING
Mad Max: Fury RoadI’m going against the norm and predicting Miller’s movie takes it here, but honestly it can go either way so I’d rather have one right then both wrong. The Martian would have won this had it not been overshadowed.
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Star Wars: The Force AwakensIf you saw this in theaters, you would understand why I am thinking voters will go the same. Also you can’t ignore a movie that made $1 billion domestically- plus got rave reviews.
BEST SONG
“Writing’s on the Wall”, SpectreThis is where you might start saying “WTF” out loud. I understand Diane Warren is overdue, and Lady Gaga is campaigning and the movie is about date rape. But I liked Sam Smith’s presentation more, and think the James Bond genre will help it. But I am most likely dead wrong.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Bridge of Spies, Thomas NewmanMy on the limb, 500 bet. Morricone is the favorite BUT he already won an Honorary Oscar, and I think many voters will not warm up to The Hateful Eight. The name of the composer is also not on the ballot, just the movie. Is this the place where they honor the only best picture nominee of the group with it’s solo win? Also if we’re talking about overdue, Newman has 12 past nominations and 0 wins.
BEST MAKEUP
Mad Max: Fury RoadCoin toss again- Revenant does benefit from having snarly beards and wilderness shots (something they went for with Braveheart in 1995).
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Inside OutBEST ANIMATED SHORT
Bear StoryBEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
StuttererThis will tug at the heartstrings, similar to Helium – which I correctly predicted to prevail in 2013.
BEST DOC FEATURE
AmyBEST DOC SHORT
Body Team 12No idea really.
BEST FOREIGN FILM
Son of Saul, HungaryLook for an upset here- NOTORIOUS category for it. Pete Hammond claims many voters aren’t picking this and that it almost didn’t make the cut for a nomination.
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13K Subscribers, 29 Million ViewsFYC: Derbyite of the Year, 2017
Best Picture
Spotlight
Actor in a Leading Role
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Actor in a Supporting Role
Sylvester Stallone – Creed
Actress in a Leading Role
Brie Larson – Room
Actress in a Supporting Role
Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
Animated Feature Film
Inside Out
Cinematography
The Revenant
Costume Design
Mad Max: Fury Road
Directing
George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
Documentary (Feature)
Amy
Documentary (Short Subject)
Body Team 12
Film Editing
The Big Short
Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Makeup and Hairstyling
Mad Max: Fury Road
Music (Original Score)
The Hateful Eight
Music (Original Song)
“Til It Happens To You” – The Hunting Ground
Production Design
Bridge of Spies
Short Film (Animated)
Sanjays Super Team
Short Film (Live Action)
Ave Maria
Sound Editing
The Revenant
Sound Mixing
Mad Max: Fury Road
Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
The Big Short
Writing (Original Screenplay)
SpotlightI’m predicting Spotlight for Best Picture but not confidently, I find it difficult to imagine it winning best picture and original screenplay only.
ReplyCopy URLBest Picture: Spotlight
Best Director: Alejandro G Inarritu – The Revenant
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Best Actress: Brie Larson – Room
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone – Creed
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander – The Danish GirlOriginal Screenplay: Spotlight
Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Cinematography: The Revenant
Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Film Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Make Up & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Production Design: The Revenant
Score: The Hateful Eight
Song: Til It Happens To You – The Hunting Ground
Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Animated Feature: Inside Out
Documentary Feature: Amy
Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul
Animated Short: World of Tomorrow
Documentary Short: Body Team 12
Live Action Short: Day One4 each for The Revenant & Mad Max: Fury Road, with Spotlight winning 2.
ReplyCopy URLBest Picture: The Revenant
Best Director: Alejandro G Inarritu – The Revenant
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Best Actress: Brie Larson – Room
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone – Creed
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Film Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Cinematography: The Revenant
Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Make Up & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Score: The Hateful Eight
Song: Til It Happens To You – The Hunting Ground
Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Animated Feature: Inside Out
Documentary Feature: Amy
Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul
Animated Short: Sanjay’s Super Team
Documentary Short: Chau Beyond the Lines
Live Action Short: ShokI’m still not 100% sold on The Revenant winning Best Picture, this is probably the category I’m least sure about. I think I’d be most happy (in the most realistic scenario) or Spotlight winning BP and George Miller winning BD.
Also, I have no idea what i’m doing with my short categories. Pure guesswork.
ReplyCopy URLLast year I was traveling from
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Canada to UAE with my family and I could not be able to access the Oscar event
because of geo-graphical restriction but this time also I am going to have a
traveling trips with my family and now I have done my perpetration related to Oscar
event I have with me a best vpn for canada VPN named
Ivacy, and hopefully that this time I will be able to watch Oscars live and witness
Leonardo win the best actor award.Best Picture
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The Big Short
Actor in a Leading Role
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Actor in a Supporting Role
Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
Actress in a Leading Role
Brie Larson – Room
Actress in a Supporting Role
Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
Animated Feature Film
Inside Out
Cinematography
The Revenant
Costume Design
Cindrella
Directing
Alejandra G. Inarritu
Documentary (Feature)
Cartel Land
Documentary (Short Subject)
Body Team 12
Film Editing
The Big Short
Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Makeup and Hairstyling
Mad Max: Fury Road
Music (Original Score)
The Hateful Eight
Music (Original Song)
“Til It Happens To You” – The Hunting Ground
Production Design
Mad Max : Fury Road
Short Film (Animated)
World of Tomorrow
Short Film (Live Action)
Ave Maria
Sound Editing
Mad Max : Fury Road
Sound Mixing
Mad Max: Fury Road
Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
The Big Short
Writing (Original Screenplay)
SpotlightFinal predictions and analysis are up on the site: http://www.theawardsconnection.com/home/2016/2/1/andrews-2015-oscar-predix
Best Picture
The RevenantBest Director
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The RevenantBest Leading Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, The RevenantBest Leading Actress
Brie Larson, RoomBest Supporting Actor
Sylvester Stallone, CreedBest Supporting Actress
Alicia Vikander, The Danish GirlBest Original Screenplay
Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, SpotlightBest Adapted Screenplay
Adam McKay and Charles Randolph, The Big ShortBest Animated Film
Inside Out
Best Animated Short
Bear Story
Best Cinematography
The Revenant
Best Costume Design
The Revenant
Best Documentary
The Look of Silence
Best Documentary Short
Last Day of Freedom
Best Film Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul
Best Live Action Short
Day One
Best Makeup and Hair Styling
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Production Design
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Original Score
Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song
“Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground
Best Sound Editing
Mad Mad: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing
The Revenant
Best Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
ReplyCopy URLBest Picture
The Revenant
Best Director
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
Best Leading Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Best Leading Actress
Brie Larson, Room
Best Supporting Actor
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Best Supporting Actress
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Best Original Screenplay
Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay
Adam McKay and Charles Randolph, The Big ShortBest Animated Film
Inside Out
Best Cinematography
The Revenant
Best Costume Design
Mad Max : Fury Road
Best Documentary
Amy
Best Film Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul
Best Makeup and Hair Styling
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Production Design
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Original Score
Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song
”Writings On The Wall” by Sam Smith – Spectre
Best Sound Editing
Mad Mad: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing
The Revenant
Best Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
ReplyCopy URLBest Picture: The Big Short
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Actor in a Leading Role: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Actress in a Leading Role: Brie Larson – Room
Actor in a Supporting Role: Sylvester Stallone – Creed
Actress in a Supporting Role: Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
Animated Feature Film: Inside Out
Cinematography: The Revenant
Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Directing: The Revenant
Documentary Feature: Amy
Documentary Short Subject: Body Team 12
Film Editing: The Big Short
Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul
Makeup and Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Original Song: “Til It Happens to You” – The Hunting Ground
Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Animated Short Film: World of Tomorrow
Live Action Short Film: Shok
Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Original Screenplay: SpotlightWell the Revenant won Sound at BAFTA didn’t it? They don’t have a Sound-Editing category, I believe. So that could be one – and the recent audio awards gave it to Revenant in Sound Mixing.
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13K Subscribers, 29 Million ViewsFYC: Derbyite of the Year, 2017
Best Picture: The Revenant
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Best Actor in a Leading Role: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Best Actress in a Leading Role: Brie Larson – Room
Best Actor in a Supporting Role: Sylvester Stallone – Creed
Best Actress in a Supporting Role: Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Best Animated Feature Film: Inside Out
Best Cinematography: The Revenant
Best Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Director: George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Documentary Feature Film: Amy
Best Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Best Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Best Original Song: “Til’ It Happens to You” – The Hunting Ground
Best Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Best Visual Effects: Mad Max: Fury Road
