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90th Academy Awards – Best Screenplay Thread

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  • Jake
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    #1202191541

    Title of the film – by screenwriter (previous writing nominations/wins)

    ORIGINAL

    Early frontrunners:
    Big Sick, The – by Kumail Nanjiani and Emily V. Gordon
    Darkest Hour – by Anthony McCarten (The Theory of Everything)
    Downsizing – by Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor (Election, Sideways, Payne: The Descendants)
    Get Out – by Jordan Peele
    Lady Bird – by Greta Gerwig
    Papers, The – by Liz Hannah and Josh Singer (Spotlight)
    Phantom Thread – by Paul Thomas Anderson (Boogie Nights, Magnolia)
    Shape of Water, The – by Guillermo del Toro (Pan’s Labirynth), Daniel Kraus and Vanessa Taylor
    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – by Martin McDonagh (In Bruges)
    Wonder Wheel – by Woody Allen (3 wins: Annie Hall, Hannah and Her Sisters, Midnight in Paris out of 16 nods)

    Good bets:
    Battle of the Sexes, The – by Simon Beaufoy (Slumdog Millionaire)
    Detroit – by Mark Boal (The Hurt Locker, Zero Dark Thirty)
    Dunkirk – by Christopher Nolan (Memento, Inception)
    Florida Project, The – by Sean Baker and Chris Bergoch
    Greatest Showman, The – by Michael Arndt (Little Miss Sunshine, Toy Story 3), Bill Condon (Gods and Monsters, Chicago) and Jenny Bricks
    Girls Trip – by Kenya Barris, Tracy Oliver and Erica Rivinoja
    Killing of a Sacred Deer – by Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthymis Filippou (both – The Lobster)
    Meyerowitz Story (New and Selected), The – Noah Baumbach (The Squiad and the Whale)
    Roman Israel, Esq – by Dan Gilroy (Nightcrawler)
    Suburbicon – by George Clooney & Grant Heslov (Good Night, and Good Luck; The Ides of March) and Coen brothers (Fargo, No Country for Old Men, A Serious Man, Bridge of Spies)
    Wind River – by Taylor Sheridan (Hell and High Water)

    Other noteworthy projects:
    All the Money in the World – by David Scarpa
    American Made – by Gary Spinelli
    Baby Driver – by Edgar Wright
    Breathe – by William Nicholson
    Coco – by Adrian Molina
    Euphoria – by Lisa Langseth
    Goodbye Christopher Robin – by Frank Cottrell Boyce and Simon Vaughan
    Ghost Story, A – by David Lowery
    Happy End – by Michael Haneke (Amour)
    Hostiles – by Donald E. Stewart and Scott Cooper
    LBJ – by Joel Hartstone
    Logan Lucky – by Rebecca Blunt
    Lovers, The – by Azazel Jacobs
    Mark Felt: The Man… – by Peter Landesman
    Marshall – by Michael Koskoff and Jacob Koskoff
    mother! – by Darren Arronosky
    Novitiate – by Margaret Betts
    Okja – by Bong Joon-ho and Jon Ronson
    Redoubtable – by Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
    Under the Silver Lake – by David Robert Mitchell

    ADAPTED

    Early frontrunners:
    Beguiled, The – by Sofia Coppola (Lost in Translation)
    Call Me By Your Name – by James Ivory
    Death of Stalin, The – by Armando Iannucci (In the Loop), David Schneider and Ian Martin
    Disaster Artist, The – by Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber
    Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool – by Matt Greenhalgh
    Last Flag Flying – by Richard Linklater (Before Sunrise/…Sunset/Boyhood) and Darryl Ponicsan
    Mudbound – by Virgil Williams and Dee Rees
    Murder on the Orient Express – by Michael Green
    Stronger – by John Pollono
    Victoria and Abdul – by Lee Hall (Billy Elliott)
    You Were Never Really Here – by Lynne Ramsey

    Good bets:
    55 Steps – by Mark Rosin
    First They Killed My Father – by Loung Ung and Angelina Jolie
    Glass Castle, The – by Destin Daniel Cretton, Andrew Lanham and Marti Noxon
    Lean on Pete – by Andrew Haigh
    Molly’s Game – by Aaron Sorkin (The Social Network, Moneyball)
    Mountain Between Us, The – by Chris Weitz (About a Boy) and J. Mills Goodloe
    On Chesil Beach – by Ian McEwan
    Seagull, The – by Stephen Karam
    Star Wars: The Last Jedi – by Rian Johnson
    Wonder – by Jack Thorne, Steven Conrad and Stephen Chbosky
    Wonderstruck – by Brian Selznick

    Longer shots:
    Aftermath, The – by Joe Shrapnel and Anna Waterhouse
    Based on a True Story – by Roman Polanski (Rosemary’s Baby) and Olivier Assayas
    Beauty and the Beast – by Stephen Chbosky, Evan Spiliotopoulos
    Blade Runner 2049 – by Hampton Fancher and Michael Green
    Book of Henry, The – by Gregg Hurwitz
    Dark Tower, The – by Akiva Goldsman (A Beautiful Mind), Jeff Pinkner, Nikolaj Arcel and Andrew Thomas Jensen
    Euphoria – by Lisa Langseth
    Lady Macbeth – by Alice Birch
    Logan – by James Mangold, Scott Frank and Michael Green
    My Cousin Rachel – by Roger Michell
    Snowman, The – by Hossein Amini and Peter Straughan
    Thank You for Your Service – by Jason Hall
    Tulip Fever – by Tom Stoppard (Shakespeare in Love)
    Wonder Woman – by Allan Heinberg, Zack Snyder and Jason Fuchs
    Zookeeper’s Wife, The – by Angela Workman

    Please share your predictions/thoughts/wishes. 🙂

    Reply
    Eddy Q
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    #1202191993

    What is The Papers adapting? There is no credited source material on either Wikipedia or IMDb.

    Call Me by Your Name winning Adapted Screenplay is my most comfortable early prediction this season. Not saying it’s a lock though.

    Also The Glass Castle can no longer be considered a frontrunner.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1202191996

    The Death of Stalin could be a contender for Adapted; it is written by Armando Iannucci (amongst others) who was nominated for In the Loop. The Death of Stalin seems to be in a similar style to that earlier work.

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    Kwame
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    #1202192014

    Correction: James Ivory is the sole credit for the CMBYN screenplay. He was previously nominated for directing A Room with a View, Howard’s End and The Remains of the Day but has never won. Adapted Screenplay is his to lose.

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    zkrons
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    #1202192070

    Honestly, I think that The Big Sick & Roman Israel might get into to Original almost as consolation nominations, though Gilroy is an incredible writer, as can be seen in Nightcrawler. I don’t see how Dunkirk can get in because the film’s strength relies heavily on its technical aspects.

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    zkrons
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    #1202192071

    Do y’all think that if The Papers is in adapted and CMBYN won screenplay that The Papers could still win Picture?

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    Bee
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    #1202192087

    The Papers is original, I don’t see how it could even compete in adapted.

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    zkrons
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    #1202192109

    The Papers is original, I don’t see how it could even compete in adapted.

    Okay. Thank you. Do you think it can win Original? Maybe it’s too early to be speculating about how good of a screenplay it has though…Thoughts?

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    Coltrane
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    #1202192116

    Correction: James Ivory is the sole credit for the CMBYN screenplay. He was previously nominated for directing A Room with a View, Howard’s End and The Remains of the Day but has never won. Adapted Screenplay is his to lose.

    Wow. That’s quite a resume. Loved all three films.

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    Bee
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    #1202192131

    The Papers is original, I don’t see how it could even compete in adapted.

    Okay. Thank you. Do you think it can win Original? Maybe it’s too early to be speculating about how good of a screenplay it has though…Thoughts?

    It has a good chance but it’s not a lock. CMBYN is the only one that I’m 100% sure is winning Adapted though.

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    pulp50
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    #1202192173

    Don’t know where this idea that the Papers was adapted has come from, I’ve seen it in a few places, but can’t imagine what people think it’s adapted from. Early money is definitely on the Papers for original, but I’m not that confident, just depends if it lives up to the hype. CMBYN for adapted is the safest bet you could make this early on.

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    M
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    #1202192200

    Too soon to tell prediction but PTA vs Jordan Peele for original screenplay.

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    zkrons
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    #1202192210

    Too soon to tell prediction but PTA vs Jordan Peele for original screenplay.

    I don’t buy into Get Out getting in (lol) to Screenplay. Yes, it is amazing, but can it beat out supposed Oscar heavy-hitters like The Papers? I’m not sure it can.

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    Teridax
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    #1202192259

    Too soon to tell prediction but PTA vs Jordan Peele for original screenplay.

    I don’t buy into Get Out getting in (lol) to Screenplay. Yes, it is amazing, but can it beat out supposed Oscar heavy-hitters like The Papers? I’m not sure it can.

    I think Get Out is an easy lock to win Best Director, and I think it is a safe bet though not a lock to win Screenplay. Spielberg movies rarely win Screenplay Oscars. Actually, the only one I can think of that actually did win was Schindler’s List, when that movie swept most of the categories. I see The Papers as a probable nominee, but an unlikely winner.

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    M
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    #1202192268

    I don’t buy into Get Out getting in (lol) to Screenplay. Yes, it is amazing, but can it beat out supposed Oscar heavy-hitters like The Papers? I’m not sure it can.

    Screenplay is the most likely awards play the movie has. The Spielberg, Streep, and Hanks movie sounds so dull on paper it’s shocking everyone here is certain it’s the movie to beat.

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