Home Forums Movies 90TH ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS – Winners Predictions

90TH ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS – Winners Predictions

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 131 total)
Created
2 months ago
Last Reply
2 months ago
130
( +3 hidden )
replies
8339
views
43
users
Teridax
25
Harmon Van deth
14
FreemanGriffin
11
  • eastwest
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jun 6th, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504540

    Best Picture
    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Actor in a Leading Role
    Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour

    Actor in a Supporting Role
    Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Actress in a Leading Role
    Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Actress in a Supporting Role
    Allison Janney – I, Tonya

    Animated Feature Film
    Coco

    Cinematography
    Roger Deakins – Blade Runner 2049

    Costume Design
    Mark Bridges – Phantom Thread

    Directing
    Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water

    Documentary (Feature)
    Icarus

    Documentary (Short Subject)
    Heroin(e)

    Film Editing
    Lee Smith – Dunkirk

    Foreign Language Film
    A Fantastic Woman (Chile)

    Makeup and Hairstyling
    Darkest Hour

    Music (Original Score)
    Alexandre Desplat – The Shape of Water

    Music (Original Song)
    Benj Pasek and Justin Paul – “This Is Me” from The Greatest Showman

    Production Design
    The Shape of Water

    Short Film (Animated)
    Dear Basketball

    Short Film (Live Action)
    DeKalb Elementary

    Sound Editing
    Dunkirk

    Sound Mixing
    Dunkirk

    Visual Effects
    War for the Planet of the Apes

    Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
    James Ivory – Call Me By Your Name

    Writing (Original Screenplay)
    Jordan Peele – Get Out

    Reply
    FreemanGriffin
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504543

    Best Picture: Lady Bird

    Best Actor: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

    Best Actress: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards

    Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards

    Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, I, Tonya

    Best Director: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

    Best Original Screenplay: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

    Best Adapted Screenplay: James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name

    Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049

    Best Production Design: The Shape of Water

    Best Film Editing: Dunkirk

    Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread

    Best Makeup/Hairstyling: Darkest Hour

    Best Sound Mixing: Dunkirk

    Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk

    Best Original Score: The Shape Of Water

    Best Original Song: “Remember Me”, Coco

    Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049

    Best Animated Film: Coco

    Best Documentary: Faces Places

    Best Foreign Language Film: The Square

    ReplyCopy URL
    eastwest
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jun 6th, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504565

    Easily without a doubt one of the hardest Oscars to predict. And while I had A TIME with all of the non-acting categories, the race that I’ll be losing sleep over and sweating until that envelope is opened (and confirmed by a second party) is Best Picture. For the longest time I was predicting Get Out, but I don’t think it has the numbers for an upset. Moonlight was the alternate last year, but Get Out is in contention with several alternates that have more support overall. I have settled on two scenarios. First, it goes home empty-handed and cements its legacy as the film of 2017. Second and what I’m predicting is that it gets its win for writing and also cements its legacy as the film of 2017 that happens to be an Oscar winner. I am going with Three Billboards and I’m disgusted. With Get Out, it has passion that I think will do well on this ballot. I don’t think they paid the “backlash” any mind. I equate it to the election. There were people on the low who voted for Trump (I’ll never forget I saw during coverage of that night one lady talking about how she couldn’t put her Trump signs on her lawn b/c she was a business owner, but was happy as a deplorable in shit that her on the low vote ended up counting) and will do it here. I also don’t think The Shape of Water has passion even with its PGA win. And predicting three films to tie as the most awarded of the night is/feels wrong, so there’s that to stay up at night/wait until envelopes are opened and verified.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Teridax
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 12th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504571

    Easily without a doubt one of the hardest Oscars to predict. And while I had A TIME with all of the non-acting categories, the race that I’ll be losing sleep over and sweating until that envelope is opened (and confirmed by a second party) is Best Picture. For the longest time I was predicting Get Out, but I don’t think it has the numbers for an upset. Moonlight was the alternate last year, but Get Out is in contention with several alternates that have more support overall. I have settled on two scenarios. First, it goes home empty-handed and cements its legacy as the film of 2017. Second and what I’m predicting is that it gets its win for writing and also cements its legacy as the film of 2017 that happens to be an Oscar winner. I am going with Three Billboards and I’m disgusted. With Get Out, it has passion that I think will do well on this ballot. I don’t think they paid the “backlash” any mind. I equate it to the election. There were people on the low who voted for Trump (I’ll never forget I saw during coverage of that night one lady talking about how she couldn’t put her Trump signs on her lawn b/c she was a business owner, but was happy as a deplorable in shit that her on the low vote ended up counting) and will do it here. I also don’t think The Shape of Water has passion even with its PGA win. And predicting three films to tie as the most awarded of the night is/feels wrong, so there’s that to stay up at night/wait until envelopes are opened and verified.

    I just switched to The Shape of Water for Picture and Original Screenplay because it seems to have the most passion overall. McDonagh’s Directing snub never did sit right with me, even as confident as I briefly felt after Three Billboards cleaned up at Bafta. I know TSOW was snubbed for SAG Ensemble, but it still managed to get 3 acting nominations at the Oscars. With the Oscars specifically, The Shape of Water is the only film that isn’t missing something. Three Billboards isn’t in Directing, and both Get Out and Lady Bird were snubbed for Film Editing. Plus, look at Birdman a few years ago, where even when people predicted it to win Picture and Director many were still convinced The Grand Budapest Hotel would win for Screenplay, but nope! I think whatever wins Picture wins Screenplay this year, as has been the case every year from Crash to the present, with the sole exception of the silent film The Artist. IF you predict TB to take Picture, then you should probably predict it for Screenplay to, since it already beat Get Out and TSOW for writing at Bafta, just for consistency’s sake.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Teridax
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 12th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504590

    I am currently not predicting Goldderby’s frontrunner in 7 categories (Picture, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Visual Effects, Documentary Feature, Animated Short, and Live Action Short) and am seriously thinking about switching over from “Remember Me” to “This Is Me” for Song. Is going against the predicted winner in 8 or 7 categories too many?

    ReplyCopy URL
    fivestar
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 12th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504602

    Easily without a doubt one of the hardest Oscars to predict. And while I had A TIME with all of the non-acting categories, the race that I’ll be losing sleep over and sweating until that envelope is opened (and confirmed by a second party) is Best Picture. For the longest time I was predicting Get Out, but I don’t think it has the numbers for an upset. Moonlight was the alternate last year, but Get Out is in contention with several alternates that have more support overall. I have settled on two scenarios. First, it goes home empty-handed and cements its legacy as the film of 2017. Second and what I’m predicting is that it gets its win for writing and also cements its legacy as the film of 2017 that happens to be an Oscar winner. I am going with Three Billboards and I’m disgusted. With Get Out, it has passion that I think will do well on this ballot. I don’t think they paid the “backlash” any mind. I equate it to the election. There were people on the low who voted for Trump (I’ll never forget I saw during coverage of that night one lady talking about how she couldn’t put her Trump signs on her lawn b/c she was a business owner, but was happy as a deplorable in shit that her on the low vote ended up counting) and will do it here. I also don’t think The Shape of Water has passion even with its PGA win. And predicting three films to tie as the most awarded of the night is/feels wrong, so there’s that to stay up at night/wait until envelopes are opened and verified.

    I just switched to The Shape of Water for Picture and Original Screenplay because it seems to have the most passion overall. McDonagh’s Directing snub never did sit right with me, even as confident as I briefly felt after Three Billboards cleaned up at Bafta. I know TSOW was snubbed for SAG Ensemble, but it still managed to get 3 acting nominations at the Oscars. With the Oscars specifically, The Shape of Water is the only film that isn’t missing something. Three Billboards isn’t in Directing, and both Get Out and Lady Bird were snubbed for Film Editing. Plus, look at Birdman a few years ago, where even when people predicted it to win Picture and Director many were still convinced The Grand Budapest Hotel would win for Screenplay, but nope! I think whatever wins Picture wins Screenplay this year, as has been the case every year from Crash to the present, with the sole exception of the silent film The Artist. IF you predict TB to take Picture, then you should probably predict it for Screenplay to, since it already beat Get Out and TSOW for writing at Bafta, just for consistency’s sake.

    Shape isn’t winning Screenplay. The lawuists issued against it didn’t take but they still managed to put enough of a scare into the voters’ minds. If they give Screenplay to Shape then you can sure expect much, much more scruitiny on that script following the win and that’s something I just don’t see the Academy risking, especially after the beating they took last year with the envelopes.

    They’ll give Shape Director, Production, Score and even possibly Cinematography and that would be a nice way to both honor this great film and at the same time avoid bringing unnecessary attention to its Screenplay issues.

    With Shape not taking Screenplay, this category is between 3 Bills and Get Out. I can see both movies winning, but whichever wins Screenplay will most likely go on to take the main prize.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Teridax
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 12th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504613

    @fivestar Funny, I thought the lawsuit was relevant as well, but I don’t think voters are considering it as seriously as I thought. Even on the anonymous Oscar ballots where they hated The Shape of Water, the criticisms had nothing to do with originality, it had to do with the premise seeming unbelievable (even though it IS a fantasy film) and too weird. The lawsuit won’t mean shit in most voters minds, as is evidenced by every single anonymous ballot, whether on Indiewire, Goldderby, THR, or anywhere else. Film Twitter hasn’t exploded about it either. You can expect a lot more scrutiny if they award Three Billboards Screenplay. Get Out should have won something else besides WGA (where Billboards wasn’t even eligible) this season to convince me of its passionate support.

    Moonlight had consensus last year because it had the greatest “overall likability factor.” Even people who don’t rank Shape their #1, which seems to be a surprisingly large amount of them, will rank it their 2nd or 3rd. Its that darn preferential ballot, but even then doesn’t it make sense that both social issues films (Billboards and Get Out) kind of split the vote, allowing the inoffensive and beautifully crafted film by the Director winner to slip through and take home Picture, just like it took PGA (where I had it ranked 4th!) and Critics’ Choice (where I also, believe it or not, still had it ranked down in freaking 4th!)! I am so sick and tired of underestimating this film all awards season long. I’m aware the film with the most nominations doesn’t seem to win Picture anymore, not since The King’s Speech anyways. It is the only film not missing anything from any of the Oscar branches though! Billboards was snubbed for Directing while Lady Bird and Get Out were snubbed for Film Editing. I don’t think TSOW is the La La Land type of frontrunner even with all its Oscar tech nods and SAG Ensemble snub, because last year there was pressure on the Academy voters to award a gay black coming-of-age story, so that pretty much frees up voters to not award a gay (Call Me By Your Name) and black (Get Out) movie this year, as f**ked up as I know that does sound. Many voters do seem to have this “But we did that last year” thing in their heads because Moonlight won Picture. A friend of mine pointed out that if Moonlight had lost last year and La La Land had won, then Get Out would be winning Picture this year. I agree, weird how the Oscars can work like that in how they view movies about certain groups of people. Three Billboards has won a ton of awards from notably non-American groups like Bafta, the Australian International Academy Awards, and the Golden Globes’ HFPA voters. However, in spite of its SAG sweep (which was always going to happen due to its great Ensemble that even won over Billboards-polarized Goldderby for our Awards) I can’t let The Shape of Water’s Critics’ Choice, PGA, and DGA wins slide. Three Billboards should have gotten a Directing nomination, showy or subtle. The branch voters nominated Greta Gerwig for Oscar’s sake! What was so showy or Dunkirk-y about her direction? When Argo won Picture, it had that emotional narrative of Ben Affleck’s career comeback to propel it to a win in spite of the Directing snub. Plus, Argo won Bafta, Globe, Critics’ Choice, DGA, PGA, SAG Ensemble, ACE Eddie, and WGA! It cleaned up in a way Martin McDonagh surely wishes his film had during awards season. I think Frances McDormand and even Sam Rockwell (in spite of Willem Dafoe’s passion vote coming on stronger than I anticipated) are safe to win. It kind of feels strangely predetermined that they will be the only wins for their film on Oscar night. Three Billboards has female rage, guilt, and bitterness while The Shape of Water has female compassion, determination, and love. Which film, looking at Oscar history, do you think the Academy will be more likely to crown the best of the year? Plus, love it or hate it, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri probably isn’t the best title McDonagh could have come up with, while The Shape of Water sounds pretentious and odd, but in a way I think the Oscars will love.

    ReplyCopy URL
    I Am The Night
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 13th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504616

    Seriously Terridax, just 4 days ago you just say that 3BB is a lock for Screenplay, and the Best Picture race is between 3BB, 3BB and 3BB. Now this.

    That escalated quick, just like the way you change your opinion about 3BB lol

    ReplyCopy URL
    Teridax
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 12th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504628

    Seriously Terridax, just 4 days ago you just say that 3BB is a lock for Screenplay, and the Best Picture race is between 3BB, 3BB and 3BB. Now this.

    That escalated quick, just like the way you change your opinion about 3BB lol

    My opinions about Billboards did NOT change quickly, it took a long time to process the film and its messages. I still don’t think it is a perfect movie by any means, although I admire it in spite of whatever flaws it may have due to the stellar performances and themes or anger, redemption, and the futility of nihilism.

    I have NO IDEA what to do for Best Picture anymore! That comment about Screenplay and Picture being locks for Billboards, that was before I saw all these anonymous ballots, before I really considered the fact that The Shape of Water is the only film with nominations from every crucial branch (Editors, Actors, Directors, Writers). I mean, I thought about it before, took it seriously, but even then, right when the Oscar nominations were announced I simply thought that meant Get Out or Lady Bird would win. Then after Bafta I realized that Billboards was a lock to win. Now I realize The Shape of Water is the REAL “lock” to win Best Picture of the freaking year!

    Something you should know about me is I sometimes will use a ton of hubris and hyperbole in order to talk myself into sticking to my predictions or talking myself that it is smartest and safest to switch predictions. The truth is I just want to predict as many categories correctly as I possibly can, no matter how inconsistent it may make me look.

    ReplyCopy URL
    kancov
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jun 7th, 2016
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504636

    I currently have Three Billboards for Picture, but The Shape of Water is still at a close second place. On one hand, there’s the wide support for The Shape of Water, the movie with the most nominations and on the other hand the movie without Director nomination, but with two acting performances winning left and right. I’m actually excited that the Best Picture race is open to more than just two pictures.

    I’m still on the fence about 1) Original Screenplay, but I think I’ll go with Get Out. 2) Film Editing, currently have Baby Driver, but voters love war movies, so I could change before Sunday. 3) Score, I just have this weird feeling about Phantom Thread. I had the same about it getting in for BP, but in the end didn’t predict it. For now, going with Desplat, just to be safe.

    The first few places on the leaderboard could be determined by Documentary, Animated Short and Live Action Short.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Teridax
    Participant
    Joined:
    Dec 12th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504658

    I currently have Three Billboards for Picture, but The Shape of Water is still at a close second place. On one hand, there’s the wide support for The Shape of Water, the movie with the most nominations and on the other hand the movie without Director nomination, but with two acting performances winning left and right. I’m actually excited that the Best Picture race is open to more than just two pictures.

    I’m still on the fence about 1) Original Screenplay, but I think I’ll go with Get Out. 2) Film Editing, currently have Baby Driver, but voters love war movies, so I could change before Sunday. 3) Score, I just have this weird feeling about Phantom Thread. I had the same about it getting in for BP, but in the end didn’t predict it. For now, going with Desplat, just to be safe.

    The first few places on the leaderboard could be determined by Documentary, Animated Short and Live Action Short.

    Don’t forget Song, where both “Remember Me” and “This Is Me” would seem like obvious winners most other years. The former lost the Globe but could win Song to go with Animated Feature just as Toy Story 3 and Frozen did in recent years, but on the other hand the latter was in a recent box office smash that feels like such a show-stopper and themes of accepting and loving oneself ring so true and relevant in the era we are living in, AND it has the same Oscar-winning writers of the La La Land song “City of Stars” that won last year, Pasek and Paul! I just switched a few hours ago to “This Is Me” and am feeling strangely comfortable with that change the more time goes bye.

    ReplyCopy URL
    fivestar
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 12th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504690

    @Teridax, thanks. You raise some good points. There’ still time before the ceremony and I want to see what Indie Spirits awards tonight, so there’s still some time to mull things over.

    ReplyCopy URL
    FreemanGriffin
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504710

    I am choosing not to predict the 3 shorts categories because every year I go with the frontrunners and they almost always are wrong!

    Am I the only one who thinks that Get Out and 3 Billboards will split votes for Screenplay among a majority of male voters (with a smattering for The Shape of Water and maybe a few “indie” type voters for The Big Sick) and therefore a majority of women voters will give the win to Lady Bird?

    ReplyCopy URL
    Johannes Seidel
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 17th, 2016
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504716

    i dont think there is any chance for lady bird in either screenplay or best picture. Screenplay is certainly between 3BB and Get Out

    ReplyCopy URL
    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
    Participant
    Joined:
    Nov 18th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202504739

    Best Picture: The Shape of Water

    Best Actor: Gary Oldman as Winston Churchill, Darkest Hour

    Best Actress: Frances McDormand as Mildred Hayes, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney as Lavona Golden, I, Tonya

    Best Director: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

    Best Original Screenplay: Jordan Peele, Get Out

    Best Adapted Screenplay: James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name

    Best Cinematography: Roger Deakins, Blade Runner 2049

    Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread

    Best Film Editing: Dunkirk

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Darkest Hour

    Best Production Design: The Shape of Water

    Best Original Score: Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water

    Best Original Song: Remember Me, Coco

    Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk

    Best Sound Mixing: Dunkirk

    Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049

    Best Animated Feature: Coco

    Best Documentary Feature: Faces Places

    Best Foreign Film: A Fantastic Woman

    Best Animated Short: Dear Basketball

    Best Documentary Short: Edith+Eddie

    Best Live Action Short: DeKalb Elementary

    ReplyCopy URL
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 131 total)
Reply To: 90TH ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS – Winners Predictions

You can use BBCodes to format your content.
Your account can't use Advanced BBCodes, they will be stripped before saving.

Similar Topics
Alex Meyer - Apr 19, 2018
Movies
Jays - Apr 19, 2018
Movies