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Acting Races re: Best Picture Contenders

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  • benutty
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    Jul 3rd, 2012
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    #206686

    Is it just me or does it seem odd that a majority of the lead contenders (anyone with better than 100/1 odds) in the acting races aren’t from one of the 10 films leading the Best Picture race?

    Going by the current Gold Derby odds here are the ones that aren’t…

    Lead Actor: 5 of 7
    – Fassbender/Steve Jobs
    – Redmayne/The Danish Girl 
    – Cranston/Trumbo
    – Depp/Black Mass
    – Smith/Concussion

    Lead Actress: 4 of 8
    – Lawrence/Joy
    – Rampling/45 Years
    – Vikander/The Danish Girl
    – Tomlin/Grandma 

    Supporting Actor: 4 of 10
    – Stallone/Creed
    – Elba/Beasts of No Nation
    – Shannon/99 Homes
    – Dano/Love & Mercy

    Supporting Actress: 6 of 8
    – Vikander/The Danish Girl
    – Leigh/The Hateful Eight
    – Winslet/Steve Jobs
    – Mirren/Trumbo
    – Vikander/Ex Machina
    – Fonda/Youth 

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    benutty
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    #206688

    In past years, acting nominees from Best Picture contenders…

    2015: 11 of 20
    2014: 16 of 20
    2013: 14 of 20
    2012: 9 of 20
    2011: 15 of 20
    2010: 9 of 20

    This year we could have as low as 7! 

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    Riley
    Participant
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    Oct 11th, 2010
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    #206689

    Predicting nine Best Picture nominee performances myself: DiCaprio, Carell, Ronan, Larson, Blanchett, Bale, Rylance, Tremblay and McAdams.

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