July 6, 2012 at 3:43 pm #64266
Recently we have seen this trend where (sometimes highly respected) actors such as Christopher Plummer, Colin Firth, Melissa Leo, Penelope Cruz, Cate Blanchett, Nicole Kidman, etc. received their first career Oscar nominations and lost to a different actor, only to come back 1-4 years later to win their Oscar in either the same or a different category, in some cases by a total sweep of every award during awards season.
I don’t think this is a coincidence — the first Oscar nomination probably increases their exposure, and allows directors to give these actors more Oscar worthy material.
Personally I think the next person to be put on this list will be Jennifer Lawrence, who, after her Oscar nomination for Winter’s Bone, went on to give a great performance in The Hunger Games and was the highlight of the trailer for David O. Russell’s Silver Lining’s Playbook. She may be able to nab a nomination and potential win for either film.
It could also happen to Carey Mulligan, who, after breaking out with An Education and appearing in a plethora of films 2011, is likely to receive her second career nomination for The Great Gatsby, which looks to be one of the year’s bigger films.
Even Anne Hathway, who’s first nomination was in 2008, may find herself among these ranks. According to the predictions center, she is currently out front to win by a large margin for Les Miserables, another one of the year’s most aniticipated flicks.
Who else may be added to this list in the future?July 6, 2012 at 3:58 pm #64268
It could be Bill Murray this year (I hope not because the trailer looks awful)July 6, 2012 at 4:18 pm #64269
Do you want past cases or new potential cases? In the past all I can think of is Tom Hanks who got nominated for “Big” in 1988 and then won for “Philadelphia” in 1993.July 6, 2012 at 4:36 pm #64270
Jennifer Lawrence is not winning an Oscar for The Hunger Games, and I’m not sure how Carey Mulligan is a “likely” nominee for The Great Gatsby.
Not sure I see this as a trend (though Ledger works as an example).July 6, 2012 at 6:12 pm #64271
Carey Mulligan is NOT going to be nominated for the “cartoonish” looking/sounding “Great Gatsby.” The trailer is horrendous. I have no idea why Mulligan puts on a weird accent of a mixture of southern/british/english. If the Academy nominates “GG” in any of the top categories then they have seriously lost their minds. The trailer makes it look like Baz took Fitzgerald’s book and made a cartoon infused comedy out of it.
As far as Lawrence goes, she has a real shot at a nomination because this is a terrible year for lead actresses. There is Keira for “AK”, Helen Hunt for that oscar bait sick guy film and after that um……yeah…..well the well dries up after that. I think this year there could be a foreign language nominee in Actress or some off the wall indie film nominee’s.July 6, 2012 at 6:45 pm #64272
Another one that comes to mind: Kristen Wiig (nominated for Bridesmaids’ screenplay) may come back in the aforementioned weak year for actresses for Imogene.July 6, 2012 at 7:02 pm #64273
How a category can be considered “weak” with six months of films to be released, I have no clue.July 6, 2012 at 7:09 pm #64274
I agree with Logan, most posters are confusing an weak race with an open one. Just because there are no big roles in contention (OMG Maggie Thatcher! Marilyn Monroe! Lisbeth Salander!) doesn’t mean the eventual contencders will be weak, for now they just aren’t obvious.
Anyway, this year I think Hathaway will probably be unbeatable in supporting.
July 6, 2012 at 7:22 pm #64275
Have no clue about Les Mis other than some plot points and songs (had to learn five of them for school), but other than the “I Dreamed a Dream” scene, is there anything else for Hathaway to do in the film? Serious question, because if she only has that moment (and it may be an excellent one), I’d be confused as to why people think she’s such of a slam dunk winner (sight unseen, I don’t know if “I Dreamed a Dream” has the power of something like “And I Am Telling You”). If Imogene is any good and Bening gets enough notices to be nominated, I would think she’d win in a cake walk (an actress like her would have a very easy time winning in supporting). Viola Davis could even win supporting actress if Won’t Back Down is solid enough (the trailer gives the impression that the studio could relegate Davis to supporting even if her and Gyllenhaal are co-leads).July 6, 2012 at 7:25 pm #64276
Seems like JOHN HAWKES who was nominated in supporting 2 years ago for WINTER’S BONE
stands a good chance of being nominated for lead actor and possibly winning this coming year for SIX SESSIONSJuly 6, 2012 at 8:36 pm #64277
I keep thinking that Michelle Williams is going to win an Oscar someday. I thought that MWWM would be that film for her, but she had to compete against La Streep in a year in what I must Imagine was a very close race.July 6, 2012 at 8:50 pm #64278
Jennifer Lawrence automatically comes to mind. This and last year has been her breakthrough year, and she’s gained a lot of acclaim with every project she’s done. Don’t count her out for a nomination for THG. It’s quite an iconic and baity role that gave her a lot of credibility.July 6, 2012 at 9:04 pm #64279
In what ways did The Hunger Games give Lawrence credibility? As a box office star that can be the lead in a very popular book series? Kristen Stewart has done that for a few years, and I don’t see people championing her for anything (even though, at their best – Stewart in Welcome to the Rileys vs. Lawrence in Winter’s Bone, I’d give the edge to Stewart). She’s good in THG, but I doubt that the film will stand the test of time.July 6, 2012 at 9:46 pm #64280
^IMO, of all the wide releases, Jen Lawrence has given the best female performance of the year so far.July 7, 2012 at 4:17 am #64281
Kristen and Lawrence have nothing in common beside the success of their movies, THG is acclaimed, and Lawrence’s performance was highly appreciate by almost everyone, I don’t think she will be nominated, but if she’s be able to, I think it will be deserved.
I searched for the movies coming out until the end of the year and I didn’t see much of competition in Lead Actress, movies like Anna Karenina or Great Gatsby have a really good chance of turn out bad, Cotillard won’t win for another foreign language movie, and Hunt won’t win another Oscar. Right now, I can see Amy Adams, Laura Linney, and Maggie Smith with a really good chance of win, especially Linney, if her movie turn out really good (yeah, I know the trailer isn’t good, but well lol).