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AM I CRAZY? Here's why I'm picking '3 Billboards' to win Best Picture

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  • Tom O’Neil
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    #1202421557

    Right now only 1 other Expert at Gold Derby — and no other Editors — are picking ‘3 Billboards.’ Please tell me quite candidly what you think …

    http://www.goldderby.com/article/2017/oscar-predictions-three-billboards-outside-ebbing-missouri-news-719635284/

     

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    Hunter-ish
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    #1202421564

    We all know your crazy, but not specifically for that. Three Billboards could totally win.

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    Anonymous
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    #1202421578

    You’re not crazy. You nailed he win for Spotlight when everyone was all over the place. After seeing Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missori, I lost confidence in its ability to take the top prize.

    AMPAS loves a war film. I think both of those WWII pics Dunkirk and Mudbound will appear as a top pick for most voters. Actors will lean to Mudbound while technicians will rank Dunkirk higher.

    For now, it’s a toss up which will triumph.

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    alaska789
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    #1202421640

    You’re not crazy. You nailed he win for Spotlight when everyone was all over the place. After seeing Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missori, I lost confidence in its ability to take the top prize. AMPAS loves a war film. I think both of those WWII pics Dunkirk and Mudbound will appear as a top pick for most voters. Actors will lean to Mudbound while technicians will rank Dunkirk higher. For now, it’s a toss up which will triumph.

    ———————————————-

    You couldn’t be more clueless if you tried ; you are completely tone deaf to the chime of politics ; but even without a political dimension ”3 Billboards” is an excellent movie in its own right

    PS/ Neither Dunkirk or Mudbound will win BP , that’s for sure

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1202421641

    Not crazy at all! I go back and forth between Three Billboards and Lady Bird each day. Both have paths to win!

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    Julia Spencer
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    #1202421648

    I think we all will be very surprised this year with the best picture winner. I thought 3B had a chance but I hear more and more that people like it but not love it because of the foul language used. I have the feeling that Get Out could be the sleeper hit at the Oscars. Apparently (little gold men & indiwire screen talk talked about it) academy members are watching it now on their screeners and its very talked about in the industry. So my guess is currently GET OUT.

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    alaska789
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    #1202421651

    Tom O’Neil is not crazy , just a wise old Owl with good instincts and intuition

    I well remember when he made a last minute change to predict Spotlight instead of The Revenant ”because it didn’t feel right ”..and we all know how that turned out !

    The only thing that  surprises me is that its taken this long for him to recognise the steam train that 3 Billboards clearly is

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    alaska789
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    #1202421655

    I think we all will be very surprised this year with the best picture winner. I thought 3B had a chance but I hear more and more that people like it but not love it because of the foul language used. I have the feeling that Get Out could be the sleeper hit at the Oscars. Apparently (little gold men & indiwire screen talk talked about it) academy members are watching it now on their screeners and its very talked about in the industry. So my guess is currently GET OUT.

    ————————————————

    You’re another one who is clueless ….”foul language” my ass …it’s the foul language that helps to give it the ring of authenticity …there was foul language in fargo , in ”No Country”, in Pulp Fiction and many others

    GET OUT is unlikely to win any Oscars at all …it’s you who should get out of trying to predict winners

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    Elazul
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    #1202421662

    Why make a separate thread for this? There is a thread for the movie itself and also for predictions, not to mention another one for best picture frontrunners. Is there no moderation on this site?

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    alaska789
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    #1202421664

    If you cannot intuitively recognise 3 Billboards as the likely winner then you may want to try some Sherlock Holmes ”deductive reasoning” ..ergo eliminate the suspects who didn’t commit the murder and the sole one that remains, however unlikely, surely did !

    DUNKIRK …a dry, soulless docudrama-like movie that’s likely to win only Tech awards and possibly Best Director

    DARKEST HOUR …a good Historical biopic about Churchill that’s likely to win Oldman a Best Actor Oscar, but it’s unlikely to win BP for the same reasons that Lincoln didn’t

    CMBYN…a well constructed, well polished, but tedious queer film that seems frivolous in these politically charged times…it’s likely to only win Best Adapted Screenplay

    THE POST ..the most anticipated, overrated movie of the year with three famous names that fail to stop it becoming a bore-fest …few voters will care about a political cover-up of an unpopular 1970s war …a mere footnote of History

    SHAPE OF WATER … a beautifully shot retro movies set in the late 1950s that is obliquely political and is an ode to classic film for those folks who love movies ;Del Toro may win a best Director Oscar.. unfortunately it’s handicapped by the fantasy genre , as such, those who Tom O Neil refers to as the ”steak eaters” will not go for it

    MUDBOUND, LADYBIRD and GET OUT are just not going to win Best picture

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    Riley
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    #1202421667

    I have been betting on it too.

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    alaska789
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    #1202421669

    I have been betting on it too.

    So you are the Bast@ard who’s shortened my odds

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    AviChristiaans
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    #1202421718

    Right now only 1 other Expert at Gold Derby — and no other Editors — are picking ‘3 Billboards.’ Please tell me quite candidly what you think …

    http://www.goldderby.com/article/2017/oscar-predictions-three-billboards-outside-ebbing-missouri-news-719635284/

    I seem to keep coming back to Three Billboards as well. It’s winning Original Screenplay, it will be a Top 5 on the preferential ballot, it’s probably winning SAG Ensemble, and it will hit DGA and PGA.

    But the backlash it is recieving now, i am so unsure. It is the most divisive film in the race right now. People LOVE it, and people HATE it. Just like Birdman. Just like Argo.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1202421729

    You couldn’t be more clueless if you tried ; you are completely tone deaf to the chime of politics

    Why are you so rude?

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    CitizenBlake
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    #1202421735

    This “alaska” guy thinks he’s a savage take no prisoners pundit or some shit lmao

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