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Anne Thompson’s Oscar predictions

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  • Nessie
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    #157905

    Here is a partial list of her predictions. She only counts as frontrunners, films she has already seen (most of which will have a battle staying in the race till the end of the year):

    Best Picture

    Frontrunners:

    • “Boyhood”
    • “Foxcatcher”
    • “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
    • “Mr. Turner”
    • “Whiplash”

    Contenders:

    • “Big Eyes”
    • “Birdman”
    • “Gone Girl”
    • “Inherent Vice”
    • “Interstellar”
    • “Into the Woods”
    • “Unbroken”

    Long Shots:

    • “Exodus: God and Kings”
    • “Fury”
    • “The Imitation Game”
    • “Men, Women & Children”
    • “A Most Wanted Man”
    • “A Most Violent Year”
    • “Rosewater”
    • “Selma”
    • “Suffragette”
    • “Tracks”
    • “Wild”

    Actor

    Frontrunners:

    • Chadwick Boseman “Get On Up”
    • Steve Carell “Foxcatcher”
    • Ralph Fiennes “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
    • John Lithgow “Love is Strange”
    • Timothy Spall “Mr. Turner” 

    Contenders

    • Ben Affleck “Gone Girl”
    • Christian Bale “Exodus: God and Kings”
    • Benedict Cumberbatch “The Imitation Game”
    • Michael Keaton “Birdman”
    • Matthew McConaughey “Interstellar”
    • Jack O’Connell “Unbroken”
    • David Oyelowo “Selma”
    • Joaquin Phoenix “Inherent Vice”
    • Eddie Redmayne  “The Theory of Everything”
    • Christoph Waltz “Big Eyes” 

    Long Shots

    • Robert Downey, Jr. “The Judge”
    • Brendan Gleeson “Calvary”
    • Philip Seymour Hoffman “A Most Wanted Man”
    • Oscar Isaac “A Most Violent Year”
    • Brad Pitt “Fury”
    • Miles Teller “Whiplash”

    Actress

    Frontrunners

    • Patricia Arquette “Boyhood”
    • Angelina Jolie “Maleficent”
    • Julianne Moore “Maps to the Stars”
    • Mia Wasikowska “Tracks”
    • Shailene Woodley “The Fault in Our Stars”

    Contenders

    • Amy Adams “Big Eyes”
    • Emily Blunt “Into the Woods”
    • Felicity Jones “Theory of Everything”
    • Meryl Streep “Into the Woods”
    • Reese Witherspoon “Wild”

    Long Shots

    • Jessica Chastain “Miss Julie”
    • Carey Mulligan “Suffragette”
    • Hilary Swank “The Homesman”

    Supporting Actress

    • Dorothy Atkinson “Mr. Turner” 
    • Marion Bailey “Mr. Turner”
    • Viola Davis “Get On Up” 

    Contenders

    • Helena Bonham Carter “Suffragette”
    • Jessica Chastain “A Most Violent Year”
    • Laura Dern “Wild”
    • Anna Kendrick “Into the Woods”
    • Rosamund Pike “Gone Girl”
    • Maya Rudolph “Inherent Vice”
    • Emma Stone “Birdman”
    • Meryl Streep “Suffragette”
    • Emily Watson “Theory of Everything” 
    • Sigourney Weaver “Exodus: Gods and Kings” 

    Long shots

    Supporting Actor

    Frontrunners

    • Ethan Hawke “Boyhood”
    • Alfred Molina “Love is Strange”
    • Mark Ruffalo “Foxcatcher”
    • JK Simmons “Whiplash”
    • Channing Tatum “Foxcatcher”

    Contenders

    • Josh Brolin “Inherent Vice”
    • Benicio del Toro “Inherent Vice” 
    • Albert Brooks “A Most Violent Year”
    • Johnny Depp “Into the Woods”
    • Robert Duvall “The Judge”
    • Logan Lerman “Fury”
    • Edward Norton “Birdman”
    • Tom Wilkinson “Selma”

    Director

    Frontrunners:

    • Wes Anderson “The Grand Budapest Hotel” 
    • Mike Leigh “Mr. Turner”
    • Bennett Miller “Foxcatcher”
    • Richard Linklater “Boyhood”

    Contenders

    • Paul Thomas Anderson “Inherent Vice”
    • Tim Burton “Big Eyes”
    • David Fincher “Gone Girl” 
    • Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu “Birdman”  
    • Angelina Jolie “Unbroken”
    • James Marsh “The Theory of Everything”
    • Christopher Nolan “Interstellar”
    • Jean-Marc Vallee “Wild” 

    Long Shots

    • David Ayer “Fury”
    • David Cronenberg “Maps to the Stars” 
    • Ava DuVernay “Selma”
    • Sarah Gavron “Suffragette”
    • Rob Marshall “Into the Woods”
    • Jason Reitman “Men, Women & Children”
    • Jon Stewart “Rosewater”
    • Morten Tyldum “The Imitation Game”
    • Liv Ullmann “Miss Julie”

    Original screenplay
     
    Frontrunners

    • Wes Anderson “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
    • Mike Leigh “Mr. Turner”
    • Richard Linklater “Boyhood”
    • Dan Futterman and E. Max Frye “Foxcatcher”

    Contenders

    • David Ayer “Fury”
    • Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris and Armando Bo
    • Graham Moore “The Imitation Game”
    • Jonathan Nolan “Interstellar”

    Long Shots

    • John Michael McDonagh “Calvary”

    Adapted screenplay

    Contenders

    • Scott Alexander & Larry Karaszewski
    • Paul Thomas Anderson “Inherent Vice”
    • Joel and Ethan Coen “Unbroken” 
    • Gillian Flynn “Gone Girl”
    • Anthony McCarten “The Theory of Everything”
    • Jason Reitman & Erin Cressida Wilson “Men, Women & Children”
    • Steve Zaillian “Exodus: Gods and Kings”

    Animated Feature 

    Frontrunners

    • “The Lego Movie”
    • “How to Train Your Dragon 2”

    Contenders

    • “Big Hero 6”
    • “The Book of Life”
    • “The Boxtrolls”
    • “The Penguins of Madagascar”
    • “Song of the Sea”

    Cinematography

    Frontrunner:

    • Dick Pope “Mr. Turner”

    Contenders:

    • Jeff Cronenweth “Gone Girl”
    • Roger Deakins “Unbroken”
    • Robert Elswit “Inherent Vice”
    • Janusz Kaminski “The Judge”
    • Emmanuel Lubezki “Birdman”
    • Hoyt van Hoytema “Interstellar”
    • Roman Vasyanov “Fury”
    • Robert D. Yeoman “Exodus: Gods and Kings”

     

    Reply
    BrokenFan
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    #157907

    Here is a partial list of her predictions. She only counts as frontrunners, films she has already seen (most of which will have a battle staying in the race till the end of the year):

       

      You mean like ‘Boyhood’?   

      Most of these frontrunners can only  be described by Oprah in the following gif: 

       

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      Nessie
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      #157908

      [quote=”Nessie”]Here is a partial list of her predictions. She only counts as frontrunners, films she has already seen (most of which will have a battle staying in the race till the end of the year):

       

      You mean like ‘Boyhood’?   

      Hmm, how do I put you on ignore BrokenRecord?

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      babypook
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      Nov 4th, 2010
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      #157909

      Lol.

      Well, Anne I like as a ‘crtic’. I can count them on  one hand so…..where’s Rosamund? O…in Supporting

      She appears to have some faith in Mr Turner.

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      Nessie
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      #157910

      She also has Patricia Arquette and Julianne Moore in lead.

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      KyleBailey
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      #157911

      Ok I enjoy Angelina Jolie’s performance in Maleficant but i’m sorry FRONTRUNNER?! Yikes. That’s just crazy. 

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      Jackson Powell
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      #157912

      why is Hilary Swank considered a longshot?

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      seabel
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      Nov 21st, 2012
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      #157913

      LMAO Anne Thompson. Some choices are just… impossible to diggest.

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      KT
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      Sep 20th, 2012
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      #157914

      Where’s Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby? Also Wes Anderson will almost certainly drop out everywhere except writing. Wish Viggo had a chance…Philip Seymour Hoffman said Viggo is a master. Think Boyhood is guaranteed for director, if Linklater is liked and respected. Would love to see Ridley Scott deliver. His early films are sci-fi essentials–there could be industry goodwill there and even sympathy. Would love to see someone unexpected and deserving emerge….and most of all great films.

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      Malick
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      #157915

      Here is a partial list of her predictions. She only counts as frontrunners, films she has already seen (most of which will have a battle staying in the race till the end of the year):

       

      What if Boyhood doesn’t get in?

      Anne Thompson is the best. I’m diggin’ her predictions.

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      Guest2014
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      Nov 15th, 2011
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      #157916

      Mr. Turner?  Seriously?  A costume epic about a British musician?  

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      Macbeth
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      Oct 7th, 2011
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      #157917

      Maya Rudolph has such a tiny scene in Inherent Vice – in the book she plays a secretary that appears twice. I don’t think she’ll even be close to a contender. 

      Oh, and Mr. Turner is actually about JMW Turner, an artist – and it is actually pretty acclaimed. But I doubt anything other than Best Actor for Spall and Screenplay for Leigh  

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      Laactingnyc
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      #157918

      So according to this woman…. Jessica Chastain isn’t even a longshot for The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby?

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      Edwin Drood
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      #157919

      Most interesting thing in her piece to me was her noting that Lionsgate had debuted Maps to the Stars at Cannes.  If LG is involved in the distrib or awards campaign it will greatly bolster Moore’s shot at a nod, imo.  If, however, as IMDb suggests, eOne is the sole U.S distributor (and presumably the only outfit behind an awards campaign), I doubt the film (and thus Moore’s performance) will find traction with any branch of AMPAS…

      Why are so many shocked that The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby (and Chastain’s perf in it) was given short shrift?  This film (or variants thereof) has been seen – Toronto, Cannes – and has not set the world on fire.  A September release date makes it clear that Weinstein has little to no faith in this and it will not likely be the subject of a major push in any category.  The Homesman is going to be DOA as well – though I think most are aware of that by now…

      I think she has it backwards re: Arquette and Pike – Pike is what I would on paper list as a “strong contender” for recognition in the lead actress category, Arquette a “frontrunner” for a nod in supporting…

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      Edwin Drood
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      #157920

      Mr. Turner?  Seriously?  A costume epic about a British musician?  

      Yeah, ridiculous, because we all know that AMPAS just loathes period pieces, British accents and films about artists (however, Turner worked in oils, not with staff paper).  And, after 7 nominations, the hatred for Mike Leigh is almost palpable…

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