December 16, 2014 at 6:41 pm #169698
I’ve recently moved Gyllenhaal up to second place!
I know a little crazy and I might shuffle my picks around before the show but, an argument used around Goldderby a lot is the Apple in a bag of oranges. Currently, Gyllenhaal is that apple, the only actor in the category who is not playing an actual person. Shouldn’t he be more of a factor considering he’s solely creating his character without any source material? The other four could easily cancel each other out.
Keep in mind he’s had a good couple of weeks picking up both a SAG and Critics choice nomination. His win would be a game changer!December 16, 2014 at 6:51 pm #169700
I’d love to see that happen. That would be a sweet upset. I might just need to predict it.December 16, 2014 at 7:20 pm #169701
A win would thrill me to no end.December 16, 2014 at 11:55 pm #169702
Isn’t Birdman all fictitious? So Michael Keaton in that sense would be the apple in the orange basket. No?December 17, 2014 at 3:39 pm #169704
I also have Gyllenhaal in second place after Cumberbatch who is the major, popular, beloved star in the movie that the Globes loved with Harvey behind him.December 17, 2014 at 3:48 pm #169705
Unfortunly it won’t happen. It’s gonna be either Redmayne or Cumberbatch. Probably Redmayne though.December 17, 2014 at 4:32 pm #169706
Normally, I would say not a snow-ball’s chance.
But Nightcrawler has performed remarkably well, (as it should imo) earning back at least three-fold at this point. And it’s such a terrific small film, with the notices it’s garnering, it will earn quite a bit more.
The earnings’ the thing with the HFP.
On the other hand, the Globes appear to be trying to clean up their transparent act. And, predictions of Oscars or not, the correlation is hard to deny; and it wont be Gyllenhaal.
Nightcrawler is just not mainstream enough for them, and it’s not a huge blockbuster so….nada.December 17, 2014 at 10:22 pm #169707
I think Cumberbatch, Carell (and I’m not saying this because of Foxcatcher) and maybe even Gyllenhaal have better chances to win the Globe than Redmayne. Redmayne has the kind of performance that takes SAG/BAFTA/BFCA and the kind of star power and charisma that loses the GG. In the end I still think its Keaton’s to lose.