January 6, 2015 at 2:36 pm #171462
The Director’s branch has historically nominated male directors and only four females have been nominated one time each (Lina Wertmuller, Seven Beauties, 1976; Jane Campion, The Piano, 1993; Sofia Coppola, Lost In Translation, 2003; and Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker, 2009, the only winner) in 86 years. A few months ago, it seemed possible that there would be two women directors nominated this year: Angelina Jolie for Unbroken, and Ava DuVernay for Selma (the first african-american woman) – I’m starting to think that neither of them will get nominated ): I haven’t seen Selma yet, will be seeing it this weekend, so I don’t know what I think of her work.
I loved Unbroken more than most, didn’t expect to at all, but thought she did a great job of directing a heroic world war II drama – brutal and effective, with terrific performances, and great filmmaking techniques – the critics haven’t seen it this way, they seem to think the film is too “impersonal” – my feeling is that if Steven Spielberg had directed it the exact same way as her the critics would have loved it – I do think they have been prejudicial towards it.
Selma seems to be losing steam – it’s not getting the nominations that I would think it would get. This whole Johnson controversy that has popped up (all political films get this “October surprise” thing during Oscar season). Ava DuVernay is an unknown – is that affecting her chances?
I still am predicting Ava DuVernay, along with the two locks: Richard Linklater (who I believe will win), and Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu; then I am going out on a limb and thinking that Wes Anderson and Morten Tyldum will round out the five nominees. But I see two non-Best Picture potential Director nominees: Mike Leigh and Pawel Pawdlikowska (sp?) for Ida….
Other potential nominees – Clint Eastwood, J.C. Chandor, Bennett Miller, David Fincher, Dan Gilroy, Damien Chazelle, James Marsh… have I left anyone out?? It feels very wide open this year, with the potential for some real surprises…
So, my big question: will a female Director get a nomination this year?January 6, 2015 at 2:42 pm #171464
I doubt that either of them will get in. You know how many female directors actually made it in outside of Jane Campion, Sofia Coppola or Kathryn Bigelow? I don’t think any.January 6, 2015 at 3:07 pm #171465
No, but if either of them do, it’ll be Ava. They can say what they will about this film and about “accuracy”. Truth is, MLK DID pressure LBJ, who wasnt so much “reluctant” but wasnt too willing to do such a vital thing THEN and not later. LBJ was a dangerous Buffoon.
The more they yack and blab about this film, the more it stays in the limelight; and the more occidentals will huff and fume about not ALWAYS being at the centre of things; of the centre of change, and NOT the primary movers and shakers every freaking time.
Then there’s the Women Civil Rights Leaders. Kudos to Ava! And O yes, there were a few of us then…..
I’m not one for “race” wars but this one, and the so-called “Backlash” against Selma really really pisses me off. But then, perhaps it’ll turn out to be a good thing by the end.January 6, 2015 at 3:12 pm #171466
Ava is well known in the directing and entertainment communities, and they only had time to send enough screeners to Oscar voters (which explains the guild snubs).
I would compare that situation to something like Beasts of the Southern Wild, which was ineligible for most guild awards so there was no indication of how well it would do with voters until nomination morning. In this situation, a lot of these guilds have so many voters from all over the country and the movie is still limited in theaters until this weekend, so there wasn’t much of a way to get enough of those voters to watch it.
Jolie doesn’t have a chance, and, frankly, I don’t think she ever much did.January 6, 2015 at 3:58 pm #171467
Angelina hell to the no! Ava is vulnerable but I still think she’s getting in.January 6, 2015 at 4:24 pm #171468
Ava has a strong chance but she’s no lock. Angelina seems to have lost all of her steam, maybe she’ll fare better next year with By the Sea.January 6, 2015 at 5:22 pm #171469
It seems like no for both of them now. What are DuVernay’s odds @ DGA?January 6, 2015 at 7:10 pm #171470
It seems like no for both of them now. What are DuVernay’s odds @ DGA?
If they couldn’t get the screeners out to any of these guilds, I would guess it’s the same for that one. But I think the DGA overlap has the potential to be very low this year.January 6, 2015 at 9:34 pm #171471
Ava hopefully should get in.
Jolie is good, too.
Let’s just hope this “tough” academy thinks so, too.January 7, 2015 at 8:14 am #171472
I think Ava is getting nominated for sure. Jolie…not so much. I think there is a chance but a slim one.January 8, 2015 at 2:10 am #171473
I still think Ava Duvernay still is one of the frontrunners for the Oscar but I wouldn’t be surprised if she is left off of the DGA list. Selma as a whole has only been recognized by one guild (Costume Designers) and this is partially due to not being sent out to guilds and not being eligible (WGA). DuVernay has been campaigning hard all throughout the time ballots are available and she comes across as very passionate. I will be shocked if she is snubbed at the Oscars. At DGA I could see there being any combination including Tyldum, Gilroy, and Anderson (of course with Linklater and Inarritu). Hell, I wouldn’t be surprised if Eastwood or Nolan made it into the DGA only to be left out of the Oscars. I could be wrong though. DuVernay is well known amongst the directing community and has even directed television before which will help her with the guild.
And Jolie has no chance. If they had no time for Affleck she has no chance this year. I like the idea stated earlier that she could come back next year with By The Sea.January 8, 2015 at 2:57 am #171474
Both will probably miss because both of their films are
being shut out of many guild noms and other precursors.
The handwriting is on the wall…It is possible for DuVernay
to still get nominated with SELMA’s losing bid as well…
LEIGHJanuary 8, 2015 at 3:25 am #171475
I think DuVernay is in, and having seen ‘Selma’ now, she’s totally deserving. Haven’t seen ‘Unbroken’ yet, but just based off of precursors, I don’t think she has a chance. ‘Selma’ has missed out on a lot of guild awards, but according to some it’s due to a lack of screeners, and supposedly the Academy was sent screeners before the guilds. I’m hoping this means ‘Selma’ will have a good showing come Oscar nomination morning.
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