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BAFTA Nominations are out. What you think?

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  • Mrinal
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    #1202461566

    BAFTA Nominations Results are out and I think it is quite a good list considering most of the good films got nominated, although there are some surprises. The top 3 films leading in nominations are

    The Shape of Water (12)
    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (9) and
    Darkest Hour (9)

    Two films that are completely absent from the nominations list are Mudbound and The Big Sick.

    The Big surprises are snub of Lady Bird from The Best Film and Best Director categories.

    On the other hand Blade Runner 2049 director Denis Villeneuve got nominated for Best Director. I think many will be happy with this considering the amount of support this film have from its fan.

    And many people’s heart will be broken after not seeing Armie Hammer’s name on the nomination list for the Best Supporting Actor.

    Overall I think it’s a good list.

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    LangeWeaver2
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    #1202461573

    I think best prediction for supporting actor is that neither Hammer nor Stuhlbarg get in.  It’s Rockwell, Plummer, Dafoe, Harrelson and Jenkins.

    Supporting actress is up in the air past Janney and Metcalf.

    Post shut out probably spells bad news for Hanks, maybe even Spielberg.

    Looks like Picture is Shape of Water, 3 Billboards or Lady Bird.  I really don’t want any of those to win, so meh.

    CMBYN is gonna sail to an Adapted Screenplay win.

    Critics and industry could have a fair split this year.  Critical darlings Get Out and Lady Bird had a bad morning beyond acting and screenplay.

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    Teridax
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    #1202461575

    I think best prediction for supporting actor is that neither Hammer nor Stuhlbarg get in. It’s Rockwell, Plummer, Dafoe, Harrelson and Jenkins.

    Supporting actress is up in the air past Janney and Metcalf.

    Post shut out probably spells bad news for Hanks, maybe even Spielberg.

    Looks like Picture is Shape of Water, 3 Billboards or Lady Bird. I really don’t want any of those to win, so meh.

    CMBYN is gonna sail to an Adapted Screenplay win.

    Critics and industry could have a fair split this year. Critical darlings Get Out and Lady Bird had a bad morning beyond acting and screenplay.

    It isn’t The Shape of Water. It was snubbed for SAG Ensemble. It won’t be Lady Bird. It was snubbed for Bafta Picture + Director. This BP Oscar race is officially now between Three Billboards, Three Billboards, and Three Billboards… as much as that pisses me off. 🙁

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    Philip
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    #1202461579

    There is already a Bafta thread.

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #1202461580

    I think that Three Billboards is a definite lock to win Best Film. The two films that are its biggest Best Picture competition at the Oscars, Lady Bird and Get Out, were snubbed. 3B will probably win Best British Film as well.

    McDormand is the Best Actress frontrunner here, but Hawkins and Ronan definitely provide stiff competition. As always with the BAFTAs, the British/European factor has to be taken into account. To go along with that, though, TSOW leads in nominatons and Ronan is the it girl right now.

    Del Toro’s status as Best Director frontrunner has been cemented. Nolan does give him a run for his money, though.

    I’m now predicting an Oscar nomination for Woody Harrelson in Best Supporting Actor. I’m confident that he can ride 3B’s wave of momentum to Oscar nomination #3. Plummer’s chances at an Oscar nod went up today also. I know that he was snubbed at SAG, but nominations here and at the GG are hard to ignore.

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    LangeWeaver2
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    #1202461589

    I think best prediction for supporting actor is that neither Hammer nor Stuhlbarg get in. It’s Rockwell, Plummer, Dafoe, Harrelson and Jenkins.

    Supporting actress is up in the air past Janney and Metcalf.

    Post shut out probably spells bad news for Hanks, maybe even Spielberg.

    Looks like Picture is Shape of Water, 3 Billboards or Lady Bird. I really don’t want any of those to win, so meh.

    CMBYN is gonna sail to an Adapted Screenplay win.

    Critics and industry could have a fair split this year. Critical darlings Get Out and Lady Bird had a bad morning beyond acting and screenplay.

    It isn’t The Shape of Water. It was snubbed for SAG Ensemble. It won’t be Lady Bird. It was snubbed for Bafta Picture + Director. This BP Oscar race is officially now between Three Billboards, Three Billboards, and Three Billboards… as much as that pisses me off. ????

    You have to remember the preferential ballot, though. If 3 Billboards is as divisive as people say it is, then it may not get enough 1, 2, 3 votes to win. A film with broader support like Lady Bird could still do it. Also remember that 3 Billboards is very popular with Brits and Europeans. It still has not won anything major voted on by Hollywood insiders.

    • This reply was modified 5 months, 2 weeks ago by  LangeWeaver2.
    • This reply was modified 5 months, 2 weeks ago by  LangeWeaver2.
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    sofan
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    #1202461596

    Two films that are completely absent from the nominations list are Mudbound and The Big Sick.

    You forgot The Post.

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    Mrinal
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    #1202461599

    Two films that are completely absent from the nominations list are Mudbound and The Big Sick.

    You forgot The Post.

    Ya you are right.

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    sitizoner
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    #1202461600

    Comparing this season with the previous, 3B is La La Land. Both was/is facing backlash. If preferential balloting is at work – BP winner is either Lady Bird or CMBYN (Adapted Screenplay frontrunner). I’d say TSOW too but yeah, the SAG stat.

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    GusCruz
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    #1202461607

    Manville could totally happen at the Oscars now. She’s certainly not less likely than Scott Thomas who was also nominated.

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    Elazul
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    #1202461610

    There is already a Bafta thread.

    I can’t with this forum having so much threads for the same topic, there is absolutely no moderation here…

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    Baby Clyde
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    #1202461612

    The BAFTA noms are slightly embarrassing as usual.

    There’s Paddington 2 appearing all over the place (Looking at you Hugh Grant).

    Two of the 5 Foreign Language Films were nommed at the Oscars last year (Including the winner and the most high profile one, as was one of the docs and an animated film (My Life As A Courgette was shown at LFF in 2016 but gets in this year whereas Coco hasn’t been released in UK yet but gets nommed now).

    And I HATE that British Film award which is just used as a consolation prize every time whilst they give Best Picture to an American Film or even more confusingly have the British winner of Best Picture (The Queen, Atonement etc) lose the award for Best British Film. GAH!!!

    Good showing for I, Tonya bodes well. Relatively bad one for Lady Bird doesn’t. Although I expect that to be reversed at The Oscars. CMBYN didn’t do too well either with both S.Actors missing.

    With Shape of Water getting the most noms it’s odd that Richard Jenkins didn’t make it when they had to add some real filler to that category. Especially when Octavia Spencer got in for playing herself again.

    Do I have to start taking Christopher Plummer seriously?

    Three Billboards extremely strong showing is great news and don’t think it will suffer same backlash here as it is in US. The supposedly problematic racial aspects of the film don’t resonate the same way in the UK at all.

    Same reason for Get Out’s poor showing. What was a cultural phenomenon in US barely caused a ripple here. S

    Langeweaver2 is correct preferential ballot almost certainly scuppers Three Billboards Oscar chances. Obviously it’s getting nominated in all the right places and may even win BAFTA but some people HATE the film and those 6th/7th place votes are likely to kill it’s chances when Lady Bird or TSOW are everyone’s 2nd or 3rd.

    Don’t think we can read too much into The Post’s absence. I’m sure they did some BAFTA screenings but it’s been seen by hardly anyone in UK yet. Wasn’t shown at any festivals and not even out for 2 weeks. Doubt enough voters were able to see it before nomination day which is 2 weeks ahead of the Oscars so they had even less time.

    • This reply was modified 5 months, 2 weeks ago by  Baby Clyde.
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    CanadianFan
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    #1202461615

    The preferential ballot is not going to matter when 3B gets 60% of 1st place votes.

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    sitizoner
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    #1202461617

    The preferential ballot is not going to matter when 3B gets 60% of 1st place votes.

    I recall someone said the same thing about LLL last year.

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    Mason Desantis
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    Darkest Hour is gonna sweep. Cronyism at its best.

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