February 13, 2017 at 2:09 pm #1202011159
When I first started doing some research for my Oscar predictions, it seemed to me like this category would be between The White Helmets and Watani: My Homeland, with maybe Joe’s Violin being the spoiler if they went for something more uplifting, I assumed Extremis would be least likely to win. Most of the articles, blogs and such that I looked at for predictions also seemed to agree. Now I come here, and Extremis seems to be a heavy favorite while not a single top 24 user has Watani to win. Where’s all this love for Extremis from? Do you think it’ll win? I’m still gonna go with White Helmets for now.February 13, 2017 at 2:34 pm #1202011179
I wonder about the choice Extremis as a front runner myself. I feel like given the fact that the Academy skews older, watching a documentary about the end of life may be too depressing. The White Helmets, which is also on Netflix, seems like a better choice or Joe’s Violin, which is more uplifting. Don’t overlook 4.1 Miles, it’s already won a Student Academy Award.February 13, 2017 at 3:05 pm #1202011206
Extremis and 4.1 are not going to win. It’s between the other three.February 14, 2017 at 5:56 am #1202011645
Haven’t seen 4.1 miles but am surprised The White Helmets isn’t being picked by more GB experts. It’s got the right, timely, subject matter, is available for easy screening via Netflix, has a few previously nominated people behind it and, crucially, is being made into a feature by Clooney and Grant Heslov, who are both Oscar winners. Expect them to be getting their Academy pals to both watch and vote for The White Helmets. In a crowded race, this should be enough to get the film over the line.February 14, 2017 at 6:01 am #1202011646
Further to that, The White Helmets has already beaten Extremis, at the International Documentary Association awards, plus some of its crew and subjects are facing a Farhadi-like situation regarding the Trump travel ban.February 14, 2017 at 11:25 am #1202011853
I originally thought being on Netflix was a plus but I’ve been burned in the past: The World of Tomorrow for Animated Short just to name one example. A lot of the docs: The Square, Virunga, etc. on Netflix during voting, didn’t help.
Now, being on HBO, that seems to be a big plus. Or at least HBO producing or picking it up for distribution, seems to be something to look for. Not sure if HBO has anything to do with any of the nominees this year.