October 18, 2014 at 9:25 am #163574
Yes, this is another topic about Into the Woods. However, if the discussion is interesting enough, we can create similicar topics to other contenders.
I currently have it at 10th place in my BP predictions.
I’m pretty sure it will be in the 70’s in MC and make some decent money (Streep + Depp + Kendrick + Disney fantasy + Broadway audience)
Plus, I’m predicting 5 to 8 nominations (Actress/Supporting Actress + Costume Design + Production Design + Makeup + Sound Mixing and maybe Visual Effects + Cinematography + Editing). And since the expanded BP lineup there’s been only 2 movies missing with 5 other nominations: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo and Skyfall. No movie missed with 5+ nominations. (and Dreamgirls, Wall-E and The Dark Knight would certainly be nominated in an expanded lineup).
I’m not saying it’ll get a BP nomination. My point is if it gets a minimum of 6 nominations (and that’s not far-fetched at all!) without a BP nomination, it’ll become the film with the highest number of nods without cracking the expanded BP lineup. Will this happen?October 18, 2014 at 9:36 am #163576
No! It looks odd and weird. I’m 99.67% it’s not getting in. But if it does get in I will give you 5 star ratings everytime you post something in the forum posts.October 18, 2014 at 9:38 am #163577
If it’s a strong film than I believe it’s possible (I like Rob Marshell as a director so I’m hopeful). But, as of now the only thing certain is that their’s a strong chance that it’ll get nominations for Production Design (like a lot of recent oscar bait musicals do), Costume Design & Make-up.October 18, 2014 at 9:46 am #163578
It already looks promising with the techs, so if the acting is strong enough (beyond Streep), and it makes a lot of money, I can see it having enough support to crack a top 9. But I’m not predicting it at this current juncture.October 18, 2014 at 10:06 am #163579
A BIG YES !!!
Into The Woods can garner the minimum required 250 #1 votes for a Best Picture Nomination from its Huge Built-In Academy Voters (Casts & Crews), their followers-supporters who can be influenced-campaigned and some Broadway-Musical film advocates.October 18, 2014 at 10:42 am #163580
Considering how butchered it’s going to be from the play, right now I’m going with no.October 18, 2014 at 11:23 am #163581
nopeOctober 18, 2014 at 11:52 am #163582
Maybe it can surprise but at this point, I think “No”.October 18, 2014 at 12:26 pm #163583
A BIG YES !!!
Into The Woods can garner the minimum required 250 #1 votes for a Best Picture Nomination from its Huge Built-In Academy Voters (Casts & Crews), their followers-supporters who can be influenced-campaigned and some Broadway-Musical film advocates.
That can also be said about Whiplash, Foxcatcher, Birdman, Boyhood, Unbroken, American Sniper, Selma, Gone Girl, Inherent Vice, Wild, The Imitation Game and Interstellar. In my opinion they all stand a better chance at getting nominated than Into The Woods.October 18, 2014 at 1:00 pm #163584
I think it has a chance but musical films really all depend on the reviews when it comes to Oscar hopes. Chicago and Les Mis are the only ones to do so in this century. Even with rave reviews for Hairspray and Sweeney Todd in 2007 they couldn’t get in but with 5-10 now I think it has a better shot. It also depends on the Nov/Dec potentials to see how they play out. It will definitly get in at the Globes but I have it in for right now. It seems people are getting tired of fariy tale movies but I do think that the musical crowd will back it up like with Les MisOctober 18, 2014 at 3:17 pm #163585
I wouldn’t count on the musical crowd supporting Into The Woods that much. Despite some shitty filmaking and casting, Les Mis was popular because it was very faithful to the actual show. Into The Woods on the other hand is already less well known and the fans they do have are pissed at all the changes cause they are trying to “Disney” a more adult show. That said it is about the voters and I doubt 80% really care or know about the stage musical.October 18, 2014 at 3:27 pm #163586
If there is anywhere near the current amount of buzz a couple weeks after it’s release, then I could see it. It needs to be as well-received as Les Mis, and I have to think that it needs a performance that really gets people talking.
Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/October 18, 2014 at 5:15 pm #163587
The R E L E A S E D A T E …. will generate a lot of # 1 Votes for Into The Woods !!!
October 18, 2014 at 5:23 pm #163588
- Movie Soundtrack will be released earlier to the Public on December 16.
- Soundtrack will supplement the Screeners as Christmas Giveaways to SAG, BAFTA, AACTA, Academy Voters, etc…
- BIG Opportunity for ITW to have numerous CINEMA Screenings for Academy & Other Award-Giving Voters.
- ITW could be the BIGGEST Oscar Contender Release CLOSEST to the Voting Deadline.
- ITW will have JUST-IN-TIME BUZZ & MOMENTUM to take TOM (Top-Of-Mind) Awareness among Unaffiliated-Uncommitted Academy Voters.
I think it has a chance but musical films really all depend on the reviews when it comes to Oscar hopes. Chicago and Les Mis are the only ones to do so in this century. Even with rave reviews for Hairspray and Sweeney Todd in 2007 they couldn’t get in but with 5-10 now I think it has a better shot. It also depends on the Nov/Dec potentials to see how they play out. It will definitly get in at the Globes but I have it in for right now. It seems people are getting tired of fariy tale movies but I do think that the musical crowd will back it up like with Les Mis
Les Mis was a VERY dramatic and faithful adapation of a VERY dramatic musical. Everything was on point (minus Hooper’s direction and the fact that everybody was singing all the time – that was a major turn off for me) and it was drama at its finest: tragedy after tragedy after tragedy. Into The Woods has darker and edgier material but by the looks of it they Disney-alized it and now it looks kind of childish/silly. Can’t see voters taking it as seriously as Chicago or Les Mis. The female acting categories this year is not as strong as it was before so it’s not hard for Streep/Kendrick/Blunt to get in. Other than that and the costume design and Original Score/Song, I don’t expect this movie to score big time at the Oscars.October 18, 2014 at 5:48 pm #163589
The thing is is that with this expanded field it shows that groups have power to get movies in now. Foriegn groups (Amour), Sci fi (Gravity, Avatar, Inception, District 9), Musicals (Les Mis) so there is a group of people that if they really love this movie will bring it over some of the normal bio pics/baity movies.
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