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Best Picture for Oscars

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  • Chris Beachum
    Keymaster
    Joined:
    May 22nd, 2011
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    #202271

    A new thread for Best Picture now that we have so many nominations from various groups.

    GOLDEN GLOBES:
    The Big Short
    Carol
    Joy
    Mad Max: Fury Road
    The Martian
    The Revenant
    Room
    Spotlight

    SAG AWARDS:
    Beasts of No Nation
    The Big Short
    Spotlight
    Straight Outta Compton
    Trumbo

    NATIONAL BOARD OF REVIEW:
    Bridge of Spies
    Creed
    The Hateful Eight
    Inside Out
    Mad Max: Fury Road**
    The Martian
    Room
    Sicario
    Spotlight
    Straight Outta Compton

    NEW YORK FILM CRITICS:
    Carol

    LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS:
    Spotlight

    OTHER CONTENDERS:
    Anomalisa
    Brooklyn
    Concussion
    The Danish Girl
    Star Wars: The Force Awakens
    Son of Saul
    Steve Jobs
    Youth

    Reply
    ziggy
    Participant
    Joined:
    Nov 29th, 2013
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    Posts:
    #202273

    Spotlight
    Carol (been predicting this is from the get-go, happily the rest of the world is now catching up :p )
    The Revenant
    Mad Max
    The Martian
    Room
    Bridge of Spies
    The Hateful Eight
    Inside Out
    The Big Short

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    Riley
    Participant
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    Oct 11th, 2010
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    #202274

    The win is a race between Spotlight and The Revenant.  The former would be the obvious choice, but it keeps missing acting nominations.  We can make excuses all day long, but we should not really need to if it truly is Best Picture.  Even if Spotlight wins, The Revenant will still win director, actor, cinematography and score at least.  Plus people say that it is going in the history books with The Tree of Life and Leonardo DiCaprio might be able to carry it at the box office.  Spotlight looks more like a Best Picture, but all that I am saying is that it keeps showing signs of weakness and The Revenant is in the best spot to overtake it.

    Mad Max: Fury Road is in contention if it can actually get all the way to the Oscars.  There is another one that is going to win a lot and it could even snatch director since Alejandro G. Iñárritu won just last year, plus people love that movie and it gets bonus points for being a Best Picture winner that grossed hundreds of millions for a change.  Brooklyn also has an outside chance if it can truly rally at BAFTA.

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    Damian Pietrzak
    Member
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    Dec 2nd, 2015
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    #202275

    Oscar ranking
    1. “Spotlight”
    2. “Carol”
    3. “The Martian”
    4. “Brooklyn”
    5. “The Revenant”
    6. “Mad Max: Fury Road”
    7. “Room”
    8. “Inside Out”
    9. “The Big Short”
    10. “Bridge of Spies”

    11. “The Hateful Eight”
    12. “Beasts of No Nation”
    13. “Straight Outta Compton”
    14. “The Danish Girl”
    15. “Steve Jobs”
    16. “Creed”

    Something like that. I hold spot for Inside Out. From day 1 to january 14. Its getting in. too good, too original to not.

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    GusCruz
    Participant
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    Feb 26th, 2012
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    #202276

    Spotlight for Picture, but Miller is starting to look viable for that Best Director Oscar. DGA, it’s your turn.

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    babypook
    Participant
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    Nov 4th, 2010
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    #202277

    Spotlight for Picture, but Miller is starting to look viable for that Best Director Oscar. DGA, it’s your turn.

    I hope so.
    If DGA and PGA split, wouldnt THAT be something. I cant remember the last time Oscar was so up in the air at this point.   

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    Anonymous
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
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    #202278

    I really hope that by Janurary 14th we still have no true idea who is winning and also no idea who will be nominated. Also I hope by the awards ceremony it is up in the air because this is just some crazy fun. Ready for Saoirse Ronan to destroy Cate Blanchett just like she did in Hanna. 🙂

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    clay bryce
    Participant
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    Jan 5th, 2015
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    #202279

    I think this is going to be the year of Mad Max.  It made a lot of money, audiences liked it, critics liked it, it will be nominated in at least 7 categories, and the Academy will be able to say they rewarded a “commercial” movie for a change, one that many people around the world have actually seen.  And people seem to like it more than The Martian, which has the same pedigree that I mentioned about MM but for some reason, when told it could win Best Picture, it has been greeted with a shrug.  Unlike MM.

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    HarleyQuinn17
    Participant
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    Dec 15th, 2014
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    #202280

    I’m rooting for Mad Max to get the nomination. It’s a blockbuster, It’s an action movie but is so damn good and even critics praised it. This could mark a change in the boring taste of the academy

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    Philip
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    Jan 29th, 2012
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    #202281

    I don’t get the Mad Max love at all. I didn’t see the film when it came out and decided that if it got in at the Globes I would watch it. I just finished and I am baffled by it’s strength this awards season. It’s a down the like action movie, nothing special.

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    Asgaroth
    Participant
    Joined:
    Nov 1st, 2012
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    #202282

    Spotlight
    Mad Max Fury Road
    Carol
    The Revenant
    Room
    The Martian
    The Big Short
    Bridge of Spies
    Brooklyn
    Straight Outta Compton alt. The Hateful Eight

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    kvothe_snow
    Participant
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    Dec 11th, 2015
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    #202283

    If the Academy has balls, they’d give it to the best action film in the last 20 years – Mad Max. They keep on giving it to the same Oscar bait drama every year that it’s really high time to reward movies that were made to serve as movies.

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    AMG
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    Sep 20th, 2012
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    #202284

    I hope Mad Max drives all the way to nominations on this over-hype it appears to have, then the brakes are slammed on for top nods come nominations morning, and voters see that it is kind of crap with the actual story/character development (aka the basics of a film, no?)

    Anyway, my ten predictions right now:

    Spotlight
    Carol
    Room
    The Revenant
    The Hateful Eight
    Bridge of Spies
    Steve Jobs
    The Big Short
    Joy
    Brooklyn

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    Riley
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    Oct 11th, 2010
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    #202285

    I do not know what to make of Mad Max.  I have always thought that it would get PGA (expanded lineup, more populist), DGA (more populist because more voters), BAFTA (often make cool picks like Drive, awarded David Fincher over Brit Tom Hooper) and Critics’ Choice (expanded lineup and it is a critical favourite), then miss the Oscars, going the way of stuff like Gone Girl and Nightcrawler that got just about everything except the Oscars.  Mad Max does not look like an academy movie, like Nightcrawler did not, so I do not want to be tricked into thinking that it will get in because it does well at the precursors.  But Mad Max is also doing much better than Nightcrawler and Gone Girl.  I never thought that it would break through at the Globes and neither of those ones did.  Neither of them got DGA or BAFTA either, so maybe Mad Max is stronger in general.  But if Mad Max does get into the Oscars, why would it not win?  It is going to win a bunch anyway, lead the nominations, it is both a commercial and critical hit and Spotlight keeps struggling with acting nominations for some reason.

    The spotty run of Spotlight so far means that it is not going to have a surplus of support and get a score nomination.  Even 12 Years a Slave missed that and cinematography and sound, for which we do not even consider Spotlight a contender.  But how weak is Spotlight?  Can it miss editing?  And if it does, that means one of two things.  It could be a massive tip-off that it is not going to win, like when Brokeback Mountain missed.  Or it could be the end of the editors’ branch’s run of being predictive.  They missed Birdman last year and there is no reason for Spotlight to get in on merit.

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    GusCruz
    Participant
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    Feb 26th, 2012
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    #202286

    @thedemonhog

    It’s far too divisive to win Picture (Spotlight is a safe alternative that, however boring, doesn’t make them look bad). But Miller is exciting for Director and they can definitely take that chance. I think Miller is more likely at this point than Ridley Scott, and he’s closer to that nomination than Christopher Nolan ever was.

    The haters of the movie on this board seem to have a very narrow mind about what Cinema is. You are closer to the Academy than you would like to be. Spotlight is for you – and for them. Try the “masterpiece” The Cobbler! You might like it.

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