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Best Supporting Actor

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  • Brennan Merone
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    #1201935922

    Here are my thoughts:

    • LOCKS
      • Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
      • Lucas Hedges (Manchester By The Sea)
    • CONTENDERS
      • Liam Neeson (Silence)
      • Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)
      • Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
      • Hugh Grant (Florence Foster Jenkins)
    • LONG SHOTS
      • Steve Martin (BLLHW)
      • Jovan Adepo (Fences)
      • Timothy Spall (Denial)
      • Warren Beatty (Rules Don’t Apply)

    I have Ali, Hedges, Grant, Shannon, and Bridges in my rack right now. Your thoughts?

     

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    ziggy
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    Nov 29th, 2013
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    #1201935960

    I have a feeling Hedges is not established enough of a name to be a lock at this point, and Martin is definitely not even a long shot; he does not stand the slightest chance.

    Other than them, my list is identical to yours; I have Ali, Neeson, Grant, Bridges and Shannon in my current predictions.

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    jasonface
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    #1201935995

    Right now, I’m going with these top five with the next five as alternatives. With each, I’ve listed what I think could possibly be their downfall in getting a nomination.

    -Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
    (not a standout from film’s other supporting actors)
    -Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
    (Academy discriminates against younger men)
    -Liam Neeson, Silence
    (is his character big enough?)
    -Dev Patel, Lion
    (could be lead, will this film even make it?)
    -Peter Sarsgaard, Jackie
    (missed before, could get lost in a film like this)

    -Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
    (just as good as Pine and Foster were, not a standout)
    -Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
    (can’t see him getting in without Meryl)
    -Stephen Henderson, Fences
    (I think this is really going to be about Denzel)
    -Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
    (just not sure about this movie, missed for 99 Homes)
    -Timothy Spall , Denial
    (missed for better performances in better movies)

    Some of these could be dumb, really presumptive conditions, but it’s just what I’m thinking as of now.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1201936001

    I swear we had another thread on this category but I can’t seem to find it. Oh well.

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    M
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    #1201936006

    I feel secure predicting Ali and Neeson. Neeson is a vet in desperate need of gold watch recognition and a sophomore nomination. Ali stands a better chance than the rest of the male ensemble of Moonlight at recognition because his character is the moral heart of the picture.

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    13SV8
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    #1201936007

     

    Best Supporting Actor 

    1. Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
    2. Liam Neeson, Silence
    3. Peter Saarsgard, JACKIE
    4. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by The Sea
    5. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
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    Eddy Q
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    #1201936008

    ^ From what I’ve heard about Ali in Moonlight, I get Ben Johnson in The Last Picture Show vibes. Moral heart of the movie like M said, and disappears from the picture early on.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #1201936018

    Right now, I’m liking…

    1. Neeson
    2. Shannon
    3. Sarsgaard
    4. Hedges
    5. Bridges

    6. Ali
    7. Driver
    8. Henderson
    9. Williamson
    10. Grant

    No one, of course, is an actual lock at this point.

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: HORROR at the Oscars! Chapter III (1980-1998)

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    jacob121
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    #1201936021

    We already have a thread for this topic:

    http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/best-supporting-actor-2017/

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    WaltEagle
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    #1201936023

    -Liam Neeson, Silence
    (is his character big enough?)

    It’s 159 minutes. Even if he’s not in a chunk of it, every major character will be big enough.

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    Bradley Weir
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    #1201936026

    Ali is far from a lock. I was a underwhelmed by his performance and it’s a small role. I definitely wouldn’t rank him above a respected veteran like Bridges.

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    SinopeAtlas
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    #1201936055

    Not entirely sure about the order, I’m just expecting Silence to be shown and reactivate the category with Driver and Neeson as posible contenders, even with the rumours of Neeson having a very small character, but as of now:
    1. Michael Shannon, he is a scene stealer, and I can see him getting the nom like Colin Firth did for A Single Man, sure there’s no Volpi Cup but I can see advocacy with critics just like last year and 99 Homes.

    2. Mahershala Ali, The movie will be huge with critics late in the season, that can reinforce his nomination as the default choice to recognize from such a huge ensamble, but all I hear is that he is not better or best than any other member of the cast. So I’m abit iffy

    3. Hugh Grant, the fact that is a lead role increase his chances, and I can see it happening, roles like that have been nominated in the past but at the same time I don’t kno if it would make sense to nominate him without Meryl, who is definitely out of the top 10 right now

    4. Jeff Bridgres, Only him instead of Foster just because he is a big name and the film has critic support, so can easily survive the award season.

    5. Lucas Hedges, I don’t think he’s in, voters love child FEMALE performances, and in the big picture, 3 acting noms for Manchester ? I don’t see it. Neeson or even an actor from Fences can get in more easily, just waiting for reactions of those films.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1201936087

    Hugh Grant, the fact that is a lead role increase his chances, and I can see it happening, roles like that have been nominated in the past but at the same time I don’t kno if it would make sense to nominate him without Meryl, who is definitely out of the top 10 right now

    Lol, no way is Meryl out of the top 10 for Best Actress. We can debate about top 5, but even with this year’s heavy competition there are not 10 actresses who have a better shot than her.

    Btw I think we should close this thread down. Someone else managed to find the old Supporting Actor thread (it said 2017 which was what confused me), but I’m only commenting here to challenge the quote above.

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    13SV8
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    #1201936090

    Hugh Grant is not happening if Meryl Streep doesn’t get nominated.

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    reservoirdogma
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    #1201936091

    I wouldn’t dismiss Ali’s role in Luke Cage when talking about his chances: whether or not you’re a fan of Marvel, their properties always generate a lot of internet chatter, and I’d be willing to put Ali as one of the best performances in the entire MCU so far. He really is the breakout of the show, and it’s giving him a giant visibility bump that Hedges, his closest competitor, can’t match.

    (I’m surprised that Bridges is getting so much buzz for Highwater: I love that the film is getting awards attention at all, but in my opinion Chris Pine was the standout, and championing Bridges over him seems like such a legacy nomination move. Sure, Pine’s a lead, but it’s not like that category is stacked this year either.)

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