February 15, 2016 at 5:49 pm #216902
Who’s the one sure fire winner with zero chance of losing next Sunday night. For me it’s the screenplay categories for Big Short and Spotlight, Lubezki for cinematography, and Leo and LarsonFebruary 15, 2016 at 6:02 pm #216904
Biggest lock by far: Leo, no contest.
In more marginalized categories, I feel pretty confident with Inside Out, Son of Saul and Amy having this in the bag.February 15, 2016 at 6:14 pm #216905
CarolFebruary 15, 2016 at 6:26 pm #216906
Son of Saul
The screenplays are almost locked, not 100% locked. If voters really didn’t care about Spotlight or TBS (which is possible) I don’t see them rushing to reward them with screenplay-consolation prizes. Maybe Inside Out & Room can surprise in their respective categories.February 15, 2016 at 6:33 pm #216907
Inside Out will probably receive the most votes of any contender in any category.February 15, 2016 at 6:56 pm #216908
Leo for sure.
The screenplay categories aren’t locks, although The Big Short is a really strong favorite that will probably win, unless Room can pull an upset which looks doubtful because Brie is such a strong lock in Best Actress and they won’t feel the need to reward the film anywhere else. Spotlight is vulnerable due to the race controversy so Straight Outta Compton is a possible winner. I’m gonna wait till the very end to decide on that race.February 15, 2016 at 7:08 pm #216909
When did PGA winner TBS has been downgraded to screenplay-consolation prize? It’s facing an uphill battle with TR for sure, but it won’t lose its best bet to something like Room. And can someone explain the praise for its screenplay to me ? Directing, okay. But for a movie about silence the panegyric for its screenplay is weird.February 15, 2016 at 7:52 pm #216910
Sure fire lock:
Son of Saul
Vikander (dont buying this Winslet thing)
Star Wars for effects (2 mld+BAFTA+VES, game over)February 15, 2016 at 8:39 pm #216911
When did PGA winner TBS have been downgraded to screenplay-consolation prize? It’s facing an uphill battle with TR for sure, but it won’t lose its best bet to something like Room. And can someone explain the praise for its screenplay for that one to me ? Directing, okay. But for a movie about silence the panegyric for its screenplay is weird.
Well, the Academy clearly liked Room and upsets in Adapted Screenplay can happen if there’s a film that has a lot of passion behind it. That said, I get your point- Big Short is a near lock for the award. I just am not calling it a lock.February 15, 2016 at 9:56 pm #216912
Son of Saul
February 16, 2016 at 12:52 am #216913
in which category ???February 16, 2016 at 3:33 am #216914
The Big Short for Adapted Screenplay
Spotlight for Original Screenplay
Son of Saul
The Revenant for Cinematography
Lady Gaga for Original Song
The Hateful Eight for Original Score
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Directing (He won BAFTA, DGA, Globe. Only didn’t win the irrelevant BFCA)February 16, 2016 at 6:46 am #216915
Im not sure that Lubezki is a lock because he won twice in a row and Seale is great too.
But Inarritu is. He won everything and there isnt clear #2 in this category. really.
And BFCA didnt gave AGI because as we know, critics didnt love RevenantFebruary 16, 2016 at 8:30 am #216916
Leo (barring being found in bed with Dame Maggie Smith)
followed closely by Brie Larson and Sly Stallone
Then Inside Out and Son of Saul and Amy
Then BD AGI
Then BC Lubezski
Best Picture is still up in the air as far as I’m concerned
After that, it’s anyone’s guess although I might step a bit out on a limb and call most of the techs for Mad Max with Editing being a Wild Card (Big Short or MM)