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Call Me Crazy, But I Don't Think Mahershala Ali Will Win.

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  • Tyler [Last Name]
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    #1202001215

    I mean I think he has a very real chance of winning and is really the only strong link in the somewhat overrated Moonlight, but it doesn’t really feel like an Oscar winning performance. It just feels like a really weak winner, the weakest one in years IMO. Any of the other men would make better choices personally, but that is me.

    What do you think?

    FYC: Ready Player One. Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects, Original Score, Production Design, Director and BEST PICTURE (make it happen Oscars!!)

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    Moviebuff22
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    #1202001221

    If he loses BAFTA he might lose

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    Shatish Raj
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    #1202001222

    I am rooting for michael shannon. But the frontrunners in this years BSA are a week bunch, michael shannon is a step better than hedges i feel. Ali is overrated. The movie is overrated, his performance is overrated, he should not be sweeping it all… iMHO

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    Tyler [Last Name]
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    #1202001224

    I not sure if I would go that far, but Michael Shannon is an underrated actor that I feel should have his due.

    FYC: Ready Player One. Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects, Original Score, Production Design, Director and BEST PICTURE (make it happen Oscars!!)

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    Moviebuff22
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    #1202001225

    Shannon has a lot of industry support, and he’s had stellar work the past few years that could make them feel like he’s overdue. If Ali hadn’t given that super political speech, I really think it’d be a crapshoot. But I know how easily swayed oscar voters are

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    Macca
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    #1202001229

    You’re crazy

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    pacinofan
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    #1202001232

    If “Nocturnal Animals” received a bunch of noms from the Academy as it received from BAFTA and the GGs than I would believe Michael Shannon has a chance. As a solo nomination he seems out of the picture.Dev Patel is probably the only real competition but just barely. The vast majority of the critics awards, the SAG Award and a powerful speech leads me to find Mahershala Ali a near sure thing at this point. Being in two best picture nominees also helps.

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1202001242

    You’re crazy

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    Lucas A
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    #1202001244

    If you’re concern is that he feels like a weak winner, I’ll serve as proof that there are alternate opinions.  I thought he was great, and his closing scene was one of the most powerful this year (better, I thought than Michelle Williams closer in Manchester).  His performance doesn’t strike me as weaker than any recent winners, and is probably one of the best since Waltz in ’09.

    Not that I’m the barometer for all opinions, but I’m sure he’s been coasting on similar views this awards season.

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    Mauricio
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    #1202001248

    I don’t know, Stallone was a shoo in last season and he lost to Rylance, the theatre veteran who turns in great performances in everything he does. I feel like Hedges has a good shot if Casey wins or Bridges too since he is a very respected actor and his role in Hell or High Water was awesome

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1202001269

    I have simply given up and am predicting Ali will win, a completely undeserved Oscar ): I believe it has to do with the character he plays rather than his actual acting performance. As I’ve said over and over again Ashton Sanders and Andre Holland both give much much better supporting male performances in Moonlight.

    I would love for Lucas Hedges to win – or Dev Patel – if I were an academy member I would vote for Lucas Hedges, and I would single out the scene when he has an anxiety attack in the kitchen by the refrigerator.

    I didn’t care for Jeff Bridges or Michael Shannon; both were out-acted by their co-stars Ben Foster and Aaron Taylor-Johnson respectively.

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    Teridax
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    #1202001282

    I mean I think he has a very real chance of winning and is really the only strong link in the somewhat overrated Moonlight, but it doesn’t really feel like an Oscar winning performance. It just feels like a really weak winner, the weakest one in years IMO. Any of the other men would make better choices personally, but that is me.

    What do you think?

    I completely agree, I actually think Moonlight in general is among the most overrated in recent years, period.

    I also consider it a genuine travesty that Mahershala Ali was nominated at the expense of Ben Foster in “Hell or High Water,” Hugh Grant in “Florence Foster Jenkins,” and John Goodman in “10 Cloverfield Lane.”

    I think if Dev Patel wins Batfa then he could win the Oscar, since it will not only create an obvious alternative to Ali, but will provide a place to award Lion, a movie the Oscars clearly really loved, with even Nicole Kidman and the Screenplay getting nominated.

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    forwardswill
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    #1202001283

    Ali will only potentially lose if Patel wins BAFTA. Sadly I don’t anticipate this happening as I think BAFTA anyway are more likely to go for Hugh Grant if they choose someone other than Ali in this category.

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    RRaw
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    #1202001285

    After that SAG speech I think he is winning

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    M
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    #1202001286

    Ali can lose BAFTA and still win Oscar. Hello Lupita.

    I find it odd everyone is so invested in supporting actor. It rarely is an Oscar worthy category. And more often than not a place for gold watch recognition of veteran actors. Hence in the absence of Ali in the category Jeff Bridges would Gene Hackman Hell or High Water into his Unforgiven second Oscar.

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