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Can a March release get to the Oscars?

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  • Emil Petrov
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    #1201921020

    My question is, in the past 20 years was there a movie to get major nominations at the Oscar being released in March?

    I am asking because each year I have a particular feeling for a film, that I just know it will get a lot of nominations at the Oscars, and I am almost always right. In 2014, even before it was released I was sure Grand Budapest will be big with the Oscar even tough a lot of people were saying ”it’s a May release, no way it get’s there.”

    I have that same feeling for Beauty and the Beast which will be released in March. I just feel the movie will get a lot of nominations (at least 6), but have there ever been a movie released in Match (or January-February) to get a lot of nominations?

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    Andrew Carden
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    #1201921023

    The Silence of the Lambs was a February (!) release.

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: Best Original Song (2009) – Where the Wild Things Weren’t

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    M
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    #1201921096

    Fargo is a February release.

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    Emil Petrov
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    #1201921139

    Anything in this century?

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    OnTheAisle
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    #1201921140

    Erin Brockovich and Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, I believe, were both March releases.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201921214

    It’s really hard. Mad Max was nearly a miracle.

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    Alex Meyer
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    #1201921316

    The Grand Budapest Hotel first opened in March 2014.

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    Volcarocka
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    #1201921350

    The problem isn’t so much that movies released early can’t stay in voters’ minds (Silence of the Lambs and Grand Budapest Hotel prove that), but studios with small awards-worthy films wait to release them around the end of the year so they’re either still in theaters or just coming out on DVD when nominations/winners are announced. They want the publicity from the awards. So good, Oscar-worthy movies can be released early and succeed, but most studios will wait and release them in the hopes of higher box office and DVD sales.

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    clay bryce
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    #1201922071

    In answer to the thread’s question, yes.

    March releases over the years that won Oscars:

    Cabaret
    Coal Miner’s Daughter
    Hannah & Her Sisters
    Norma Rae (it may have been April)

    The Godfather was released in February

    Radio Days was released in January 1987, it got two nods.

    Same for Last Tango in Paris back in 1973.

    Yes, these movies are “old.” But what happened years ago, is rare to happen today. Especially this year. But outside of possibly sets & costumes, Beauty and the Beast, probably will not be much of an Oscar contender. Much like Cinderella was last year.

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    Emil Petrov
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    #1201922134

    Well, Beauty and the Beast is on another lever compared to Cinderella. Knowing the original, the movie will have spectacular look, and sound. This if the movie gets good review will easily get it 4-6 nominations.

    But that stat is bad. Some of those movies are 20-30+ years old. In modern times, it is hard. I guess we will wait to see the movie and go from there.

    The best thing is to focus on the current oscars.

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #1201922152

    I think that the LEGO movie demonstrates how certain films can really be hurt by early releases. While I’m sure it’s possible, having such a critically and commercially successful film be ignored while films that were basically never released theatrically got in shows that memories are short in certain branches. Zootopia will likely overcome this hurdle, but I won’t be surprised if it is left out on nomination morning. Next year is too early to speculate, but Beauty and the Beast will almost certainly be nominated in tons of tech categories.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201922570

    I think that the LEGO movie demonstrates how certain films can really be hurt by early releases.

    That’s not the reason why that branch didn’t embrace it. In fact, it dominated with critics and precursors overall, which had put it in front of the conversation. The bias was of a different nature.

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