Even before I saw Room yesterday, I’ve said how it looks to be this year’s “little engine”, or true indie that slowly captures the industry’s eye and competes against the bigger studio pictures, like Beasts of the Southern Wild and Whiplash. But can its director go the way of Benh Zeitlin and get in the Final Five or Damien Chazelle who got snubbed? In my opinion, Lenny Abrahamson sneaking in would create a fun narrative: The little-known Irish director nabbing a spot from a titans or titans like Spielberg, DOR, and/or Tarantino. Just like how Benh Zeitlin, the new kid on the block, got in over the likes of shockingly snubbed Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow, and Quentin Tarantino.
What do you guys think? Let’s discuss.
I don’t think it has the visual flair that got Zeitlin in, I think he’s among the top 10 of contenders for sure but I can sort of see someone like John Crowley getting in before him. I’m just not sure Room would quite inspire the passion among other directors that it might in the broader Academy (and we don’t even know that it’ll do that).
I think Tom McCarthy’s a dead cert, and then you have a top ten for the rest that I would list as:
David O. Russell
Right now I peronally have Haynes, Iñárritu, McCarthy and Scott, and for the last slot I’m sort of going back and forth between Crowley, Nemes and Spielberg.
The dcirector’s branch does the nominating. Based on their peculiar likes, I am predicting Abrahamson to get a nomination (well-deserved). However, I think his problem is actually John Crowley AND Todd Haynes, who both have the same “indie” slot potential. I also think Ryan Coogler is in contention for Creed.
Unfortunately, Inarritu is def. getting a nomination ): (I know: Gold Derbyites’ favorite, blah blah blah)
Ridley Scott seems failry locked imo.
Russell is going to depend completely on the reviews; I personally disliked the trailer. I am adopting a “wait and see” the movie attitude towards Joy. I think people are reding way too much in to the box office of Steve Jobs, and that Danny Boyle could still get nominated for it.
And Tom Hooper certainly deserves a nomination (I know The Danish Girl isn’t popular here on Gold Derby, but it’s brilliant, phenomenal, amazing, great – and it will be well liked by the academy imo).
I am predicting:
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
John Crowley, Brooklyn
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Ridley Scott, The Martian
My own personal top five of the films I have seen so far in 2015:
Lenny Abrahmson, Room
Tom Hooper, The Danish Girl
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Bill Pohlad, Love & Mercy
Jay Roach, Trumbo