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Could The Martian Pull an Argo?

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  • Nick Spake
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    #213118

    Everybody seems to have written “The Martian” off as a potential Best Picture winner, but I have a theory that it could be this year’s “Argo.” Check out my analysis by clicking the link below and feel free to tell me that I’m wrong in the comments.

    http://www.flickreel.com/nick-picks-could-the-martian-pull-an-argo-at-the-oscars/

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    thatfilmgirl
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    #213121

    Argo won pretty much every single precursor in the book (Golden Globe, SAG, PGA, DGA, BAFTA). With only a Globe Comedy win thus far (and it not winning PGA, and no SAG nom) it’s not happening. 

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    KyleBailey
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    #213120

    No because Argo won Critic’s Choice, Golden Globes, and SAG where it isn’t even nominated. That ship sailed months ago 

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    PJ Edwards
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    #213122

    Yeah no. That’s not happening.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #213123

    Indeed, it’ll have to settle for 5th place. To be honest, I don’t see how “The Martian” wins a single award come Oscar night.

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    Chevi
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    #213124

    It can only win DGA and is not a frontrunner in any category, so it will not happen.

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #213125

    It would be weird if Best Picture was the only thing it won on Oscar night, and considering I have it in 5th in most of the categories it’s nominated in, so that’s what I imagine would be the case.

    I do like your analysis though, it just seems like there are too many dominoes that would need to fall that I don’t see right now.

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    Baby Clyde
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    #213126

    This was my initial thought the minute Scott was snubbed but it’s not gonna happen.

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    CanadianFan
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    #213127

    ‘The Martian’ is fifth or sixth in the BP race.

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    AMG
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    #213128

    I understand the logic given the presumed Director frontrunner being snubbed, and the possibility to give said director an Oscar for Producer of the Picture winner.

    The Martian has won the Globe, but it can’t get the SAG or BAFTA like Argo did. Plus the Director race in Argo’s year was an absolute shambles. This year, aside from the Scott snub, that race is pretty much as expected, and even Abrahamson’s shock inclusion has been welcomed warmly by so many.

    I would much rather see The Martian win Picture over most of the presumed front runners (The Big Short/Mad Max/Spotlight – I would like a Revenant win of the main 4 runners), but can’t see it happening. Argo had the Editing and Screenplay wins, but The Martian is MIA from Editing and The Big Short is likely to win Adapted Screenplay, with The Martian about 3rd at absolute best.

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    Michael Norris
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    #213129

    The idea of the eight major categories going to eight different movies seems awesome. 

    Picture: The Martian
    Director: Mad Max: Fury Road
    Actor: The Revenant
    Actress: Room
    Supporting Actor: Creed
    Supporting Actress: Carol or The Danish Girl
    Adapted Sceenplay: The Big Short
    Original Screenplay: Spotlight

    Picture is the only one that seems like a stretch, but I would support it for the hilarity of it.

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    ADouble
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    #213130

    The Martian isn’t going to win anything.

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    Asgaroth
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    #213131

    Argo could overcome it’s best director omission. Birdman could overcome it’s best editing omission. But I really don’t think it’s possible for any movie to overcome BOTH omissions. It’s not happening.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #213133

    Argo could overcome it’s best director omission. Birdman could overcome it’s best editing omission. But I really don’t think it’s possible for any movie to overcome BOTH omissions. It’s not happening.

    Indeed. Even “Driving Miss Daisy,” which won without a Best Director nom, had the Film Editing nod.

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    babypook
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    #213134

    The only films I can think of which are chronically overlooked for both Film Editing and Direction, but go on to win within their category, are the many wonderful Animated Films going on to win Best Animated Film.

    Wall-E, Beauty and The Beast, Toy Story, and on and on.

    They may have been more open-minded way back at the turn of the last Century, but I’d have to check that.

    The Martian, could be ‘done’. Plus, I can understand why so many viewers found the film tedious. Cute and Musical it isnt…but it’s a comedy, right?

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