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Could this be the youngest Best Actress lineup ever?

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  • Daniel Montgomery
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    #75379

    Maybe this has been discussed before, but I wanted to know if anyone has done the math on this. In the prediction center, the top 5 women are, in age order:

    Quvenzhane Wallis (9)
    Jennifer Lawrence (22)
    Keira Knightley (27)
    Jessica Chastain (35)
    Marion Cotillard (37)

    The median is 27, and the mean is 26. Would that be the youngest Best Actress category in Oscar history? Perhaps the youngest acting category period?

    Of course, the average would take a significant jump if Helen Mirren (“Hitchcock”) or Emmanuelle Riva (“Amour”) get in.

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    GhostOrchid
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    #75381

    I’m pretty sure there will be at least one respected veteran in the line up. It will either be Mirren or Riva or even both.
    We’ll see.  

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    Matty G
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    #75382

    I’m on a train, so my “research” may not be perfect, but the youngest Best Actress lineup I was able to find was 1953’s, with Leslie Caron (22), Audrey Hepburn (24), Maggie McNamara (25), Ava Gardner (31), and Deborah Kerr (32). That’s a median of 25, and a mean of 26.8.

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    Junk
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    #75383

    Kind of unrelated, but Mirren’s chances reminds me of this, when are the occassions when the lead actor/actress playing the title character of a movie did NOT get nominated while the supporting performance(s) did. Something like say in “The Iron Lady”, Meryl doesn’t get in but Jim Broadbent does. Or in “Milk” sans Sean Penn but with Brolin.

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    johnnygc
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    #75384

    Mirren is receiving good reviews for her performance in Hitchcock, being cited by some as the film’s highlight.
    She’s respected, so expect her to be nominated. I’m not sure about Riva, though.
    Also, don’t expect Keira Knightley to be nominated… She’s been denied of a nomination for better performances. 
    We haven’t seen Chastain, both she and Zero Dark Thirty can flop. I hope not though.
    And Wallis is not a safe bet because of her age – I believe she can easily be bumped out of the category.

    The only safe bets are Cotillard and Lawrence, and perhaps Mirren. 

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    Max 2.0
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    #75385

    Mirren is going supporting.

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    Cordell Martin
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    #75386

    Colltiard, Wallis, and Lawrence have the best chance of earning nominations. Mirren, Chastain and Riva are fighting for the last two spots. 

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    blueprint
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    #75387

    Uhm how do you know that Chastain is 35? I thought the information about her age is unverified, since she never told the public.

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    Junk
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    #75388

    Mirren is going supporting.

    Is this true? When did this happen? 

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    GhostOrchid
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    #75389

    Kind of unrelated, but Mirren’s chances reminds me of this, when are the occassions when the lead actor/actress playing the title character of a movie did NOT get nominated while the supporting performance(s) did. Something like say in “The Iron Lady”, Meryl doesn’t get in but Jim Broadbent does. Or in “Milk” sans Sean Penn but with Brolin.

    Laura Linney got nominated for “Kinsey” and Mirren got nominated for “The Last Station”.
    It happens rarely, but it’s possible.
    Gwenyth Paltrow and Judi Dench got in (and won) for “Shakespear in Love” while “Shakespear” was left out.
    So yeah. Mirren still has a chance…. And the studio campaigns her in LEAD, as far as I know.

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    #75390

    Uhm how do you know that Chastain is 35? I thought the information about her age is unverified, since she never told the public.

    I was just going by the DOB listed on IMDb, which says March 24, 1977:

    http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1567113/ 

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    babypook
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    #75391

    I’m on a train, so my “research” may not be perfect, but the youngest Best Actress lineup I was able to find was 1953’s, with Leslie Caron (22), Audrey Hepburn (24), Maggie McNamara (25), Ava Gardner (31), and Deborah Kerr (32). That’s a median of 25, and a mean of 26.8.

    Great train work Matty.

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    Jake
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    #75392

    Kind of unrelated, but Mirren’s chances reminds me of this, when are the occassions when the lead actor/actress playing the title character of a movie did NOT get nominated while the supporting performance(s) did. Something like say in “The Iron Lady”, Meryl doesn’t get in but Jim Broadbent does. Or in “Milk” sans Sean Penn but with Brolin.

    Mark Wahlberg was snubbed for “The Fighter” but 3 supporting performers were nominated and 2 won. 

    Penelope Cruz won for “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” while neither Vicky (Hall), Cristina (Johansson) or Barcelona (Barcelona)  were nominated.

    Ruby Dee was nominated while her on-screen son, Denzel – “American Gangster” – Washington wasn’t. 

    Philip Seymour Hoffman was nominated for “Charlie Wilson’s War”, unlike Tom Hanks (Charlie Wilson).

    Great idea for a thread, BTW!

    Back on topic: It’s quite possible it will happen but I’m also on board with anyone who thinks Mirren or Riva will be on, or even both. As female field is MUCH weaker than male (I don’t think I have ever seen this disproportion to be that large) Mirren has better shot than Hopkins. Plus that’s why Lawrence was upstaged from borderline case to Best Actress frontrunner while Cooper, who got basically as good reviews as her, is at best fighting for 5th spot.

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    Laactingnyc
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    #75393

    no. Riva, Maggie smith, or mirren will get in or even all of them

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    Jake
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    #75394

    I’m on a train, so my “research” may not be perfect, but the youngest Best Actress lineup I was able to find was 1953’s, with Leslie Caron (22), Audrey Hepburn (24), Maggie McNamara (25), Ava Gardner (31), and Deborah Kerr (32). That’s a median of 25, and a mean of 26.8.

    Great find although the line-up is far from stellar, TBH. Perfect opportunity to honor Audrey Hepburn. 

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