DGA Awards – Predictions/Analysis

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  • Beau S.
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    Feb 10th, 2013
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    #126596

    Voting for the DGA Awards begins in a few days, nominees will be announced this Tuesday.

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    Laactingnyc
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    May 29th, 2011
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    #126598

    Alfonso Cuaron is winning this hands down.

    I also hope that Martin Scorsese, Spike Jonze, and Woody Allen get recognition

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    K-Hole
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    #126599

    Alfonso Cuaron is winning this hands down.

    ^This.

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    Anonymous
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    #126600

    Cuaron
    McQueen
    Russell
    Greengrass
    Scorsese/Jonze

     

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    TV12
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    #126601

    Outstanding Directing – Feature Film
    Alfonso Cuaron*
    -GRAVITY (Warner Bros.)

    Paul Greengrass
    -CAPTAIN PHILLIPS (Columbia) 

    Steve McQueen*
    -12 YEARS A SLAVE (Fox Searchlight)

    David O. Russell*
    -AMERICAN HUSTLE (Columbia) 
     
    Martin Scorsese
    -THE WOLF OF WALL STREET (Paramount)

    *my predictions to be Oscar-nominated as well (two spots taken by the Coens and Spike Jonze)

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    outsider
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    #126602

    These guys are safe:
    Alfonso Cuaron, “Gravity”
    Steve McQueen, “12 Years a Slave”
    David O. Russell, “American Hustle”

    I think Paul Greengrass is ahead of the rest for “Captain Phillips”. The rest would be:
    Martin Scorsese, “The Wolf of Wall Street”
    Alexander Payne, “Nebraska”
    Spike Jonze, “Her”
    Joel Coen / Ethan Coen, “Inside Llewyn Davis”

    Maybe Woody Allen can surprise with “Blue Jasmine”.

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    Gabriel
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    #126603

    Hopefully Spike Jonze makes it in. He’s much more deserving than, say, Paul Greengrass, imo.

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    Renaton
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    #126604

    Cuaron and McQueen feel like the only mortal complete locks for noms here. Then comes Russell, although he was snubbed last year for SLP. Greengrass seems like a strong possibility. And then either Jonze or the Coens might complete the line-up (although that PGA snub might mean not enough broad industry support for DGA – although it doesn’t change the loyal support the Coens have with the academy). I’m not sure Scorsese and Payne can make the cut this year. It might be too late for Scorsese, and this is a guild where having a big name behind does not guarantee a nom (recent snubs of Spielberg and Tarantino, remember?). I think what hurts Payne is that his film has been talked about more as an acting showcase than a directorial one (same thing goes for Allen and Blue Jasmine, although Allen is someone we can never underestimate). It’s also had a rather quiet season so far outside of Dern and it hasn’t found the success of Payne’s previous films (given it’s a black and white road film with no big stars).

    My predictions:

    1. Cuaron
    2. McQueen
    3. Russell
    4. Greengrass
    5. Jonze  

    There are many reasons why I’m going with Jonze even though his film is out so late. For one, I do think the critical wins gave it a boost, but also, Jonze has a history with the DGA, having not only been nominated for Being John Malkovich (another quirky little seen indie film), but having won for his work on commercials before. A lot of DGA voters work with TV and commercials, and it’s a group younger than the academy directing branch, so that is a huge plus. And it wouldn’t be the first time they snubbed bigger names in favor of one of the “hip” directors (like when Fincher got that DGA nom for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo). I actually think he is less of a possibility here than at the Oscars (where I think he is very likely with arthouse support and after the NBR/LAFCA wins, whereas DGA skews more towards big films). But ultimately, I think he’ll make the cut.

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    Laactingnyc
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    #126605

    I know that Woody Allen is a longshot but what do you guys think about him possibly making it in? 

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    Stardust
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    #126606

    ^ same:

    Cuaron
    McQueen
    Russell
    Greengrass
    Jonze  

    I would not be surprised if Scorsese made it however, but I would be if Allen did (pleasantly).

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    *Team*oscar
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    #126607

    Hopefully Spike Jonze makes it in. He’s much more deserving than, say, Paul Greengrass, imo.

    Cuaron Mcqueen and Russell Greengrass i say scorese and coens battle it out for last spot.

    mcqueen or jonze id say wins steve he done three films but is top his game all three are great critically aclaimed and oscar snubs in past. If ben affleck can get huge support then he can win.

    woody getting in id say him coens or soresce not all but all battle for it woodys got film next year could get lots of support.

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    AviChristiaans
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    #126608

    After last year’s fiasco between the Directors Guild and Academy Awards nominations for Best Director, it seems this year it will be the DGA who will go into this race blindly, just like the Academy awards did last year when its polls closed January 3rd.

    This year, the Directors Guild nomination poll closes Monday 6th January, whereas the Academy Awards nomination poll closes January 8th, one day after the Directors Guild nominations are revealed.

    So this year there is at least one full day for the Directors Guild nominations to have an effect /influence on AMPAS members who havent cast their Oscar nomination ballots yet before the polls close.

    Either way, i will stick to the consensus picks for my DGA Predictions:

    Directors Guild of America Award for Outstanding Directing – Feature Film

    Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
    Steve McQueen (12 Years A Slave)
    David O. Russell (American Hustle)
    Martin Scorsese (The Wolf Of Wall Street)
    Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)

    If there is gonna be a repeat of last year’s fiasco, it might look something like:

    Alfonso Cuaron (GRAVITY)
    Steve McQueen (12 YEARS A SLAVE)
    Joel Coen / Ethan Coen (Inside Llewyn Davis)
    Alexander Payne (NEBRASKA)
    Spike Jonze (Her)

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    Riley
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    #126609
    • American Hustle: David O. Russell 
    • Captain Phillips: Paul Greengrass
    • Gravity: Alfonso Cuarón
    • Her: Spike Jonze
    • 12 Years a Slave: Steve McQueen

     

    Scorsese will replace McQueen for the Oscars.

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    TV12
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    #126610

    Scorsese will replace McQueen for the Oscars.

    That’s bold… I like it!

    The only thing that worries me about this happening is that race would dominate the conversation. And that it might drive the film to a BP win, which would be far worse than if McQueen took home the gold b/c I actually liked his two previous films.

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    Renaton
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    #126611

    Steve McQueen ain’t getting snubbed for BD. Come on now. Affleck-like snubs aren’t usually expected. 

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