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DGA Predictions

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  • Anonymous
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    #75527

    1. Ben Affleck
    2. Tom Hooper
    3. Paul Thomas Anderson
    4. Ang Lee
    5. Steven Spielberg

    I think these 5 have the best chance. David O Russell is alternate. Bigelow is a dark horse. PTA has been acclaimed so far by Mann at Venice, so I think the guild will vote him in. Affleck is probably is the frontrunner so far. Spielberg has a love/hate relationship with them. Won for Color Purple not even nominated for Oscar. I think Ang Lee will miss out an Oscar, but surely get a DGA for his beautiful work with 3D. Haneke could be a threat, but it’s a very long shot.
           

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    Riley
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    #75529

    Maybe not the most ideal place for this, but why are people considering Amour such an awards threat when A Separation was not that much of a heavyweight last year?

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    babypook
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    #75530

    Havent you heard? Michael Haneke is the cat’s meow, a ‘genius’ (with a problem between his ears) and von Trier clone. He does know how to make a good-looking film. And it’s a deep subject, which helps us all feel intellectual. Lol.

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    allabout oscars
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    #75531

    SPIELBERG
    AFFLECK
    LEE
    HOOPER
    ANDERSON

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    Anonymous
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    #75532

    Maybe not the most ideal place for this, but why are people considering Amour such an awards threat when A Separation was not that much of a heavyweight last year?

    Thank you for bringing this up. It, too, got me thinking why Amour is so acclaimed. Currently, I have Riva, the script, and foreign film all nominated. I also have Amour as the 10th film. Seperation was among the best films last year and the best reviewed. Was it because it was from Iraq? Is it because Haneke is so respected among others? Is Amour a better film?
       

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    Renaton
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    #75533

    Calling Haneke a Von Trier clone is to not be familiar with either of their trajectories and filmographies.

    The reason why people are expecting “Amour” to do well is because Haneke is a respected auteur and one of the most acclaimed directors in the world, the theme is something that would be quite resonant with Academy voters (even more than “A separation”), the screeners were sent early, critics raved about the film (which means it could win big at the critics groups), and it has won the Golden Palm. Of course this isn’t written in stone (none of what we speculate is), but it’s very much a contender to watch out for.

    But I don’t think he’ll be nommed in the DGA. They don’t embrace foreign language film directors much, and it’s not the kind of film the DGA would support over bigger, more cinematic american contenders.

    I think these would be the DGA nominees:

    1. Spielberg
    2. Affleck
    3. Anderson
    4. Bigelow
    5. Hooper or Tarantino (depends on reception of their films)

    I wouldn’t count out Tarantino, as they seem to like a genre film director here (think Nolan’s three nominations or Fincher for “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo”). Hooper is low because he won very recently and the film might not have the support many are expecting, but I agree he’s likely if the film becomes a big player. I’m still a bit reluctant to predict Lee, as I think the reception has been very strong, but I feel this kind of material would need truly spectacular reviews and unanimous support to get in, but I think the next few weeks will tell us how much of a contender it really is, as I admit that I might be underestimating its chances a bit.

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    Anonymous
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    #75534

    Chris Nolan is a threat. Nominated for Inception, Dark Knight, and Memento. They obviously love him and usually pick some genre choices like Fincher. Plus the DVD will be out soon, and it is the last Dark Knight film of his trilogy.

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    Renaton
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    #75535

    I think TDKR, as successful as it was, doesn’t really have the acclaim his other three films had. In fact, it’s considered somewat of a disappointment. They seem to nominate him only when his films seemed to define the year in genre films in some way. I don’t feel it’s the case this year, especially with all the competition he has. Even among super-hero films, it wasn’t the most beloved choice of the year (that would be “The Avengers”). I do think he’ll win DGA someday, but I think other directors stand a better chance at a spot between the nominees this time.

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    babypook
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    #75536

    [quote=”thedemonhog”]Maybe not the most ideal place for this, but why are people considering Amour such an awards threat when A Separation was not that much of a heavyweight last year?

    Thank you for bringing this up. It, too, got me thinking why Amour is so acclaimed. Currently, I have Riva, the script, and foreign film all nominated. I also have Amour as the 10th film. Seperation was among the best films last year and the best reviewed. Was it because it was from Iraq? Is it because Haneke is so respected among others? Is Amour a better film?
       [/quote]

    “Seperation was among the best films last year and the best reviewed”

    I’m glad you liked it, but I however, didnt. It’s been a while since I’ve seen such a collection of boobs and unlikable characters in one film all together at the same time. It didnt appear that any other film was going to stop it, and that, wasnt something that made me happy. I dont think it had much to do with it’s country of origin.

    I havent seen Amour, and I dont want to. Judging from his past films, I’m fairly sure it’s competently crafted. I’d like to see it for the actors, but I’d rather do it with plugs in my ears.

    Jmho

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    Madson Melo
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    #75537

    1. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
    2. Ben Affleck, Argo
    3. Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
    4. Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
    5. Ang Lee, Life of Pi

    I bet in Lee is because he’s a two time DGA winner doing a movie that was called ”unfilmable” that received great reviews. This will certainly count for him.

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    Anonymous
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    #75538

    Sam Mendes or Joss Whedon could be longshots that I certainly wouldn’t bet against. I’m still split on Bigelow. Word is the film isn’t as spectacular as we all may have hoped. Look how long it took women to break through. Will she be thrown into the mix so quickly again?

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    Riley
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    #75539

    I think TDKR, as successful as it was, doesn’t really have the acclaim his other three films had. In fact, it’s considered somewat of a disappointment. They seem to nominate him only when his films seemed to define the year in genre films in some way. I don’t feel it’s the case this year, especially with all the competition he has. Even among super-hero films, it wasn’t the most beloved choice of the year (that would be “The Avengers”). I do think he’ll win DGA someday, but I think other directors stand a better chance at a spot between the nominees this time.

    It was that damn shooting that ruined everything.  I mean, the reviews were not quite as good as those of The Dark Knight, but they were really not that far behind and they were well ahead of The Avengers.  Metacritic:
    82 The Dark Knight
    78 The Dark Knight Rises
    74 Inception
    69 The Avengers
    The Dark Knight
    and The Dark Knight Rises both work out to four out of five stars, but just going off of the vibe of things, you would think that The Dark Knight Rises would be well behind The Avengers and Inception.

    I understand why The Dark Knight is perceived as the better film, but I personally prefer The Dark Knight Rises and I am disappointed that Christopher Nolan will not be recognized with any award nominations whatsoever for it.

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    babypook
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    #75540

    I think you’re right about Nolan. He wont show up. I also think Skyfall is in for BP, and that Mendes is out for Director.

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    Guest2014
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    #75541

    In an ideal world:

    Nolan
    Whedon
    Gary Ross
    Spielberg
    Affleck

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    Renaton
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    #75542

    ^ I don’t think it’s just the shooting. I agree it has some effect, but the comparisons with the previous film were inevitable. Plus, even though TDKR technically has a better metacritic score, reading the reviews, you’ll see The Avengers had a more consistant response from critic to critic. TDKR was actually a somewhat divisive film, and I just feel that a super hero movie would need near universal acclaim to get in. Which of course means I don’t see Whedon doing well either.

    That’s why I think the genre directing nominee will be either Tarantino or Lee, or that they might just not have a genre film nomination at all, and go with Tom Hooper.  

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