Films that are truly viable for Best Picture Oscar

[FreemanGriffinParticipant Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 392 Posts: 3213 View Predictions]

#199031

imo there are 15 films vying for the 8-10 slots for the Best Picture Oscar. There are only 3 films that I feel are true “locks”: (P) means I’m currently predicting it.

Brooklyn (P)
The Revenant (P)
Spotlight (P)

And then there are 12 films competing for the other 5-7 slots:

The Big Short
Bridge Of Spies (P)
Carol (P)
Creed (P)
The Danish Girl (P)
The Hateful Eight
In the Heart of the Sea
Inside Out
Joy
The Martian (P)
Room (P)
Steve Jobs (P)

I personally don’t think that there are any other viable candidates in the category, but I’m certain others will disagree with me. (In particular, my least favorite film of the year, which many of you are crazy about).

Creed has def. jumped up in my estimation as a result of having seen it today. I have seen 9 of these 15 films, so the remaining six are question marks for me. Several of the films I am not predicting now is mainly because I haven’t seen them and I have reservations based on their trailers, esp. Joy and The Hateful Eight (and even, The Revenant, but I suspect that’s just going to be I will be one of the vocail naysayers, since I don’t like Inarritu’s films).

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[FilmGuy619Participant Joined: Jan 13th, 2013 Topics: 118 Posts: 1019 View Predictions]

#199033

After having seen Room, I think it is a definite threat for Best Picture. One reason is because it is this year’s “little engine” and everyone loves an underdog (I.e., Slumdog Millionaire). Also, the film is packed with emotion and even though it deals with a mother and child adjusting to life in the world, it is never boring. It is also my pick for best movie of the year thus far. So, I’ll really be pulling for it to get in for the top prize.

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[benbraddockParticipant Joined: Nov 4th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 1045 View Predictions]

#199034

The films i think can WIN BEST PICTURE  are….

SPOTLIGHT
STAR WARS; THE FORCE AWAKENS
JOY
THE MARTIAN
BRIDGE OF SPIES
STEVE JOBS….

nothing else can or will win…..

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[ENGLANDParticipant Joined: Oct 5th, 2011 Topics: 48 Posts: 1980 View Predictions]

#199035

Watch out for Creed.

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[jf123Participant Joined: Feb 15th, 2014 Topics: 123 Posts: 2490 View Predictions]

#199036

Joy
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
Carol
Brooklyn 

and maybe the Hateful Eight are the only movies I can see winning BP 

Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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[MrGoodWoodParticipant Joined: Dec 14th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 378 View Predictions]

#199037

Carol
Joy
The Revenant
Spotlight 

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[24EmmyParticipant Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 345 Posts: 8769 View Predictions]

#199038

Carol
Creed (rising underdog atm)
Joy
Spotlight

and maybe even Star Wars: The Force Awakens if it receives stellar reviews

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[4getregretParticipant Joined: Feb 25th, 2014 Topics: 0 Posts: 18 View Predictions]

#199039

Still too early to say for sure, but:

Winning:

The Martian
The Revenant
Spotlight

Nominated:

Anomalisa
Brooklyn
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Room
Steve Jobs

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[Bradley WeirParticipant Joined: Aug 16th, 2014 Topics: 5 Posts: 573 View Predictions]

#199040

The Martian is not winning best picture!!!!

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[BirdParticipant Joined: Nov 5th, 2012 Topics: 4 Posts: 116 View Predictions]

#199041

The only films I can see winning are The Martian, Spotlight, and Joy. I’m not a fan of David O. Russell, but the academy seams to like him and his movies. 

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[ETPhoneHomeParticipant Joined: Jan 3rd, 2013 Topics: 43 Posts: 3071 View Predictions]

#199042

Spotlight seems like the most likely winner to me right now, and the virtual locks I have with it are Carol and Steve Jobs. I like the chances of The Revenant, Joy and The Hateful Eight but I’m still waiting to hear more about their reception. I’m not feeling Brooklyn right now, but I’ll come around if I see some more precursors. I’m on the fence about The Martian. I expect it to be nominated, but I can’t put it among my ‘locks’ just yet.

Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/

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[babypookParticipant Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 108 Posts: 14550 View Predictions]

#199043

I’m not entirely sure what is meant by “truly viable” for BP.

So, this means comedies, scifi/fantasies, horror, very ‘small’ films and big block busters, FLFs, are  not viable (usually they arent)?

And ‘important’, topical, populist films that are DRAMAS are the then truly viable (often, they are)?

Something is wrong with this picture.

So, going by dramatic importance….I see Spotlight in my crystal ball.

Really, that ensemble deserves SAG. The film could have been about almost anything, and they would still have shone.

jmho

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