November 25, 2015 at 5:05 pm #199031
imo there are 15 films vying for the 8-10 slots for the Best Picture Oscar. There are only 3 films that I feel are true “locks”: (P) means I’m currently predicting it.
The Revenant (P)
And then there are 12 films competing for the other 5-7 slots:
The Big Short
Bridge Of Spies (P)
The Danish Girl (P)
The Hateful Eight
In the Heart of the Sea
The Martian (P)
Steve Jobs (P)
I personally don’t think that there are any other viable candidates in the category, but I’m certain others will disagree with me. (In particular, my least favorite film of the year, which many of you are crazy about).
Creed has def. jumped up in my estimation as a result of having seen it today. I have seen 9 of these 15 films, so the remaining six are question marks for me. Several of the films I am not predicting now is mainly because I haven’t seen them and I have reservations based on their trailers, esp. Joy and The Hateful Eight (and even, The Revenant, but I suspect that’s just going to be I will be one of the vocail naysayers, since I don’t like Inarritu’s films).November 25, 2015 at 5:11 pm #199033
After having seen Room, I think it is a definite threat for Best Picture. One reason is because it is this year’s “little engine” and everyone loves an underdog (I.e., Slumdog Millionaire). Also, the film is packed with emotion and even though it deals with a mother and child adjusting to life in the world, it is never boring. It is also my pick for best movie of the year thus far. So, I’ll really be pulling for it to get in for the top prize.November 25, 2015 at 6:07 pm #199034
The films i think can WIN BEST PICTURE are….
STAR WARS; THE FORCE AWAKENS
BRIDGE OF SPIES
nothing else can or will win…..November 25, 2015 at 6:53 pm #199035
Watch out for Creed.November 25, 2015 at 8:29 pm #199036
and maybe the Hateful Eight are the only movies I can see winning BPNovember 25, 2015 at 9:01 pm #199037
SpotlightNovember 25, 2015 at 9:53 pm #199038
Creed (rising underdog atm)
and maybe even Star Wars: The Force Awakens if it receives stellar reviewsNovember 26, 2015 at 12:12 pm #199039
Still too early to say for sure, but:
The Hateful Eight
Steve JobsNovember 26, 2015 at 12:51 pm #199040
The Martian is not winning best picture!!!!November 26, 2015 at 12:53 pm #199041
The only films I can see winning are The Martian, Spotlight, and Joy. I’m not a fan of David O. Russell, but the academy seams to like him and his movies.November 26, 2015 at 2:54 pm #199042
Spotlight seems like the most likely winner to me right now, and the virtual locks I have with it are Carol and Steve Jobs. I like the chances of The Revenant, Joy and The Hateful Eight but I’m still waiting to hear more about their reception. I’m not feeling Brooklyn right now, but I’ll come around if I see some more precursors. I’m on the fence about The Martian. I expect it to be nominated, but I can’t put it among my ‘locks’ just yet.November 26, 2015 at 4:22 pm #199043
I’m not entirely sure what is meant by “truly viable” for BP.
So, this means comedies, scifi/fantasies, horror, very ‘small’ films and big block busters, FLFs, are not viable (usually they arent)?
And ‘important’, topical, populist films that are DRAMAS are the then truly viable (often, they are)?
Something is wrong with this picture.
So, going by dramatic importance….I see Spotlight in my crystal ball.
Really, that ensemble deserves SAG. The film could have been about almost anything, and they would still have shone.