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Films that are truly viable for Best Picture Oscar

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  • FreemanGriffin
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    #199031

    imo there are 15 films vying for the 8-10 slots for the Best Picture Oscar. There are only 3 films that I feel are true “locks”: (P) means I’m currently predicting it.

    Brooklyn (P)
    The Revenant (P)
    Spotlight (P)

    And then there are 12 films competing for the other 5-7 slots:

    The Big Short
    Bridge Of Spies (P)
    Carol (P)
    Creed (P)
    The Danish Girl (P)
    The Hateful Eight
    In the Heart of the Sea
    Inside Out
    Joy
    The Martian (P)
    Room (P)
    Steve Jobs (P)

    I personally don’t think that there are any other viable candidates in the category, but I’m certain others will disagree with me. (In particular, my least favorite film of the year, which many of you are crazy about).

    Creed has def. jumped up in my estimation as a result of having seen it today. I have seen 9 of these 15 films, so the remaining six are question marks for me. Several of the films I am not predicting now is mainly because I haven’t seen them and I have reservations based on their trailers, esp. Joy and The Hateful Eight (and even, The Revenant, but I suspect that’s just going to be I will be one of the vocail naysayers, since I don’t like Inarritu’s films).

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    FilmGuy619
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    #199033

    After having seen Room, I think it is a definite threat for Best Picture. One reason is because it is this year’s “little engine” and everyone loves an underdog (I.e., Slumdog Millionaire). Also, the film is packed with emotion and even though it deals with a mother and child adjusting to life in the world, it is never boring. It is also my pick for best movie of the year thus far. So, I’ll really be pulling for it to get in for the top prize.

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    benbraddock
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    #199034

    The films i think can WIN BEST PICTURE  are….

    SPOTLIGHT
    STAR WARS; THE FORCE AWAKENS
    JOY
    THE MARTIAN
    BRIDGE OF SPIES
    STEVE JOBS….

    nothing else can or will win…..

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    ENGLAND
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    #199035

    Watch out for Creed.

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    jf123
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    #199036

    Joy
    Spotlight
    Steve Jobs
    Carol
    Brooklyn 

    and maybe the Hateful Eight are the only movies I can see winning BP 

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    MrGoodWood
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    #199037

    Carol
    Joy
    The Revenant
    Spotlight 

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    24Emmy
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    #199038

    Carol
    Creed (rising underdog atm)
    Joy
    Spotlight

    and maybe even Star Wars: The Force Awakens if it receives stellar reviews

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    4getregret
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    #199039

    Still too early to say for sure, but:

    Winning:

    The Martian
    The Revenant
    Spotlight

    Nominated:

    Anomalisa
    Brooklyn
    Carol
    The Hateful Eight
    Inside Out
    Room
    Steve Jobs

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    Bradley Weir
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    #199040

    The Martian is not winning best picture!!!!

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    Bird
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    #199041

    The only films I can see winning are The Martian, Spotlight, and Joy. I’m not a fan of David O. Russell, but the academy seams to like him and his movies. 

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #199042

    Spotlight seems like the most likely winner to me right now, and the virtual locks I have with it are Carol and Steve Jobs. I like the chances of The Revenant, Joy and The Hateful Eight but I’m still waiting to hear more about their reception. I’m not feeling Brooklyn right now, but I’ll come around if I see some more precursors. I’m on the fence about The Martian. I expect it to be nominated, but I can’t put it among my ‘locks’ just yet.

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    babypook
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    #199043

    I’m not entirely sure what is meant by “truly viable” for BP.

    So, this means comedies, scifi/fantasies, horror, very ‘small’ films and big block busters, FLFs, are  not viable (usually they arent)?

    And ‘important’, topical, populist films that are DRAMAS are the then truly viable (often, they are)?

    Something is wrong with this picture.

    So, going by dramatic importance….I see Spotlight in my crystal ball.

    Really, that ensemble deserves SAG. The film could have been about almost anything, and they would still have shone.

    jmho

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