FINAL PREDICTIONS – 85th Academy Awards

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  • Profile photo of LeonardoLeonardo
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    #91827

    Picture
    ARGO IIIIIIIIII
    SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK I
    LINCOLN I
    Director
    Steven Spielberg III
    Michael Haneke II
    David O. Russell II
    Ang Lee I
    Actor
    Daniel Day Lewis IIIIIIIII
    Actress
    Jennifer Lawrence IIII
    Emanuelle Riva IIII
    Supporting Actor
    Tomy Lee Jones III
    Robert De Niro II
    Christoph Waltz II
    Phillip Seymour Hoffman I
    Supporting Actress
    Anne Hathaway IIIIIIII
    Original Screenplay
    DJANGO UNCHAINED IIIIII
    AMOUR I
    Adapted Screenplay
    ARGO IIIIII
    LINCOLN II
    Foreign Language Film
    AMOUR IIIIIII
    Animated Feature Film
    WRECK-IT RALPH II
    BRAVE II
    Film Editing
    ARGO IIIIII
    Production Design
    Cinematography
    Costume Design
    Make-Up & Hairstyling
    Music (Original Score)
    Music (Original Song)
    Sound Mixing
    Sound Editing
    Visual Effects
    Documentary Feature
    Documentary Short Subject
    Short Film (Animated)
    Short Film (Live Action)
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    Profile photo of LeonardoLeonardo
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    #91829

    Best Picture: ARGO
    Best Director: Michael Haneke – AMOUR
    Best Actor: Daniel Day Lewis – LINCOLN
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence – SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
    Best Supporting Actor: Tomy Lee Jones – LINCOLN
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – LES MISÉRABLES
    Best Original Screenplay: AMOUR
    Best Adapted Screenplay: ARGO
    Best Animated Feature Film: WRECK-IT RALPH
    Best Foreign Language Film: AMOUR
    Best Film Editing: ARGO
    Best Production Design: ANNA KARENINA 
    Best Cinematography: LIFE OF PI
    Best Costume Design: ANNA KARENINA
    Best Make-Up & Hairstyling: LES MISÉRABLES 
    Best Music (Original Score): LIFE OF PI
    Best Music (Original Song): Skyfall from SKYFALL
    Best Sound Mixing: LES MISÉRABLES
    Best Sound Editing: SKYFALL 
    Best Visual Effects: LIFE OF PI
    Best Documentary Feature: SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN
    Best Documentary Short Subject: OPEN HEART
    Best Short Film (Animated): PAPERMAN
    Best Short Film (Live Action): CURFEW 

    Reply
    Jason Travis
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    #91830

    Oh what a year this has been. I first would like to say 2012 gave us so many wonderful films, so congratulations to everybody on making this a vibrant and unique year! Below are my final predictions with (few) changes from my Video Predictions. I will give a commentary for each. I don’t expect to do well this year, but I do expect to be happy that some of my predictions are wrong!
    ______________________
    BEST PICTURE: Argo

    It’s come down to this. As much as I want Lincoln to prevail here, the guilds and people have spoken- passion seems to be in Ben Affleck’s camp. Which is fine, I guess. It’s a great movie and I think it’s just too bad he couldn’t have been up for Best Director. But we must remember that when it comes down to it, Best Picture and Best Director are two separate categories. Otherwise, why not merge them into one? My only other notion is that Silver Linings Playbook is a lot closer than we think to taking top honors. Don’t be surprised if voters use it as an alternative if they feel they must validate a Best Picture win with a Best Director.

    BEST DIRECTOR: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

    I’ve officially switched to Lee. While Spielberg seems like the safe choice, there’s no denying the one thing I get a feeling with this year- voters aren’t going to give him Director and not award Lincoln Best Picture. And because it seems like there isn’t as much love for the movie anymore, scratch off Spielberg. This isn’t consolation prize time. Voters will choose who they feel most deserves it, and Lee does deserve props for bringing this story to a visionary journey. I don’t think Haneke wins, but if he does- he too would be deserving as the film is truly about the vision of how the story is presented, and what scenes to show and what scenes to leave up to the audience to decide. A masterpiece in every regard. Zehtlin is the shock nominee, could he be the shocking winner? Not likely, but anything is possible this year. Which finally leaves us with Russell- who was able to get 4 of his actors in the boat, which means actors might go gaga over him. He has the Harvey factor too. It’s the least deserving choice of the bunch, but DGA snub aside this could be the big ouch of the night. Spielberg will win when his film is poised to win again.

    BEST ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

    He’s the most deserving of all the four acting races this year; no one else is even close. All signs point to him. Please Meryl, say his name Sunday.

    BEST ACTRESS: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

    In my video I say Lawrence- now I have to switch it to Riva. She is the best in show and she has the best story- 86 on Oscar evening and BAFTA just picked her. There’s also Jessica Chastain lurking in the background for an upset. Most pundits still say Lawrence, and why not? If voters are going to honor the movie with an acting honor, she’s the best place to go- she also has the best formula for a best actress winner and they love showy. Riva is also showy, though more in the physical sense. It’s a true nailbiter. I’m going with my heart here, will voters do the same?

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

    Anyone’s game. I don’t buy for a minute that De Niro is going to win just because “he hasn’t had a great role in 20 years”. That’s no reason to give him this honor. He’s OK in the movie but nothing special. Arkin would be a worthier winner because every scene he has in Argo satisfies me. It’s a true supporting performance. Hoffman is brilliant in an unliked movie outside the acting races, and Waltz suffers from having just won in 2009 for what some argue is a similar role (I disagree). I hope Waltz wins- every time he’s been nominated, he’s won. Jones has the SAG and is the heart of Lincoln but his grumpy attitude might turn some voters off. I say he squeaks in for a win.

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

    She’s steamrolled through awards season ala Jennifer Hudson style- supporting female with dominating song in musical that otherwise has gotten divided responses. Awkward speeches aside, it’s her year to shine and her Catwoman role in The Dark Knight Rises earned her great ink as well. A done deal everybody. Love to see Sally steal it, but not in the cards this time.

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Argo, Chris Terrio

    If Kushner wins, it will be the highlight of my evening. A month ago he was locked to take this. Now everything has changed because of the Spielberg backlash and voters feeling they have to compensate Argo winning best picture with another major award. Still, Terrio’s script is fresh and witty, so it’s still deserving. Watch out for Russell to swipe it for Silver Linings Playbook though, it happened at BAFTA- it could happen here.

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Django Unchained, Quentin Tarantino

    Many are still saying Haneke wins for Amour, which seems to be the safe bet. But I say voters go for the juicier script- controversy withstanding. Still no Writer’s Guild nod means Mark Boal could still prevail for Zero Dark Thirty. But his recent win for The Hurt Locker (where he ironically defeated Tarantino as well) could be too soon, plus with similar themes. It’s a tossup again. Precursors don’t mean as much in the screenplay categories.

    CINEMATOGRAPHY: Life of Pi
    ART DIRECTION: Life of Pi
    SOUND: Les Miserables
    SOUND-EDITING: Zero Dark Thirty
    COSTUME DESIGN: Anna Karenina
    MAKEUP: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    ORIGINAL SCORE: Life of Pi
    SONG: “Skyfall”, Skyfall
    FILM EDITING: Argo
    VISUAL EFFECTS: Life of Pi
    ANIMATED FEATURE: Wreck-It Ralph
    FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Amour
    DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Searching for Sugar Man
    DOCUMENTARY SHORT: Inocente
    ANIMATED SHORT: Paperman
    LIVE-ACTION SHORT: Curfew

    Reply
    Profile photo of Tucker VerdiTV12
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    #91831

    BEST PICTURE
    Argo
    BEST DIRECTOR
    -David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
    BEST ACTOR
    -Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    BEST ACTRESS
    -Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    -Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook 
    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    -Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables 
    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    -Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained 
    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    -Chris Terrio, Argo
    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
    -Thomas Newman, Skyfall 
    BEST ORIGINAL SONG
    -Adele Adkins & Paul Epwoth, Skyfall (“Skyfall”) 
    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
    Anna Karenina 
    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    -Roger Deakins, Skyfall 
    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    Anna Karenina 
    BEST FILM EDITING
    -William Goldman, Argo
    BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
    Les Miserables 
    BEST SOUND EDITING
    Life of Pi 
    BEST SOUND MIXING
    Les Miserables
    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    Life of Pi 
    BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
    Amour
    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
    -Searching for Sugar Man

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    JackO
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    #91832

    reserved. 

    Best Picture – Argo 

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    Profile photo of Matt JennerMacbeth
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    #91833

    Best Picture – Argo
    Best Director – David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
    Best Actor – Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
    Best Actress – Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
    Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
    Best Supporting Actress – Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
    Best Original Screenplay – Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained)
    Best Adapted Screenplay – Tony Kushner (Lincoln)
    Best Original Song – Everybody Needs A Best Friend (Ted)
    Best Original Score – Life of Pi
    Best Cinematography – Life of Pi

    Reply
    Profile photo of Bill BuchananBill Buchanan
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    #91834

    BEST PICTURE
    Argo
    BEST DIRECTOR
    -David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
    BEST ACTOR
    -Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    BEST ACTRESS
    -Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    -Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook 
    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    -Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables 
    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    -Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained 
    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    -Chris Terrio, Argo
    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
    -Thomas Newman, Skyfall 
    BEST ORIGINAL SONG
    -Adele Adkins & Paul Epwoth, Skyfall (“Skyfall”) 
    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
    Anna Karenina 
    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    -Roger Deakins, Skyfall 
    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    Anna Karenina 
    BEST FILM EDITING
    -William Goldman, Argo
    BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
    Les Miserables 
    BEST SOUND EDITING
    Life of Pi 
    BEST SOUND MIXING
    Les Miserables
    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    Life of Pi 
    BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
    Amour
    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
    -Searching for Sugar Man

    How the hell is SLP winning Actress, Supporting Actor, DIRECTOR and then doesn’t win either Screenplay or Picture?

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    Profile photo of Anonymous
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    #91835

    PICTURE: Argo
    DIRECTOR: Michael Haneke
    ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis
    ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence
    SUPPORTING ACTOR: Philip Seymour Hoffman
    SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway
    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Django Unchained
    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Argo
    EDITING: Argo
    CINEMATOGRAPHY: Life of Pi
    PRODUCTION DESIGN: Les Miserables
    COSTUME: Les Miserables
    MAKE-UP: Les Miserables
    SCORE: Life of Pi
    SONG: Skyfall
    SOUND EDITING: Argo
    SOUND MIXING: Les Miserables
    VISUAL EFFECTS: Life of Pi
    DOCUMENTARY: Searching for Sugarman
    ANIMATED FEATURE: Brave
    FOREIGN FILM: Amour

    I truly expect me to correctly predict less than half right. At least 5 categories I was stumped.

                               

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    Profile photo of Marcus SnowdenMarcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #91836

    I’m going to be extremely mad if Jessica Chastain wins Sunday. I’m not buying into her buzz at all. She didn’t really do anything special. If she wins, it’ll be a Patricia Neal-like situation. I predicting Lawrence, but The Academy hates young actors and comedic roles, which Lawrence is and what her role was. They also love old people (Christopher Plummer, Geraldine Page, Peggy Ashcroft, etc.) Riva winning won’t be surprising and I won’t be disappointed. Now if Chastain wins, I’ll be booing at the TV like a wrestling fan everytime John Cena wins another title!

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    Profile photo of Marcus SnowdenMarcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #91837

    Woww. A lot of people are pulling for Haneke. That’ll be the biggest surprise of the night for sure if that happens. And Traffic should have won Best Picture in 2001.

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    GusCruz
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    #91838

    If Haneke wins, that Twitter account that put him into pop culture can be “blamed”

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    Profile photo of JJparadisekisses
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    #91839

    Chastain is never out od the race, she’s hurt by ZDT’s controversy. I will be very surprised and delighted if she ends up winning, if the academy wants to give ZDT someting, that’s the best bet.

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    Profile photo of Graeme O'NeilGraeme O’Neil
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    #91840

    Here are my final predictions, given on TalkPop: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NV2aKDgF_G0

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    Profile photo of Nick LoreNewsNic12
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    #91841

    Best Picture: Lincoln (S:Les Mis)
    Best Director:Spileberg
    Day-Lewis
    (S:Jackman)
    Riva (S:Lawrence)
    Lee Jones
    Hathaway
    OS:Django or Amour
    AS:Lincoln
        
     

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    Profile photo of Mitch Bakerunsunganthem
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    #91842

    I’m including those who I think WILL WIN and those I think SHOULD WIN

    BEST PICTURE
    WILL: Argo
    SHOULD: Zero Dark Thirty
    BEST DIRECTOR
    WILL: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
    SHOULD: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    BEST ACTOR
    WILL: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    SHOULD: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    BEST ACTRESS
    WILL: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour 
    SHOULD: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    WILL: Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
    SHOULD: Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    WILL: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables 
    SHOULD: Amy Adams, The Master
    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    WILL: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained 
    SHOULD: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    WILL: Chris Terrio, Argo
    SHOULD: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
    WILL: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi 
    SHOULD: Thomas Newman, Skyfall 
    BEST ORIGINAL SONG
    WILL: Adele Adkins & Paul Epwoth, Skyfall (“Skyfall”)
    SHOULD: Adele Adkins & Paul Epwoth, Skyfall (“Skyfall”)
    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
    WILL: Anna Karenina
    SHOULD: Anna Karenina

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    WILL: Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi
    SHOULD: Roger Deakins, Skyfall 
    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    WILL: Anna Karenina 
    SHOULD:
    Anna Karenina  
    BEST FILM EDITING
    WILL: William Goldenberg, Argo 
    SHOULD: William Goldenberg, Argo 
    BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
    WILL: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    SHOULD: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    BEST SOUND EDITING
    WILL: Zero Dark Thirty 
    SHOULD: Zero Dark Thirty 
    BEST SOUND MIXING
    WILL: Les Miserables
    SHOULD: Les Miserables
    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    WILL: Life of Pi
    SHOULD:Life of Pi 
    BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
    WILL: Amour 
    SHOULD: 
    Amour 
    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
    WILL: Searching for Sugar Man
    SHOULD: How to Survive a Plague 

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