Home Forums Movies For the sake of the Oscars I hope there are some surprises in major categories.

For the sake of the Oscars I hope there are some surprises in major categories.

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  • RobertPius
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    Best Picture will always be volatile now that they have the preferential ballot BUT this run where all four of the acting winners have won all win SAG, Globes and Critics Choice……it will make for the dullest ceremony ever and continue the decline in viewership for awards shows.

    I hope they have some maverick Oscar voters who will shake things up a bit?

    Agree?

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    Mason Desantis
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    Chalamet,Hawkins,Ronan, Gerwig, Peele winning would sure make the Oscars more interesting but I doubt it will happen. The Academy is not truly committed to changing its ways and reversing the power dynamic that has been going on for too long.

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    Anonymous
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    Yeah, general public cares the most about acting winners and it’s not like in the past when they didn’t know who won what award before Oscars. These days people are aware who’s sweeping awards, who has never won (i.e. DiCaprio), who gets nominated every year just for showing up on silver screen (i.e. Streep). And these people aren’t awards buffs like us, they’re common folks. For example my friend who has never cared about movies  and especially awards asked me ‘so Oldmand and McDormand are winning Oscars this year?’ I said ‘yes’ and he was like ‘meh why bother with watching if you already know the winners’. Exactly. They just have to get rid of sheep mentality. For their own sake.

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    Dana S.
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    Best Picture will always be volatile now that they have the preferential ballot BUT this run where all four of the acting winners have won all win SAG, Globes and Critics Choice……it will make for the dullest ceremony ever and continue the decline in viewership for awards shows.

    Apart from BP, Best Supporting Actress is most vulnerable at Oscars. Also prior to Oscars there’s BAFTA and no way all those 4 acting winners will get BAFTAs, somebody will miss it.

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    SHT L
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    I wish there was a way for the Oscars to tell other televised award shows to cease & desist. I know awards have become its own industry and it’s now like a sport where we follow each award as if it was a competition in the World Cup series, and obviously you cannot tell another body to not hold awards, but now that we’re so aware of GG, SAG, [Broadcast] Critics’ Choice (I’m only including it here because its televised), all of the fun and excitement has gone away from the Oscars. Even when there are winners that don’t coincide with the previous award show winners, it doesn’t happen often enough and consistently enough to make us think the Oscars will pick something other than a movie/performance that is winning everything.

    I also think it makes people more resentful of perfectly reasonable winners/movies because once a movie/performance starts winning everything, people will get tired of that person/movie and hope for someone/something else to win just to generate excitement.

    • This reply was modified 5 months ago by  SHT L.
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    Stegeo
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    Best Picture will always be volatile now that they have the preferential ballot BUT this run where all four of the acting winners have won all win SAG, Globes and Critics Choice……it will make for the dullest ceremony ever and continue the decline in viewership for awards shows.

    Apart from BP, Best Supporting Actress is most vulnerable at Oscars. Also prior to Oscars there’s BAFTA and no way all those 4 acting winners will get BAFTAs, somebody will miss it.

    the only difference fot Bafta would be Manville winning SActress, something that will not affect Janney at all; I also found out Sally Hawkins is British, so don’t be surprised if she wins, but still nothing will change for the Oscars

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    Riley
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    I disagree that the public is that aware of the run-up to the Oscars.  I have heard so many people talk about the Moonlight/La La Land mix-up over the last year, but the talk is always limited to the envelope debacle and never extends to how La La Land was the overwhelming frontrunner going into the night.

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    RobertPius
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    I wish there was a way for the Oscars to tell other televised award shows to cease & desist. I know awards have become its own industry and it’s now like a sport where we follow each award as if it was a competition in the World Cup series, and obviously you cannot tell another body to not hold awards, but now that we’re so aware of GG, SAG, [Broadcast] Critics’ Choice (I’m only including it here because its televised), all of the fun and excitement has gone away from the Oscars. Even when there are winners that don’t coincide with the previous award show winners, it doesn’t happen often enough and consistently enough to make us think the Oscars will pick something other than a movie/performance that is winning everything.

    I also think it makes people more resentful of perfectly reasonable winners/movies because once a movie/performance starts winning everything, people will get tired of that person/movie and hope for someone/something else to win just to generate excitement.

    I know. It was much more exciting when there were just the Globes which were sometimes predictors but sometimes just strange odd choices and then months later the Oscars. Sometimes it seems to even effect the winners because they have so many speeches to give that it is hard to rally all that excitement for an Oscar after you have thanked the same people the same time. This year was especially odd with Critics Choice coming like four days after the Globes and having almost the exact same winners. I wonder if anybody thought “I can’t believe I have to get all dressed up and go to another award show and be grateful four days later.” Frances McDormand probably felt that way. I can’t even remember. Did she attend Critic’s Choice?

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    Teridax
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    All I have to say here is, for the sake of the Oscars I hope there are some deserving wins in major categories, regardless of how “surprising” they are.

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    Atypical
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    The Academy isn’t concerned (or should be concerned) about making the Oscars new and exciting for us with novel winners. If you’re so bored, then turn the channel on Oscar night. This is about posterity, tradition, and history. Sometimes that means great surprises, and other times, it means rote frontrunners. There’s nothing to be done in that regard with all the precursors being what they are. And as you notice, even the Joe Blows who stumble into this blind with low-to-no information beforehand, there’s no pleasing everyone. That’s part of the “fun” too, I guess.

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    Filmatelist
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    I still think Dafoe has a chance at the win. Between the Sam/Woody split possibility, his rep as a craftsman and 3-time nominee, his sympathetic and understated performance, and whatever baggage BILLBOARDS might accumulate between now and then, I think the likeliest upset (even if long on odds) is in this category.

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    RobertPius
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    “The Academy isn’t concerned (or should be concerned) about making the Oscars new and exciting”

    I kind of think they are. Remember the whole James Franco/Anne Hathaway attempt to make the Oscars “younger and hipper”! (epic fail)

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    LaChienne
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    I kind of think they are. Remember the whole James Franco/Anne Hathaway attempt to make the Oscars “younger and hipper”! (epic fail)

    Not always failures though — bringing Lady Gaga on for the Julie Andrews tribute, while much smaller-scale than a hosting decision, was extremely well-received. Er, unless you’re Stephen Sondheim, I guess.

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1202477786

    I think Daniel Montgomery is right. This is gonna be the most predictable Oscars ever. Chance someone gets a perfect score is high.

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    Teridax
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    I think Daniel Montgomery is right. This is gonna be the most predictable Oscars ever. Chance someone gets a perfect score is high.

    Exactly what I’m predicting and aiming for. I want a predictable Oscars for that reason, just so that I can get a perfect 100% accuracy rate but still call the few “upsets” there will inevitably be like The Shape of Water for Cinematography (Deakins isn’t winning) and Baby Driver for Film Editing, possibly even Sound Mixing.

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