Hidden Figures: Will it Soar or Suffer?

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  • seberko
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    #1201992909

    When it comes to surging at the right time, no film is in a better position to overperform tomorrow morning than Hidden Figures. It hit its stride at the box office and received acclaim just at the right time for Oscar nom voting and final voting for PGA and SAG. I’m actually starting to buy into Marcus’ theory that it could even win Best Ensemble.

    But the question that I’ve been having a lot of trouble with is “will it really become an Oscar threat?” Right now I’m predicting it in Picture, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, and Song, and I feel pretty good about those nominations. But does it have a chance anywhere else. Can Melfi get in for director? Can Henson take the fifth spot for Best Actress ahead Huppert (or Streep or Adams, however you view the BActress race)? Can it somehow shock us and get in for editing? Can it hit other tech categories like production design and costume design? Will it really be a big winner tomorrow, or will it perform just as everyone expected and end up being an also-ran?

    What do you guys think?

    • This topic was modified 7 months ago by  seberko.
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    BenitoDelicias
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    #1201992925

    I think it’ll stay where it belongs, right in the middle. That’s the quality of the film, that’s the quality of many things in it and I don’t think it’ll be that much else. It won’t get any wins either, it doesn’t really have a chance anywhere. Yes, Picture, Sup Actress, Screenplay, Song seem to be the best and most obvious options, with something like Costumes and Production design possibly showing up. That’s a lot of nominations right there. I don’t think Henson will become a nominee.

    I think they did the right thing with this film, it was a perfect release. They saw that they didn’t have the best film of the year, but had something nice and to some degree special. They released it at a time when ballots were almost due and the fact that “everybody” had not seen it until that time, questions about Spencer, Monae, Songs, Score, Henson and the film itself and its quality wouldn’t become too popular, too damaging. Releasing it early would’ve meant more time for people to complain like we all have since last week when the film was widely seen, a hit and the screener leaked. But now it doesn’t really matter, ballots were already in and because of facts already discussed, the film managed that SAG nod and Spencer became a repeat nominee in her category for important groups.

    Look at Fences and its earlier release, and how after everybody saw it will most likely get two nominations, get the obvious win for Davis and a Washington win will most likely not happen.

    This of course speaks to the quality of Hidden Figures or its campaign. Otherwise it would be in the same hole flopping along Live By Night, A Monster Calls, Patriot’s Day, Silence, The Founder and soon, Gold.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201992933

    Is Kevin Costner really a thing? I’m suddenly seeing pundits predicting him at the last minute.

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    Roney Moore
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    #1201992934

    It’s such an acting branch-bait middle of the road, inoffensive, decently made timely feel-good movie that I want to predict it in more places than I already do. But where? Both Henson and Costner make sense on paper, but watching the movie was maybe a disadvantage for me as I was underwhelmed by both of them.

    I may end up predicting Costner because supporting categories are where voters get lazy and check off people from their fav movies without much precursor and because that category has at least 2 incredibly shaky contenders.

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    M
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    #1201992937

    Is Kevin Costner really a thing? I’m suddenly seeing pundits predicting him at the last minute.

    Supporting Actor is a gold watch category. Jeff Bridges won’t be the only veteran nominee there. And Hugh Grant isn’t as certain as his camp had hoped.

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    Licorice
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    #1201992951

    I’m praying it leads the nominations best movie of the year fuck la la trash

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    Atypical
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    #1201992957

    I think another week of either voting eligibility or earlier release date needed to have happened for “Hidden Figures” to really have a hefty nominations tally. I don’t quite see that happening tomorrow, but anywhere from 3-5 nods would be impressive enough. The real win for this film is its box office success. That shows Hollywood that there’s a clear audience for this type of film, which was excellent, and that more films like it will be greenlit in the future.

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    leothescorpio
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    #1201992967

    I’m predicting 7:

    Best Picture
    Best Actress
    Best Supp. Actress
    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Best Costume Design
    Best Original Score
    Best Song

    Or 3:

    Best Picture
    Best Supp. Actress
    Best Song

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    jman02
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    #1201992975

    I think another week of either voting eligibility or earlier release date needed to have happened for “Hidden Figures” to really have a hefty nominations tally. I don’t quite see that happening tomorrow, but anywhere from 3-5 nods would be impressive enough. The real win for this film is its box office success. That shows Hollywood that there’s a clear audience for this type of film, which was excellent, and that more films like it will be greenlit in the future.

    Agree with the sentiment that its box office run was its win. It cemented the notion that not only can a movie led by three women be successful, but one with POCs at the helm. It even beat a Star Wars movie (which was ALSO led by a woman and had POCs in its cast).

    I actually predict 5 noms for it.

    Best Picture
    Best SActress
    Best AScreenplay
    Best Score
    Best Song

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    PJ Edwards
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    #1201992979

    I have it predicted for 3. But is has potential for more.

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    rodman
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    #1201992988

    I am going no guts no glory for Hidden Figures. I have it predicted for 10 .

    Best Picture
    Best Director
    Best Actress
    Best Supporting Actor
    2 Best supporting Actress – Nicole Kidman
    Best song
    Best score
    Best production Design
    Best screenplay

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    leothescorpio
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    #1201992992

    I am going no guts no glory for Hidden Figures. I have it predicted for 10 .

    Best Picture
    Best Director
    Best Actress
    Best Supporting Actor
    2 Best supporting Actress – Nicole Kidman
    Best song
    Best score
    Best production Design
    Best screenplay

    From your keyboard to God’s ears. And I’ll add in Costumes to make it 11. Amen.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #1201993000

    I’m not buying Henson or Costner as nominees – they should’ve shown up at SAG first. I see five nods: Picture, Supporting Actress (Spencer), Adapted Screenplay, Original Song and Original Score.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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    jman02
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    #1201993008

    I’m not buying Henson or Costner as nominees – they should’ve shown up at SAG first. I see five nods: Picture, Supporting Actress (Spencer), Adapted Screenplay, Original Song and Original Score.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

    I agree, plus we also have the same lineup for Hidden Figures. Also, I’d like to add that Henson or Costner should’ve shown up ANYWHERE, not just at SAG.

    Though I’d REALLY like Henson to get nominated. I just don’t know who she’d replace, though. Probably Streep. But also probably not.

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    Atypical
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    #1201993038

    Predicting 3 nods: Best Picture, Best Supporting Actress (Spencer), and Best Original Score.

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