This is long overdue, but we finally built it. Click Here. Whatcha thank?
This is interesting. If you did a statistical analysis over several years you could probably get a pretty good model for Oscar predictions (sort of like what Nate Silver does with elections). For example, perhaps one expert always nails the acting awards but misses the screenplays. You could weight that expert’s acting predictions and take weight away from the screenplay predictions. Do this across all experts, editors, and some select users and the accuracy of your model would improve. It looks like there are only 2 years of data up right now, so there probably isn’t enough info to make a precise model now.
Yes, we certainly intend to do that in the future — to see if we can spot those kinds of trends. In addition to looking over the past predix of Experts and Editors, we’ve recently created the Top 24 Users, too — the team of YOU guys who did best predicting that event one year earlier.
I love this! It’s really interesting to see past predictions (and knowing how it turned out)
Remember when Les Mis was taken seriously?
I really like the centralized page with all the predictions. But there are still a few things that don’t work:
When you click the “view predictions history” button on someone’s profile for “Oscars 2012 nominations” and select a date, all you get is a heading with that date.
Also, if you go to this link for editors predictions to “Oscars 2012 nominations”:
You can’t select a date from before January 2013.