February 9, 2014 at 7:46 pm #139517
Many of us are predicting that “Gravity” will win Best Picture, Best Direcor and Best Editing, essentially giving Alfonso Cuaron three Oscars in three hours.
How realistic are his chances of three-peating? Has anybody ever won a trio of Oscars (or more) on the same night?February 9, 2014 at 7:56 pm #139519
Director – 90%
Editing – 65%
Picture – 33%
I think he’s a virtual lock for director because every group has managed to reward him even when his film loses. As for editing, that Captain Phillips win (ACE) makes me weary, but I think Gravity will have much more overall support. Some of the long takes in the movie are stitched together so seamlessly that it may actually hurt the film’s chances. After all, Captain Phillips has the most editing, but I trust the academy to recognize how amazing Gravity is from a technical standpoint.
Even though I have yet to change my predictions (I’m awaiting BAFTA before switching for good), I think 12YAS has a slight advantage in the picture race. I don’t think AH is out of it, but they are certainly 3rd place now.February 9, 2014 at 7:57 pm #139520
The Coen brothers won three (Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay) in 2007, and were up for a fourth (editing, though under the Roderick Jaynes psuedonym).
Peter Jackson won the same trio in 2003.February 9, 2014 at 8:20 pm #139521
I’m rooting for CuarÃ³n to take all 3. I hope he can.February 9, 2014 at 8:28 pm #139522
James Cameron actually won the same three for Titanic that Cuaron is up for for Gravity: Picture, Director, and Editing (Funny similarity seeing as they were also both the biggest blockbusters in their years and weren’t nominated for screenplay)
I hope Cuaron does, and currently am predicting that he will, repeat what Cameron didFebruary 9, 2014 at 9:20 pm #139523
It has many times happened in the past so I see no reason for which Cuarón theoretically couldn’t be the next one. But since I still don’t see Gravity winning BP, I don’t think he’s going to be the next one.February 9, 2014 at 10:18 pm #139524
Everyone’s love for Gravity is causing me to have a stomach-ache.February 9, 2014 at 11:25 pm #139525
The Coen Brothers
Peter Jackson and Fran Walsh
James L. Brooks
Walt Disney won 4!
I’m not sure but don’t they not list the name of the editors on the ballot? So they might just give him three without realizing it.February 9, 2014 at 11:44 pm #139526
Billy Wilder also won 3 for Producing/Directing/Writing The Apartment. The Lost Weekend earned all three honors too, but he wasn’t listed as a producer then.February 10, 2014 at 10:37 am #139527
It’s funny, I actually only have him winning 1 – Best Director. For Picture I’ve been tentatively hanging on to 12 Years, and I just recently changed my editing prediction to Captain Phillips after the ACE win. Gravity’s editing is so smooth and seamless, compared with Captain Phillips where it is much more dynamic. I also think the long continuous shots in Gravity will hurt its chances for Editing.
Though I wouldn’t be at all shocked to see Cuaron win all 3.