Going back what films would have been nominated with 10 nominees in other recent years? Including this year where there’s only 9 for example.
I think “The Master” would have gotten it.
It has three actors nominated (Phoenix, Hoffman + Adams) and that shows pretty broad support across the biggest voting branch.
Moonrise kingdom, foru sure
2012: The Master or Moonrise Kingdom
2011: Girl With the Dragon Tattoo or Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
2008: The Dark Knight, The Wrestler, Frozen River, Rachel Getting Married, Wall-E
2007: Sweeney Todd, Diving Bell and the Butterfly, American Gangster, Once, Ratatouille
The Master ( should have been #1 in my opinion )
2012 – The Master (alternates: Moonrise Kingdom; Skyfall)
2011 – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (alternates: A Separation; Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy; Bridesmaids)
2008 – Doubt; The Dark Knight; WALL-E; Revolutionary Road; The Wrestler (alternates: Frozen River)
2007 – The Diving Bell and the Butterfly; Sweeney Todd; American Gangster; Into the Wild; Ratatouille (alternates: 3:10 to Yuma; The Savages; La Vie en Rose; Away from Her; The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford; The Bourne Ultimatum)
2006 – Dreamgirls; United 93; Children of Men; Pan’s Labyrinth; Notes on a Scandal (alternates: Flags of Our Fathers; Little Children; An Inconvenient Truth)
2005 – Walk the Line; King Kong; A History of Violence; Cinderella Man; Memoirs of a Geisha (alternates: Syriana; The Constant Gardener; Hustle & Flow; Pride & Prejudice)
2004 – Vera Drake; The Incredibles; Hotel Rwanda; Fahrenheit 9/11; The Passion of the Christ (alternates: Closer; Collateral; Spider-Man 2; The Sea Inside; The Motorcycle Diaries; Before Sunset)
2003 – City of God; Cold Mountain; Finding Nemo; The Last Samurai; In America (alternates: Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl; 21 Grams; The Barbarian Invasions; House of Sand and Fog; American Splendor)
2002 – Talk to Her; Far from Heaven; Adaptation; Road to Perdition; Frida (alternates: Spider-Man; Catch Me If You Can; About a Boy; My Big Fat Greek Wedding; Y tu mama tambien)
2001 – Black Hawk Down; Mulholland Drive; Amelie; Memento; Shrek (alternates: Iris; The Royal Tenenbaums; Monster’s Ball; Training Day)
2000 – Almost Famous; Billy Elliot; Wonder Boys; O Brother, Where Art Thou?; Pollock (alternates: You Can Count on Me; Cast Away; The Contender; Quills)
1999 – Being John Malkovich; The Talented Mr Ripley; The Matrix; Topsy-Turvy; Magnolia (alternates: Toy Story 2; Election; Boys Don’t Cry; The End of the Affair; The Hurricane; Girl, Interrupted)