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If we had the predictions center, how would you rank previous Oscar races?

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  • Trent
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    #67085

    The first Oscar race that we had the GoldDerby predictions center for was this year’s race. If we had the predictions center earlier, how would you have ranked previous Oscar races?

    When ranking, remember which wins are considered surprises/upsets and who had more buzz than others, as well as winners from Globes/SAGs/Critics awards.

    You may also include racetrack odds and predictions before/after precursor awards.

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    TV12
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    #67087

    2010:
    BEST PICTURE
    1. The King’s Speech
    2. The Social Network
    3. True Grit
    4. The Fighter
    5. Black Swan
    6. Inception
    7. 127 Hours
    8. Toy Story 3
    9. The Kids Are All Right
    10. Winter’s Bone

    2009:
    BEST PICTURE:
    1. The Hurt Locker
    2. Avatar
    3. Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire
    4. Up in the Air
    5. Inglourious Basterds
    6. Up
    7. The Blind Side
    8. An Education
    9. A Serious Man
    10. District 9

    2008:
    BEST PICTURE:
    1. Slumdog Millionaire
    2. Milk
    3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
    4. The Reader
    5. Frost/Nixon

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    Laactingnyc
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    #67088

    2005 Best Actress

    1.Felicity Huffman – Transamerica
    2.Ziyi Zhang – Memoirs of a Geisha
    3.Keira Knightly – Pride and Prejudice
    4.Charlize Theron – North Country
    5.Reese Witherspoon – Walk the line

    These might not be the nominees…..but here is how i would rank them before the nominations were announced.

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    Madson Melo
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    #67089

    The 2000’s Best Actress races:

    2000:

    1. Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich
    2. Ellen Burstyn, Requiem for a Dream
    3. Laura Linney, You Can Count on Me
    4. Juliette Binoche, Chocolat
    5. Joan Allen, The Contender

    2001:

    1. Sissy Spacek, In the Bedroom
    2. Halle Berry, Monster’s Ball
    3. Nicole Kidman, Moulin Rouge!
    4. Judi Dench, Iris
    5. Renée Zellweger, Bridget Jone’s Diary

    2002:

    1. Renée Zellweger, Chicago
    2. Nicole Kidman, The Hours
    3. Julianne Moore, Far from Heaven
    4. Diane Lane, Unfaifhful
    5. Salma Hayek, Frida

    2003:

    1. Charlize Theron, Monster
    2. Diane Keaton, Something’s Gotta Give
    3. Naomi Watts, 21 Grams
    4. Samantha Morton, In America
    5. Keisha Castle-Hughes, Whale Rider

    2004:

    1. Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
    2. Annette Bening, Being Julia
    3. Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
    4. Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
    5. Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace

    2005:

    1. Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
    2. Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
    3. Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
    4. Charlize Theron, North Country
    5. Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice

    2006:

    1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
    – six feet under –
    2. Penélope Cruz, Volver
    3. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
    4. Kate Winslet, Little Children
    5. Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal

    2007:

    1. Julie Christie, Away From Her
    2. Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
    3. Ellen Page, Juno
    4. Laura Linney, The Savages
    5. Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age

    2008:

    1. Kate Winslet, The Reader
    2. Meryl Streep, Doubt
    3. Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
    4. Melissa Leo, Frozen River
    5. Angelina Jolie, Chageling

    2009:

    1. Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
    2. Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
    3. Carey Mulligan, An Education
    4. Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
    5. Helen Mirren, The Last Station

    2010:

    1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan
    2. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
    3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
    4. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
    5. Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

    2011:

    1. Viola Davis, The Help
    2. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
    3. Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
    4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
    5. Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

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    TV12
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    #67090

    He’s not asking how the vote ended up. He’s asking how you’d have predicted before they were handed out. And Halle Berry, Nicole Kidman, or Marion Cotillard were not out front.

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    TV12
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    #67091

    BEST ACTRESS
    2000:
    1. Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich
    2. Laura Linney, You Can Count on Me
    3. Ellen Burstyn, Reqium for a Dream
    4. Joan Allen, The Contender
    5. Juliet Binoche, Chocolat

    2001:
    1. Sissy Spacek, In the Bedroom
    2. Halle Berry, Monster’s Ball
    3. Judi Dench, Iris
    4. Nicole Kidman, Moulin Rouge!
    5. Renee Zellweger, Bridget Jones’ Diary

    2002:
    1. Renee Zellweger, Chicago
    2. Nicole Kidman, The Hours
    3. Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
    4. Salma Hayek, Frida
    5. Diane Lane, Unfaithful

    2003:
    1. Charlize Theron, Monster
    2. Diane Keaton, Something’s Gotta Give
    3. Naomi Watts, 21 Grams
    4. Samantha Morton, In America
    5. Keisha Castle-Hughes, Whale Rider

    2004:
    1. Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
    2. Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
    3. Annette Bening, Being Julia
    4. Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
    5. Cataline Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace

    2005:
    1. Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
    2. Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
    3. Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
    4. Charlize Theron, North Country
    5. Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice

    2006:
    1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
    2. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
    3. Penelope Cruz, Volver
    4. Kate Winslet, Little Children
    5. Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal

    2007:
    1. Julie Christie, Away From Her
    2. Marion Cotillard, La vie en rose
    3. Ellen Page, Juno
    4. Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
    5. Laura Linney, The Savages

    2008:
    1. Kate Winslet, The Reader
    2. Melissa Leo, Frozen River
    3. Meryl Streep, Doubt
    4. Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
    5. Angelina Jolie, Changeling

    2009:
    1. Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
    2. Carey Mulligan, An Education
    3. Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
    4. Gabourey Sidibe, Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire
    5. Helen Mirren, The Last Station

    2010:
    1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan
    2. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
    3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
    4. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
    5. Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

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    Madson Melo
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    #67092

    He’s not asking how the vote ended up. He’s asking how you’d have predicted before they were handed out. And Halle Berry, Nicole Kidman, or Marion Cotillard were not out front.

    Fixed.

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    Conrado
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    #67093

    I’ll chime in with Best Director:

    2010
    1. David Fincher – “The Social Network”
    2. Tom Hooper – “The King’s Speech”
    3. Darren Aronofsky – “Black Swan”
    4. David O. Russell – “The Fighter”
    5. Joel Coen, Ethan Coen – “True Grit” 

    2009
    1. Kathryn Bigelow – “The Hurt Locker”
    2. James Cameron – “Avatar”
    3. Quentin Tarantino – “Inglourious Basterds”
    4. Lee Daniels – “Precious”
    5. Jason Reitman – “Up in the Air” 

    2008
    1. Danny Boyle – “Slumdog Millionaire”
    2. David Fincher – “Benjamin Button”
    3. Gus Van Sant – “Milk”
    4. Stephen Daldry – “The Reader”
    5. Ron Howard – “Frost/Nixon” 

    2007
    1. Joel Coen, Ethan Coen – “No Country for Old Men”
    2. Paul Thomas Anderson – “There Will Be Blood”
    3. Julian Schnabel – “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”
    4. Tony Gilroy – “Michael Clayton”
    5. Jason Reitman – “Juno”

    2006
    1. Martin Scorsese – “The Departed”
    2. Clint Eastwood – “Letters from Iwo Jima”
    3. Alejandro Gonzales Iñarritu – “Babel”
    4. Stephen Frears – “The Queen”
    5. Paul Greengrass – “United 93”

    2005
    1. Ang Lee – “Brokeback Mountain”
    2. George Clooney – “Good Night And Good Luck”
    3. Steven Spielberg – “Munich”
    4. Paul Haggis – “Crash”
    5. Bennett Miller – “Capote” 

    2004
    1. Clint Eastwood – “Million Dollar Baby”
    2. Martin Scorsese – “The Aviator”
    3. Alexander Payne – “Sideways”
    4. Taylor Hackford – “Ray”
    5. Mike Leigh – “Vera Drake” 

    2003
    1. Peter Jackson – “Lord of the Rings”
    2. Peter Weir – “Master and Commander”
    3. Sofia Coppola – “Lost in Translation”
    4. Clint Eastwood – “Mystic River”
    5. Fernando Meirelles – “City of God”

    2002
    1. Rob Marshall – “Chicago”
    2. Martin Scorsese – “Gangs of New York”
    3. Roman Polanski – “The Pianist”
    4. Stephen Daldry – “The Hours” 
    5. Pedro Almodovar – “Talk to Her”

    2001
    1. Ron Howard – “A Beautiful Mind”
    2. Peter Jackson – “Lord of the Rings”
    3. Robert Altman – “Gosford Park”
    4. Ridley Scott – “Black Hawk Down” 
    5. David Lynch – “Mulholland Dr” 

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    Trent
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    #67094

    2011 Oscars (2010 film year)
    Best Picture
    1. The King’s Speech
    2. The Social Network
    3. Black Swan
    4. The Fighter
    5. True Grit
    6. 127 Hours
    7. Inception
    8. The Kids Are All Right
    9. Toy Story 3
    10. Winter’s Bone

    Best Director
    1. David Fincher, The Social Network
    2. Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
    3. Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
    4. David O. Russell, The Fighter
    5. Joel and Ethan Coen, True Grit

    Best Actor
    1. Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
    2. Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
    3. Javier Bardem, Biutiful
    4. James Franco, 127 Hours
    5. Jeff Bridges, True Grit

    Best Actress
    1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan
    2. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
    3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
    4. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
    5. Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

    Best Supporting Actor
    1. Christian Bale, The Fighter
    2. John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone
    3. Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
    4. Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
    5. Jeremy Renner, The Town

    Best Supporting Actress
    1. Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
    2. Melissa Leo, The Fighter
    3. Jacki Wever, Animal Kingdom
    4. Amy Adams, The Fighter
    5. Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech

    Best Original Screenplay
    1. The Kids Are All Right
    2. Inception
    3. The King’s Speech
    4. The Fighter
    5. Another Year

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    1. The Social Network
    2. Toy Story 3
    3. True Grit
    4. Winter’s Bone
    5. 127 Hours

    Best Animated Feature
    1. Toy Story 3
    2. How To Train Your Dragon
    3. The Illusionist

    Best Original Score
    1. Inception
    2. The Social Network
    3. How To Train Your Dragon
    4. The King’s Speech
    5. 127 Hours

    Best Art Direction
    1. Alice in Wonderland
    2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
    3. Inception
    4. The King’s Speech
    5. True Grit

    Best Cinematography
    1. Inception
    2. Black Swan
    3. True Grit
    4. The Social Network
    5. The King’s Speech 

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    TV12
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    #67095

    BEST PICTURE
    2007:
    1. No Country for Old Men
    2. Atonement
    3. There Will Be Blood
    4. Juno
    5. Michael Clayton

    2006:
    1. Babel
    2. The Departed
    3. Little Miss Sunshine
    4. Letters from Iwo Jima
    5. The Queen

    2005:
    1. Brokeback Mountain
    2. Crash
    3. Capote
    4. Good Night, and Good Luck
    5. Munich

    2004:
    1. The Aviator
    2. Million Dollar Baby
    3. Sideways
    4. Ray
    5. Finding Neverland

    2003:
    1. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
    2. Lost in Translation
    3. Mystic River
    4. Master and Commander: Far Side of the World
    5. Seabiscuit

    2002:
    1. Chicago
    2. The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    3. Gangs of New York
    4. The Pianist
    5. The Hours

    2001:
    1. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
    2. A Beautiful Mind
    3. Moulin Rouge!
    4. Gosford Park
    5. In the Bedroom

    2000:
    1. Gladiator
    2. Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
    3. Traffic
    4. Erin Brockovich
    5. Chocolat

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