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Is Nolan now in trouble?

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  • Enygma
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    He\’s deservedly been the directing frontrunner since the summer but hasnt been a real sucess at the critics circles. Evene lower tier ones wont recognize his. Del Toro is picking up steam for a really pedestrian movie, for which I fail to understand any hype whatsoever.

     

    So, is a Nolan DGA win still likely? what about the oscar? I think think this might be his path as I dont see him winning the globe. But im begining to feel a bit pesimitic.

     

    Del Toro taking this would be a travesty as is Luca not getting into direction for a film which he clear

    y infused with such magic and brilliance.

     

    Your thoughts?

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    Andrew Carden
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    I suspect del Toro wins the Globe, DGA and Oscar.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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    Philip
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    #1202437195

    Yea, it looks like Del Toro is taking the Oscar. Nolan was pretty much a placeholder.

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    Bee
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    #1202437204

    For a nomination? No. For a win? I sure hope so.

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    eastwest
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    I’ve always felt that Nolan could be easily left off again, but that’s just me. I have mentioned that this is shaping up to be Spielberg and four newcomers come January and it’s looking like that.

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    MultipleOscarWinner
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    #1202437216

    Well, he is a big reason why they expanded the Best Picture field at the Oscars from 5 to 10 (that is not a minor detail… that’s pretty huge. Who generates that kind of changing at the Academy Awards?). They nominated Inception for best movie (while being a sci-fi film) and Interstellar got snubbed at the Oscars since it wasn’t well received critically as expected. I don’t think he’s in trouble since he’s gotten a great amount of recognition from the Academy, while not being recognized himself. On a personal level, I only liked one of his movies (The Dark Knight) yet I consider it a masterpiece.

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    Paul Hardister
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    I love Metacritic! They do a chart tracking the race every year by compiling all the awards throughout the season:

    http://www.metacritic.com/feature/2017-film-awards-and-nominations-scorecard

    So far, it does indeed look like a tight race with Nolan potentially being on the outside looking in. Del Toro has the most momentum right now.

    I didn’t have Del Toro in my 5 because I just saw the movie this weekend. I really enjoyed it. It is impressive what he pulled off with a very modest budget. Plus, he’s been making good films for awhile. He’s the only one from the “Three Amigos” without a win. So this could very well be his year. Now, I’m just trying to figure out who to bump from the list. I might wait until DGA to see how this goes.

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    Sagand
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    Dunkirk has been under performing it’s best case scenario at the critics. Even at these he has been consistently turning up in the director nominations, even when the film misses picture. So with the industry awards he should be safe for nominations once the critics darlings fade.

    For the win Del Toro is looking more and more of a threat (I don’t see anyone outside the two of them winning). At this moment I’d put Del Toro as favourite for Critics Choice and Globes but still Nolan hanging on to DGA and the Oscar. Kind of similar to how George Miller swept the critics awards right up until the Globes then the race turned and Iñárritu took it from there.

    No matter what happens Nolan will always have Bafta.

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    RobertPius
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    I still wonder how Shape of Water will do with more traditional Academy members. It’s confusing to me whether they will find it too outlandish to vote for. (not my opinion but I’m just trying to get in their heads)

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    PJ Edwards
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    I think it’s very possible. His film has completely flopped at critic awards. I mean Gerwig has won more awards than him. And he is supposed to be the frontrunner. I think he is ripe for a snub. This year is totally reminding me of 2012. If they snub Gerwig, Lady Bird is gonna be Argo.

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    Award Chaos
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    I loooove Dunkirk and Call Me By Your Name (TSoW yet to watch), and I want The Three Amigos to finally be complete ( Oscar speaking) so I’m very confused this year, so I guess I’ll take a sleeping pill and cancel award season for me this year. Once I wake up, I expect two things:

    1) Trump out of office
    2) Call Me By Your Name for Best Picture, and a tie for Director between Del Toro and Nolan (and then they decide to do a crossover between Batman and Hellboy)

    In a more realistic world, Del Toro can take the Screenplay award so everybody wins (he still needs an apology Oscar after Pan’s losing Foreign Film).

    I just still see Nolan out front because for me, Dunkirk was an event, a different way of storytelling, it had me engaged all the time, the music was another character, the cinematography breathtaking, the editing so precise, and the actors were marvelous. That’s why I see him out front. But then again, I thought all that about Fury Road, so there you go

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    Goldderby Member 2017
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    #1202437901

    I swear this is the only forum where Nolan is seen as “in danger” of being snubbed. Every other place sees him as a lock for a Best Director nomination and a threat to win it.

    He was never going to sweep critics awards, industry awards will tell if he’s in danger or not.

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    Violet
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    #1202437909

    I swear this is the only forum where Nolan is seen as “in danger” of being snubbed. Every other place sees him as a lock for a Best Director nomination and a threat to win it. He was never going to sweep critics awards, industry awards will tell if he’s in danger or not.

    Tapley, Poland and a few other have said Nolan could be snubbed.

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    Paul Hardister
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    #1202437930

    I currently have him predicted as being nominated. However, as others have pointed out, the critics groups haven’t gone for him that much. He’s never been nominated before at the Oscars. So I wonder how the Director’s branch feels about his work.

    On the plus side, he just got his first Globe nomination. It’s WWII which the Academy goes for. It was a huge box office hit and was impressive in IMAX.

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    Goldderby Member 2017
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    #1202437934

    I swear this is the only forum where Nolan is seen as “in danger” of being snubbed. Every other place sees him as a lock for a Best Director nomination and a threat to win it. He was never going to sweep critics awards, industry awards will tell if he’s in danger or not.

    Tapley, Poland and a few other have said Nolan could be snubbed.

    You have a point there, but people here have been hoping for a snub before those tweets. What is making me scratch my head is the assumption that a Nolan nomination is in danger because Dunkirk hasn’t been winning many critics awards, even if it’s gathering many nominations.

    He can very well get snubbed in the end, but the televised awards are the ones that will tell where Nolan stands, not regional critics awards. The directors’ branch might not be a big fan of his, but if he does manage to grab a nomination, then he has bigger chances of winning as the actors branch likes him well enough. And they represent a big percentage of the voters.

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